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Elite Men

01.02.2026 Paseo Costanero Vuelta Fermoza ARG
Race information and calculation basis
2026 World Triathlon Development Regional Cup Formosa

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 01.02.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 28/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 16.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 66.7 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.0
Mean swim error69.0 s
Mean bike-speed error3.11 km/h
Correct bike groups4/20
No history4
Within the 80% range8.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 5 Santino Calderón Lucoratolo
ARG
+100 s
+31 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:07
18:17
 49:52
Show details
Prediction details: Santino Calderón Lucoratolo

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 10–13
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +100 s
Time: 11:15
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 68.7 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.6 s
Gap behind: 7.7 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 2.52 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Error: −2:10 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 49:52
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:15 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:05 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Total: 49:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 95.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 2 Jhon Matias Tuesta Castro
ECU
+26 s
+38 s
G3 / G2
 16:33
17:33
 50:31
Show details
Prediction details: Jhon Matias Tuesta Castro

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 10–12
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -12.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 25.7 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: −1:00 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 50:31
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:59 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Total: 50:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 21.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 3 Santiago Boxler
ARG
+28 s
+44 s
G3 / G1
 16:47
17:48
 50:45
Show details
Prediction details: Santiago Boxler

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 11–13
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -16.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 6.4 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Error: −1:01 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 50:45
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:59 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Total: 50:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
4 / 19 Bautista Arbizu
ARG
+55 s
+0 s
G3 / G1
 17:00
25:18
 50:58
Show details
Prediction details: Bautista Arbizu

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 10–13
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 54.9 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:18 (5:04 / km)
Error: −8:18 / −1:40 / km
Overall prediction: 50:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:59 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: 50:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 51 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 23 Mijael Alejandro Rojas Huanaco
BOL
+85 s
+41 s
G2 / G5
 19:42
27:12
 53:27
Show details
Prediction details: Mijael Alejandro Rojas Huanaco

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 14–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 11:00
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 44.1 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 26.2 s
Gap behind: 14.6 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:42 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:12 (5:26 / km)
Error: −7:30 / −1:30 / km
Overall prediction: 53:27
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:00 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:05 (37.2 km/h)
Run: 19:42 (3:56 / km)
Total: 53:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 81.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 13 Anderson Samuel Andrés Tohom Alvarado
GUA
+55 s
+31 s
G3 / G4
 20:32
20:50
 54:30
Show details
Prediction details: Anderson Samuel Andrés Tohom Alvarado

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 14–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 23.9 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:32 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 54:30
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:59 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 20:32 (4:06 / km)
Total: 54:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 51.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 4 Renato Paolo Siacia
ARG
+139 s
+49 s
G4 / G2
 18:41
18:06
 55:25
Show details
Prediction details: Renato Paolo Siacia

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 15–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +139 s
Time: 11:54
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 90.4 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 87 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.8 s
Gap behind: 22.3 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 55:25
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:54 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:24 (34.8 km/h)
Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Total: 55:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
8 / 17 David Jose Pardo Benitez
PAR
+129 s
+46 s
G4 / G4
correct 		18:48
21:53
 55:32
Show details
Prediction details: David Jose Pardo Benitez

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 16–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +129 s
Time: 11:44
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 82.6 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.2 s
Gap behind: 10.8 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 37 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:53 (4:23 / km)
Error: −3:05 / −0:37 / km
Overall prediction: 55:32
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:44 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:24 (34.8 km/h)
Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Total: 55:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 124.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 6 Francisco Amadini
ARG
+107 s
+51 s
G4 / G1
 20:16
19:33
 57:00
Show details
Prediction details: Francisco Amadini

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 16–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +107 s
Time: 11:22
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: 56.4 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.94 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.7 s
Gap behind: 10.0 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 57:00
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:22 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:24 (34.8 km/h)
Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Total: 57:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 103.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 1 Maximo Bautista Andino
ARG
+261 s
+47 s
G7 / G1
 16:55
16:31
 57:27
Show details
Prediction details: Maximo Bautista Andino

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +261 s
Time: 13:56
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 214.1 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -2.20 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 64.1 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 57:27
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 13:56 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:11 (33.2 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 57:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 257.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 7 Mauricio Ruben Arias
ARG
+59 s
+1 s
G3 / G2
 29:07
20:09
 1:03:05
Show details
Prediction details: Mauricio Ruben Arias

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 10:34
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 57.9 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 1.60 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 26.2 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:07 (5:49 / km)
Historical basis: 5:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:09 (4:02 / km)
Error: +8:58 / +1:48 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:05
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:34 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:59 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 29:07 (5:49 / km)
Total: 1:03:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 55 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 8 Agustín Wendler Kossmann
ARG
+197 s
+33 s
G6 / G1
20:24
Show details
Prediction details: Agustín Wendler Kossmann

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +197 s
Time: 12:52
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 164.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -2.10 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 64.1 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:24 (4:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 12:52 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:49 (32.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 193.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 9 Juan Ignacio Azevedo
ARG
+0 s
+57 s
G1 / G4
19:20
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Ignacio Azevedo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -57.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:20 (3:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:20 (40.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 10 Joaquín Valverde
ARG
+34 s
+32 s
G3 / G4
20:28
Show details
Prediction details: Joaquín Valverde

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 2.4 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.4 s
Gap behind: 5.2 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:28 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:59 (36.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 30.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 11 Santiago Buntalyk Caviglia
ARG
+117 s
+33 s
G4 / G3
20:48
Show details
Prediction details: Santiago Buntalyk Caviglia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +117 s
Time: 11:32
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 84.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.0 s
Gap behind: 11.2 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:48 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:32 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:24 (34.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 113.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Arturo Maximiliano Peching San Roman
PER
+40 s
+45 s
G3 / G3
correct
20:56
Show details
Prediction details: Arturo Maximiliano Peching San Roman

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -5.4 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.2 s
Gap behind: 15.3 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:56 (4:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:59 (36.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 35.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14 Martino Mesias Hernandez
ARG
+162 s
+63 s
G5 / G4
20:52
Show details
Prediction details: Martino Mesias Hernandez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +162 s
Time: 12:17
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 98.7 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 67 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 22.3 s
Gap behind: 32.7 s
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:52 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 12:17 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:32 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 157.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 15 Santiago Ezequiel Vivas
ARG
+0 s
+74 s
G0 / G4
21:01
Show details
Prediction details: Santiago Ezequiel Vivas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:01 (4:12 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Valdir Emmanuel Fernandez
ARG
+0 s
+52 s
G0 / G4
21:45
Show details
Prediction details: Valdir Emmanuel Fernandez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:45 (4:21 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Florian Muñoz
ARG
+0 s
+3 s
G1 / G3
23:15
Show details
Prediction details: Florian Muñoz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: -3.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 25.7 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:15 (4:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:20 (40.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 20 Jeremias Bruno Quirolo
ARG
+0 s
+45 s
G0 / G4
23:48
Show details
Prediction details: Jeremias Bruno Quirolo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (8 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:48 (4:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Emilio Roosevelt Benitez Núñez
PAR
+194 s
+98 s
G6 / G6
correct
18:33
Show details
Prediction details: Emilio Roosevelt Benitez Núñez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +194 s
Time: 12:49
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +98 s
Fehler: 96.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 32.7 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 12:49 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:49 (32.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 190.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 22 Francisco Rodriguez
ARG
+0 s
+109 s
G0 / G5
21:49
Show details
Prediction details: Francisco Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +109 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:49 (4:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Jeronimo Palyga Codas Thompson
PAR
+0 s
+148 s
G1 / G7
24:49
Show details
Prediction details: Jeronimo Palyga Codas Thompson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +148 s
Fehler: -148.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 27.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 13.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:49 (4:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:20 (40.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable