Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Elite Women

01.02.2026 Paseo Costanero Vuelta Fermoza ARG
Race information and calculation basis
2026 World Triathlon Development Regional Cup Formosa

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 01.02.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 31/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 22.2 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 61.1 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.7
Mean swim error60.0 s
Mean bike-speed error3.69 km/h
Correct bike groups0/15
No history3
Within the 80% range0.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 María Emilia Vargas
ARG
+32 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
 18:31
21:01
 53:57
Show details
Prediction details: María Emilia Vargas

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 12:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 32.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.82 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 32.0 s
Gap behind: 18.0 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:01 (4:12 / km)
Error: −2:30 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 53:57
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:02 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:54 (34.4 km/h)
Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Total: 53:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:34
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 28 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 1 Eliana Estefania Diaz
ARG
+107 s
+23 s
G3 / G1
 19:43
20:40
 57:44
Show details
Prediction details: Eliana Estefania Diaz

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +107 s
Time: 13:17
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 84.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.9 s
Gap behind: 11.8 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:40 (4:08 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 57:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:17 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:14 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Total: 57:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:34
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 103.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 7 Flavia Andrea Castro Chavez
BOL
+80 s
+60 s
G3 / G2
 21:28
23:46
 59:29
Show details
Prediction details: Flavia Andrea Castro Chavez

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 12:50
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: 20.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.93 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 24.5 s
Gap behind: 11.6 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:28 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:46 (4:45 / km)
Error: −2:18 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 59:29
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 12:50 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:14 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 21:28 (4:18 / km)
Total: 59:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:32
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
About 77.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 5 Ana Victoria Portillo Prono
PAR
+93 s
+24 s
G3 / G1
 22:55
22:31
 1:00:56
Show details
Prediction details: Ana Victoria Portillo Prono

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 13:03
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 69.1 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 13.9 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:55 (4:35 / km)
Historical basis: 4:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.75 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:31 (4:30 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:56
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:03 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:14 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 22:55 (4:35 / km)
Total: 1:00:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:34
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 89.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 6 Bianca Maria Eva Gomez
ARG
+92 s
+43 s
G3 / G2
 23:21
22:23
 1:01:22
Show details
Prediction details: Bianca Maria Eva Gomez

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 12–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +92 s
Time: 13:02
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 48.6 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.91 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.6 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:21 (4:40 / km)
Historical basis: 4:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:23 (4:29 / km)
Error: +0:58 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:22
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:02 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:14 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 23:21 (4:40 / km)
Total: 1:01:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:34
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 87.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 3 Catalina Moreno Velasco
COL
+56 s
+36 s
G3 / G1
 24:01
22:01
 1:02:02
Show details
Prediction details: Catalina Moreno Velasco

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 12–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 12:26
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 19.5 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.5 s
Gap behind: 24.5 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:01 (4:48 / km)
Historical basis: 4:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:01 (4:24 / km)
Error: +2:00 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:02
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 12:26 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:14 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 24:01 (4:48 / km)
Total: 1:02:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:34
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 51.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 4 Juana Marcela Barzallo Ortiz
ECU
+50 s
+44 s
G3 / G1
 24:28
22:12
 1:02:29
Show details
Prediction details: Juana Marcela Barzallo Ortiz

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 13–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 12:20
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 18.0 s
Gap behind: 5.5 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:28 (4:54 / km)
Historical basis: 4:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:12 (4:26 / km)
Error: +2:16 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:29
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:20 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:14 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 24:28 (4:54 / km)
Total: 1:02:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:34
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 46.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 12 Jimena Martinez
URU
+119 s
+45 s
G4 / G3
 25:52
25:46
 1:05:36
Show details
Prediction details: Jimena Martinez

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +119 s
Time: 13:29
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 73.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.8 s
Gap behind: 22.8 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 31.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:52 (5:10 / km)
Historical basis: 5:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:46 (5:09 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:05:36
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:29 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:45 (31.8 km/h)
Run: 25:52 (5:10 / km)
Total: 1:05:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:34
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 114.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 8 Isabella Nicole Pozo
ARG
+0 s
+58 s
G0 / G2
24:22
Show details
Prediction details: Isabella Nicole Pozo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 11:30
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:22 (4:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 11:30 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Avril Dania Perez
ARG
+142 s
+59 s
G5 / G6
20:47
Show details
Prediction details: Avril Dania Perez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +142 s
Time: 13:52
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: 82.6 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.18 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 22.8 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 29.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:47 (4:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:52 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:36 (31.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:34
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 137.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 10 Greta Buntalyk caviglia
ARG
+0 s
+65 s
G1 / G5
22:48
Show details
Prediction details: Greta Buntalyk caviglia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 11:30
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: -65.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 30.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 10.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:48 (4:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:30 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:14 (41.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 11 Federica Carletto
ARG
+0 s
+11 s
G0 / G5
23:05
Show details
Prediction details: Federica Carletto

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 11:30
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 30.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:05 (4:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 11:30 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Guadalupe Valverde
ARG
+143 s
+34 s
G5 / G4
25:16
Show details
Prediction details: Guadalupe Valverde

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +143 s
Time: 13:53
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 108.6 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.18 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 20.5 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 30.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:16 (5:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 13:53 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:36 (31.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:34
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 138.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14 Emma Scliar
ARG
+0 s
+41 s
G1 / G4
25:46
Show details
Prediction details: Emma Scliar

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 11:30
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -41.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 30.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 10.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:46 (5:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:30 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:14 (41.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 15 Sofia Chayle Morales
ARG
+0 s
+99 s
G0 / G6
25:28
Show details
Prediction details: Sofia Chayle Morales

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 11:30
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +99 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:28 (5:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 11:30 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Gilie Giraldo del Carpio
PER
+0 s
+57 s
G1 / G6
26:34
Show details
Prediction details: Gilie Giraldo del Carpio

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 11:30
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -57.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 29.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 11.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:34 (5:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:30 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:14 (41.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 17 Allison Danaveli De Coromoto Maza Hernández
VEN
+0 s
+122 s
G1 / G8
22:51
Show details
Prediction details: Allison Danaveli De Coromoto Maza Hernández

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 11:30
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +122 s
Fehler: -122.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 32.0 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 25.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 15.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:51 (4:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:30 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:14 (41.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 18 María Paz Rosetti Lopez
PAR
+163 s
+92 s
G6 / G7
29:44
Show details
Prediction details: María Paz Rosetti Lopez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +163 s
Time: 14:13
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +92 s
Fehler: 71.1 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 28.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 20.5 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 27.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:44 (5:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 14:13 (1:54 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 42:12 (28.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:34
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 159.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.