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Elite Men

15.02.2026 BAR
Race information and calculation basis
2026 World Triathlon Development Regional Cup Bridgetown

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 15.02.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 45/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 50.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 55.6 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.6
Mean swim error29.4 s
Mean bike-speed error1.98 km/h
Correct bike groups6/13
No history5
Within the 80% range44.4 %
Details
1 / 3 Luke McIntyre
BAR
+0 s
+25 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:22
17:37
 47:32
Show details
Prediction details: Luke McIntyre

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -25.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.73 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 1.78 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: −1:15 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 47:32
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (39.5 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 47:32
2 / 1 Marcos Alejandro Fernández González
CUB
+25 s
+22 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:44
16:38
 47:54
Show details
Prediction details: Marcos Alejandro Fernández González

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 3.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.7 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:23 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (39.5 km/h)
Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Total: 47:54
3 / 9 Cristopher Alexander Cardenas Jimenez
VEN
+13 s
+31 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:38
18:58
 48:48
Show details
Prediction details: Cristopher Alexander Cardenas Jimenez

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -18.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 27 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.1 s
Gap behind: 12.7 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:58 (3:48 / km)
Error: −1:20 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 48:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:11 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (39.5 km/h)
Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Total: 48:48
4 / 2 Jorge Raul Cabinal Gramajo
GUA
+31 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:44
17:22
 48:54
Show details
Prediction details: Jorge Raul Cabinal Gramajo

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 31.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 71 %
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 9.9 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:29 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (39.5 km/h)
Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:54
5 / 8 Malcom Menzies
BAH
+7 s
+26 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:41
18:17
 50:51
Show details
Prediction details: Malcom Menzies

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -18.6 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.4 s
Gap behind: 5.1 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Error: +1:24 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 50:51
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (39.5 km/h)
Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Total: 50:51
6 / 7 Christiaan Jansen
ARU
+46 s
+58 s
G2 / G1
 17:27
18:23
 51:02
Show details
Prediction details: Christiaan Jansen

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -11.6 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.3 s
Gap behind: 10.7 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 51:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:44 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:48 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Total: 51:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 9.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 10 Fynn Armstrong
BAR
+86 s
+46 s
G3 / G1
 17:36
19:47
 51:50
Show details
Prediction details: Fynn Armstrong

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +86 s
Time: 11:24
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 39.5 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.06 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 28.4 s
Gap behind: 29.2 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:47 (3:57 / km)
Error: −2:11 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 51:50
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:24 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:48 (36.1 km/h)
Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Total: 51:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:34
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 50.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 6 Anderson Samuel Andrés Tohom Alvarado
GUA
+41 s
+45 s
G2 / G1
 18:37
18:30
 52:12
Show details
Prediction details: Anderson Samuel Andrés Tohom Alvarado

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 81 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -3.9 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.9 s
Gap behind: 5.3 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.78 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 52:12
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:48 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Total: 52:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 5 Liam D'Abadie
TTO
+57 s
+78 s
G3 / G1
 19:34
17:52
 53:48
Show details
Prediction details: Liam D'Abadie

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 10–11
Top-10 probability: 31 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 10:55
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +78 s
Fehler: -20.9 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.7 s
Gap behind: 28.4 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:34 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -1.27 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Error: +1:42 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 53:48
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:55 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:48 (36.1 km/h)
Run: 19:34 (3:55 / km)
Total: 53:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 28 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 4 Gianluca Bortoli
BER
+115 s
+63 s
G4 / G1
 18:38
18:03
 55:32
Show details
Prediction details: Gianluca Bortoli

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +115 s
Time: 11:53
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 52.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 94.2 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 55:32
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:53 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:59 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Total: 55:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 86.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 13 Benjamin Carmino
TTO
+115 s
+81 s
G4 / G3
 20:19
22:26
 57:13
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Carmino

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +115 s
Time: 11:53
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +81 s
Fehler: 33.7 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.96 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 29.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.17 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:26 (4:29 / km)
Error: −2:07 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 57:13
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:53 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:59 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Total: 57:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 85.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 11 Zindzele Renwick-Williams
BAR
+0 s
+83 s
G0 / G3
18:09
Show details
Prediction details: Zindzele Renwick-Williams

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Matthew Briggs-Legall
BAR
+0 s
+63 s
G1 / G2
22:54
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew Briggs-Legall

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -63.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 7.4 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:54 (4:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:39 (39.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 14 Storm Riley
BAR
+0 s
+182 s
G0 / G4
20:53
Show details
Prediction details: Storm Riley

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +182 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:53 (4:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Lucas Bule
BER
+0 s
+181 s
G0 / G4
21:20
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Bule

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +181 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:20 (4:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Javier Hague
JAM
+209 s
+270 s
G5 / G5
correct
21:37
Show details
Prediction details: Javier Hague

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +209 s
Time: 13:27
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +270 s
Fehler: -60.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 94.2 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:37 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 13:27 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:49 (32.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 180.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 17 Sanchez Smith
BER
+0 s
+327 s
G0 / G6
20:15
Show details
Prediction details: Sanchez Smith

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +327 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 28.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:15 (4:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Mohamed Elwakeel
HAI
+0 s
+184 s
G0 / G7
26:53
Show details
Prediction details: Mohamed Elwakeel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +184 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 23.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:53 (5:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.