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Final Men

28.06.2026 HUN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 World Triathlon Cup Tiszaujvaros

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 28.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 95/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 33 früheren Rennen und 667 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 47.3 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 28.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 33 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.3
Mean swim error10.8 s
Mean bike-speed error2.11 km/h
Correct bike groups20/29
No history0
Within the 80% range82.8 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Csongor Lehmann
HUN
+10 s
+12 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:47
14:46
 41:32
Show details
Prediction details: Csongor Lehmann

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 8:28
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: -2.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 45.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:47 (2:57 / km)
Historical basis: 2:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:46 (2:57 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 41:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:28 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:35 (45.2 km/h)
Run: 14:47 (2:57 / km)
Total: 41:32
2 / 2 Tom Lerno
FRA
+15 s
+2 s
G2 / G1
 14:55
14:54
 41:55
Show details
Prediction details: Tom Lerno

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–16
Top-10 probability: 78 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 8:33
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 12.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 149 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 2:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 144 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:54 (2:59 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 41:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:33 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Total: 41:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 2.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 4 Márk Dévay
HUN
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:15
15:14
 42:00
Show details
Prediction details: Márk Dévay

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–11
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:18
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 161 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 45.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 7.4 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 159 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 42:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:18 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:35 (45.2 km/h)
Run: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Total: 42:00
4 / 3 Pelayo González Turrez
ESP
+27 s
+10 s
G2 / G1
 15:01
15:01
 42:01
Show details
Prediction details: Pelayo González Turrez

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–15
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 8:45
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 122 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 42:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:45 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Total: 42:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 14.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 11 Till Kramp
GER
+31 s
+48 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:04
15:00
 42:04
Show details
Prediction details: Till Kramp

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–21
Top-10 probability: 44 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -16.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 147 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 142 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 42:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Total: 42:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 18.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 16 Tayler Reid
NZL
+20 s
+27 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:09
15:30
 42:09
Show details
Prediction details: Tayler Reid

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–14
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -6.9 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 122 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 118 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 42:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:38 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Total: 42:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 7.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 5 Jules Rethoret
FRA
+8 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:25
15:20
 42:10
Show details
Prediction details: Jules Rethoret

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 70 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 8:26
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 2.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 130 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 45.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 130 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 42:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:26 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:35 (45.2 km/h)
Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Total: 42:10
8 / 8 Pablo Isotton
FRA
+17 s
+47 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:15
14:55
 42:15
Show details
Prediction details: Pablo Isotton

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 3–15
Top-10 probability: 70 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -29.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 143 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 42:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:35 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Total: 42:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 19 Denis Kolobrodov
RUS
+25 s
+31 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:15
15:45
 42:15
Show details
Prediction details: Denis Kolobrodov

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 2–23
Top-10 probability: 41 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -6.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 42:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:43 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Total: 42:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 12.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 9 Chase McQueen
USA
+8 s
+7 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:36
15:36
 42:21
Show details
Prediction details: Chase McQueen

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 3–23
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 8:26
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 1.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 45.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 42:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:26 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:35 (45.2 km/h)
Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Total: 42:21
11 / 13 Gergely Kiss
HUN
+18 s
+16 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:29
15:00
 42:29
Show details
Prediction details: Gergely Kiss

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 4–23
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 1.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 185 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 186 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 42:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:36 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Total: 42:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 5.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 14 Gergő Dobi
HUN
+26 s
+25 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:32
15:10
 42:32
Show details
Prediction details: Gergő Dobi

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 4–25
Top-10 probability: 31 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 1.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 196 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 195 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 42:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Total: 42:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 14 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 27 Benedikt Bettin
GER
+32 s
+51 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:33
17:37
 42:33
Show details
Prediction details: Benedikt Bettin

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 5–26
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: -19.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 158 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 156 Duelle, Korrektur 1.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: −2:04 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 42:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Total: 42:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 19.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 23 Lucas Cambresy
LUX
+26 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:39
15:53
 42:39
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Cambresy

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 5–24
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -9.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 197 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 191 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 42:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 42:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 13.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 20 Luke Schofield
AUS
+28 s
+50 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:40
15:47
 42:40
Show details
Prediction details: Luke Schofield

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 10–27
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -21.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 42:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:46 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Total: 42:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 16 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 6 Zalán Hóbor
HUN
+7 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:56
15:23
 42:41
Show details
Prediction details: Zalán Hóbor

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 6–24
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 8:25
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 2.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 189 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 45.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 172 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 42:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:25 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:35 (45.2 km/h)
Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Total: 42:41
17 / 7 Nathan Grayel
FRA
+41 s
+43 s
G4 / G2
 14:46
14:48
 42:45
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Grayel

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 6–23
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -1.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 138 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.9 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:46 (2:57 / km)
Historical basis: 2:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:48 (2:58 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 42:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 14:46 (2:57 / km)
Total: 42:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 28.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 18 Mateo Vidal
FRA
+28 s
+53 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:46
15:40
 42:46
Show details
Prediction details: Mateo Vidal

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 11–26
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -25.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 42:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:46 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Total: 42:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 15.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 22 Gergő Gyula Soós
HUN
+20 s
+29 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:53
15:52
 42:53
Show details
Prediction details: Gergő Gyula Soós

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 12–22
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -9.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 127 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 42:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:38 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Total: 42:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 7.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 25 Gregor Rasva
EST
+14 s
+18 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:10
16:34
 43:10
Show details
Prediction details: Gregor Rasva

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 2–28
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 8:32
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -4.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 149 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 131 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 43:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:32 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 43:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 1.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 24 Martin Demuth
CZE
+27 s
+43 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:16
16:17
 43:16
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Demuth

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 21–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 8:45
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -16.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 118 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 43:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:45 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Total: 43:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 14.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 12 Alexis Lherieau
SUI
+45 s
+60 s
G4 / G2
 15:18
15:03
 43:17
Show details
Prediction details: Alexis Lherieau

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 12–27
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -15.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 134 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:18 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:03 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 43:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:18 (3:04 / km)
Total: 43:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 32.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 28 Paul Georgenthum
FRA
+36 s
+58 s
G3 / G3
correct 		15:23
15:32
 43:18
Show details
Prediction details: Paul Georgenthum

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 9–27
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -21.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 131 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 43:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:17 (44.0 km/h)
Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Total: 43:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 24 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 17 Zsombor Dévay
HUN
+36 s
+44 s
G3 / G2
 15:26
15:37
 43:21
Show details
Prediction details: Zsombor Dévay

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 10–26
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -7.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 176 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 170 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:37 (3:07 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 43:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:17 (44.0 km/h)
Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Total: 43:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 23.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 15 Eric Diener
GER
+37 s
+59 s
G3 / G2
 15:29
15:23
 43:24
Show details
Prediction details: Eric Diener

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 6–27
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -21.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 205 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 3.9 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:46 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 201 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 43:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:17 (44.0 km/h)
Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Total: 43:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 25 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 10 Carol Popa
ROU
+36 s
+38 s
G3 / G2
 15:30
14:58
 43:25
Show details
Prediction details: Carol Popa

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 11–27
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -2.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:48 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:58 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 43:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:17 (44.0 km/h)
Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Total: 43:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 23.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 29 Jaspar Ortfeld
GER
+47 s
+71 s
G4 / G3
 15:39
16:22
 43:38
Show details
Prediction details: Jaspar Ortfeld

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 6–29
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: -23.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 43:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 43:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 34.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 26 Carter Stuhlmacher
USA
+14 s
+13 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:38
16:57
 43:38
Show details
Prediction details: Carter Stuhlmacher

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 6–29
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 8:32
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 43:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:32 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:28 (45.4 km/h)
Run: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Total: 43:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 1.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 21 Zalán Trungel-Nagy
HUN
+42 s
+53 s
G4 / G2
 15:55
15:51
 43:54
Show details
Prediction details: Zalán Trungel-Nagy

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 22–29
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -10.9 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 43:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Total: 43:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
About 29.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.