Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Final Women

28.06.2026 HUN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 World Triathlon Cup Tiszaujvaros

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 28.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 70/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.8
Mean swim error10.5 s
Mean bike-speed error2.63 km/h
Correct bike groups12/29
No history0
Within the 80% range86.2 %
Details
1 / 1 Fanni Szalai
HUN
+17 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:39
16:33
 46:16
Show details
Prediction details: Fanni Szalai

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 14.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 46:16
2 / 4 Diana Isakova
AIN
+17 s
+19 s
G1 / G2
 16:50
16:51
 46:27
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Isakova

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–11
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: -1.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 139 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 139 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Total: 46:27
3 / 13 Ana Carballo Gómez
ESP
+20 s
+26 s
G1 / G2
 17:04
17:19
 46:41
Show details
Prediction details: Ana Carballo Gómez

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–12
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -5.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 131 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 131 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Total: 46:41
4 / 2 Taylor Knibb
USA
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:18
17:19
 46:55
Show details
Prediction details: Taylor Knibb

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 1–13
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:55
5 / 14 Mathilde Gautier
FRA
+8 s
+4 s
G1 / G2
 17:21
17:21
 46:58
Show details
Prediction details: Mathilde Gautier

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–13
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 4.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 154 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.3 s
Gap behind: 5.7 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 154 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:58
6 / 6 Margareta Vrablova
SVK
+23 s
+24 s
G1 / G2
 17:31
16:57
 47:08
Show details
Prediction details: Margareta Vrablova

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–24
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -1.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:08
7 / 9 Selina Klamt
GER
+20 s
+7 s
G1 / G2
 17:34
17:10
 47:11
Show details
Prediction details: Selina Klamt

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–21
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 13.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 178 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 168 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 47:11
8 / 15 Karolina Helga Horváth
HUN
+25 s
+41 s
G1 / G2
 17:39
17:22
 47:16
Show details
Prediction details: Karolina Helga Horváth

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–16
Top-10 probability: 51 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -16.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Total: 47:16
9 / 16 Brea Roderick
NZL
+25 s
+22 s
G1 / G2
 17:43
17:33
 47:20
Show details
Prediction details: Brea Roderick

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 7–20
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 2.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Total: 47:20
10 / 5 Danielle Orie
USA
+31 s
+44 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:53
16:52
 47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Danielle Orie

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 3–17
Top-10 probability: 66 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -13.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:59 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Total: 47:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 2.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 3 Tara Sosinski
AUS
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:02
18:03
 47:39
Show details
Prediction details: Tara Sosinski

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 4–21
Top-10 probability: 45 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 8.3 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Total: 47:39
12 / 20 Magdalena Sudak
POL
+26 s
+54 s
G1 / G2
 18:03
18:07
 47:40
Show details
Prediction details: Magdalena Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 11–26
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -28.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Total: 47:40
13 / 23 Ilaria Zane
ITA
+25 s
+32 s
G1 / G2
 18:13
18:36
 47:50
Show details
Prediction details: Ilaria Zane

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 11–27
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -7.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:23 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Total: 47:50
14 / 7 Carlotta Missaglia
ITA
+35 s
+43 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:14
17:09
 47:57
Show details
Prediction details: Carlotta Missaglia

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 5–21
Top-10 probability: 46 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -8.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 152 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 142 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:59 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Total: 47:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 7.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 29 Dóra Pusztai
HUN
+27 s
+55 s
G1 / G3
 18:22
18:24
 47:59
Show details
Prediction details: Dóra Pusztai

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 10–28
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -27.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Total: 47:59
16 / 21 Nora Romina Nádas
HUN
+27 s
+40 s
G1 / G2
 18:23
18:13
 48:00
Show details
Prediction details: Nora Romina Nádas

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 15–26
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -12.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Total: 48:00
17 / 24 Katie Rodda
GBR
+16 s
+48 s
G1 / G2
 18:25
18:39
 48:02
Show details
Prediction details: Katie Rodda

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 12–26
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -32.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 116 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 116 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Total: 48:02
18 / 10 Annabel Morton
GBR
+41 s
+36 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:21
17:07
 48:04
Show details
Prediction details: Annabel Morton

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 10–26
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 5.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:14 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:59 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Total: 48:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 13.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 12 Zuzanna Sudak
POL
+35 s
+53 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:25
17:12
 48:08
Show details
Prediction details: Zuzanna Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 7–23
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -18.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:59 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Total: 48:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 6.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 11 Appoline Foltz
FRA
+31 s
+30 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:26
17:12
 48:09
Show details
Prediction details: Appoline Foltz

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 4–22
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 0.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:14 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:59 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Total: 48:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 2.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 19 Barbara De Koning
NED
+35 s
+43 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:26
17:54
 48:09
Show details
Prediction details: Barbara De Koning

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 8–23
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -7.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 200 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 199 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:59 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Total: 48:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 7.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 8 Paola Sacchi
ITA
+32 s
+49 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:34
17:05
 48:17
Show details
Prediction details: Paola Sacchi

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 4–28
Top-10 probability: 31 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -17.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:23 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:59 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 48:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 3.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 17 Dominika Peszleg
HUN
+40 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:38
17:37
 48:21
Show details
Prediction details: Dominika Peszleg

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 11–26
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 11.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 142 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 11
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 141 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 48:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:59 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Total: 48:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 11.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 25 Anja Weber
SUI
+14 s
+14 s
G1 / G2
 18:47
18:52
 48:24
Show details
Prediction details: Anja Weber

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 19–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.7 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 124 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Total: 48:24
25 / 27 Noelia Juan
ESP
+44 s
+58 s
G2 / G3
 17:43
18:12
 48:26
Show details
Prediction details: Noelia Juan

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 9–28
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -14.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 140 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 140 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:59 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 16.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 26 Iana Chenskaia
AIN
+18 s
+25 s
G1 / G2
 18:52
18:55
 48:29
Show details
Prediction details: Iana Chenskaia

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 19–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -6.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:29
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:10 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Total: 48:29
27 / 22 Katrien Maes
BEL
+36 s
+50 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:02
18:22
 48:45
Show details
Prediction details: Katrien Maes

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 11–28
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -14.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 147 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 147 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:59 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Total: 48:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 8.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 18 Diana Dunajska
SVK
+45 s
+29 s
G3 / G2
 17:15
17:45
 49:02
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Dunajska

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 5–28
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 15.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 122 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 122 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 49:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:01 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Total: 49:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 16.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 28 Lili Dobi
HUN
+47 s
+50 s
G3 / G2
 18:54
19:15
 50:41
Show details
Prediction details: Lili Dobi

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 28–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -3.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 50:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:01 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Total: 50:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 18.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.