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Prediction comparison

Elite Men

13.06.2026 Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman (UTAR), Kampar MAS
Race information and calculation basis
2026 World Triathlon Development Regional Cup Kampar

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 91/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 56 früheren Rennen und 1651 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 49.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 13.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 81.8 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 56 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.9
Mean swim error34.8 s
Mean bike-speed error1.32 km/h
Correct bike groups5/22
No history0
Within the 80% range31.8 %
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
1 / 11 Isaac Tan
MAS
+30 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct
17:12
20:35
47:26
Show details
Prediction details: Isaac Tan

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 25.0 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Error: −3:23 / −0:41 / km
Overall prediction: 47:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:37 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:26
2 / 1 Omar Abdulla Hamza Ali
BRN
+50 s
+10 s
G2 / G1
16:33
17:25
48:01
Show details
Prediction details: Omar Abdulla Hamza Ali

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:36
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 39.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 48:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:36 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Total: 48:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
3 / 2 Seongsik Kim
KOR
+27 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct
17:47
17:55
48:01
Show details
Prediction details: Seongsik Kim

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 22.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.4 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -2.16 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:01
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:37 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:01
4 / 8 Naru Kang
KOR
+20 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct
18:09
19:26
48:23
Show details
Prediction details: Naru Kang

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 19.8 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 7.4 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 82 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:26 (3:53 / km)
Error: −1:17 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 48:23
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:06 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:37 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Total: 48:23
5 / 12 Abdelrahman Tantish
PLE
+52 s
+25 s
G2 / G1
17:13
20:59
48:41
Show details
Prediction details: Abdelrahman Tantish

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–12
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 27.3 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Error: −3:46 / −0:45 / km
Overall prediction: 48:41
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:38 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Total: 48:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 19.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 3 Jaejin Jung
KOR
+37 s
+6 s
G1 / G1
correct
18:32
17:55
48:46
Show details
Prediction details: Jaejin Jung

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 31.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 63 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 8.5 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:46
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:23 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:37 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Total: 48:46
7 / 6 Joshua Ramos
PHI
+47 s
+26 s
G2 / G1
17:36
18:50
49:04
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–9
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 20.9 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Error: −1:14 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 49:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Total: 49:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 14 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 7 Benjamin John Hong Ren Chen
MAS
+46 s
+13 s
G2 / G1
18:30
18:52
49:58
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin John Hong Ren Chen

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 8–11
Top-10 probability: 78 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 32.5 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 85 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.5 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:58
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:32 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Total: 49:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 12.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 10 Dong Wook Kim
KOR
+53 s
+6 s
G2 / G1
18:46
19:57
50:14
Show details
Prediction details: Dong Wook Kim

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 7–14
Top-10 probability: 51 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 47.3 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 4.9 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 1.54 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 50:14
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Total: 50:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 20.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 4 Qi Yi Yap
MAS
+60 s
+30 s
G3 / G1
17:45
18:18
50:52
Show details
Prediction details: Qi Yi Yap

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–12
Top-10 probability: 74 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 29.7 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 7.4 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 50:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:46 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:00 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Total: 50:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 26.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 5 Martyn Wen Xuan Lim
MAS
+109 s
+56 s
G6 / G2
16:54
17:19
50:59
Show details
Prediction details: Martyn Wen Xuan Lim

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 10–13
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +109 s
Time: 11:35
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 53.4 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 9.4 s

Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 50:59
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:35 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.4 km/h)
Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Total: 50:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 76.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 13 Juan Miguel Tayag
PHI
+80 s
+44 s
G4 / G3
17:58
18:48
51:38
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Miguel Tayag

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 11:06
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 35.7 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.6 s
Gap behind: 6.3 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 66 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 51:38
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:06 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:21 (37.1 km/h)
Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Total: 51:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 46.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 20 John Michael Lalimos
PHI
+119 s
+100 s
G6 / G5
19:03
20:48
53:08
Show details
Prediction details: John Michael Lalimos

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 15–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +119 s
Time: 11:45
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +100 s
Fehler: 18.8 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.99 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.4 s
Gap behind: 6.8 s

Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:48 (4:10 / km)
Error: −1:45 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 53:08
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:45 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.4 km/h)
Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Total: 53:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 85.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 9 Temirlan Abdrakhimov
KGZ
+67 s
+11 s
G3 / G1
20:03
19:51
53:10
Show details
Prediction details: Temirlan Abdrakhimov

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 13–17
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 10:53
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 56.1 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.4 s
Gap behind: 12.6 s

Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.27 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 53:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:53 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:00 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Total: 53:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 34.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 14 Chon Ip Chan
MAC
+103 s
+64 s
G6 / G3
19:18
19:16
53:23
Show details
Prediction details: Chon Ip Chan

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 14–18
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +103 s
Time: 11:29
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: 38.5 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.5 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:18 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:16 (3:51 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 53:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:29 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.4 km/h)
Run: 19:18 (3:52 / km)
Total: 53:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 69.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 17 Cheok Hei Lao
MAC
+86 s
+62 s
G5 / G3
19:38
21:34
53:27
Show details
Prediction details: Cheok Hei Lao

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 14–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +86 s
Time: 11:12
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: 24.0 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.3 s
Gap behind: 16.5 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 21:34 (4:19 / km)
Error: −1:56 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 53:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:23 (37.1 km/h)
Run: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Total: 53:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 53.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 15 Hyohyun Kim
KOR
+49 s
+31 s
G2 / G3
22:28
19:53
53:56
Show details
Prediction details: Hyohyun Kim

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 16–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 17.6 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:28 (4:30 / km)
Historical basis: 4:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -1.40 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Error: +2:35 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 53:56
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 22:28 (4:30 / km)
Total: 53:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 15.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 19 John Wayne Ybañez
PHI
+148 s
+111 s
G8 / G4
19:45
19:52
55:14
Show details
Prediction details: John Wayne Ybañez

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 18–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +148 s
Time: 12:14
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +111 s
Fehler: 37.1 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.83 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 22.5 s
Gap behind: 33.0 s

Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 55:14
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 12:14 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:01 (36.3 km/h)
Run: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Total: 55:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 115.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 16 CHristopher Adrian Te
PHI
+106 s
+65 s
G6 / G3
22:36
20:47
56:41
Show details
Prediction details: CHristopher Adrian Te

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 20–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +106 s
Time: 11:32
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: 41.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.82 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:36 (4:31 / km)
Historical basis: 4:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:47 (4:09 / km)
Error: +1:49 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 56:41
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:32 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.4 km/h)
Run: 22:36 (4:31 / km)
Total: 56:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 73.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 18 Chan Wai Wu
MAC
+126 s
+60 s
G7 / G3
21:51
21:50
57:07
Show details
Prediction details: Chan Wai Wu

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 20–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +126 s
Time: 11:52
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: 65.6 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 72 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.8 s
Gap behind: 22.5 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:51 (4:22 / km)
Historical basis: 4:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 21:50 (4:22 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 57:07
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:52 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:10 (36.2 km/h)
Run: 21:51 (4:22 / km)
Total: 57:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 92.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 21 Raphael Chau
SGP
+58 s
+12 s
G3 / G3
correct
28:40
26:33
1:01:47
Show details
Prediction details: Raphael Chau

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 46.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.9 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s

Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:40 (5:44 / km)
Historical basis: 5:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 26:33 (5:19 / km)
Error: +2:07 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:47
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:44 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:00 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 28:40 (5:44 / km)
Total: 1:01:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 25.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 22 Ryan Ambrose Jo-Hann Lim
MAS
+181 s
+145 s
G9 / G6
26:40
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Ambrose Jo-Hann Lim

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +181 s
Time: 12:47
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +145 s
Fehler: 36.1 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 9 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 33.0 s
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 29.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 26:40 (5:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:47 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:42 (31.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 148.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.