Prediction comparison

Elite Women

30.05.2026 Casino Mamaia ROU

Race information and calculation basis

2026 World Triathlon Development Regional Cup Mamaia

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 30.05.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

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The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Swim distance in metres

Bike distance in metres

Run distance in metres

Prediction model used

Modell v14 calibrated

Prediction quality 73/100 mittel

Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 72 früheren Rennen und 1324 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 39.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 5 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 45.5 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 68.2 % · 72 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error5.0

Mean swim error42.0 s

Mean bike-speed error1.56 km/h

Correct bike groups5/16

No history6

Within the 80% range22.7 %

Place Prediction / result	Athlete	Swimming Prediction / result	Bike group Prediction / result	Run Prediction / result	Overall prediction	Details
1 / 2	Tunde Georgiana Crisan ROU	+32 s +1 s	G1 / G1 correct	19:58 17:56	53:22	Show details Prediction details: Tunde Georgiana Crisan Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 4–9 Top-10 probability: 98 % Result: 2 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +32 s Time: 10:52 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1 s Fehler: 31.0 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 8 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 56 % Speed: 36.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.7 s Gap behind: 6.8 s Result: Group 1 (4 people) Speed: 36.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.78 km/h Running and total Run: 19:58 (4:00 / km) Historical basis: 4:00 / km Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 6 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:35 / km) Error: +2:02 / +0:24 / km Overall prediction: 53:22 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:52 (1:27 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:52 (36.1 km/h) Run: 19:58 (4:00 / km) Total: 53:22
2 / 1	Sofya Kryvetskaya BLR	+65 s +23 s	G2 / G1	18:33 17:50	53:23	Show details Prediction details: Sofya Kryvetskaya Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 4–7 Top-10 probability: 98 % Result: 1 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +65 s Time: 11:25 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +23 s Fehler: 42.3 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 4 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 35.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.6 s Gap behind: 1.9 s Result: Group 1 (4 people) Speed: 37.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.01 km/h Running and total Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km) Historical basis: 3:46 / km Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 4 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km) Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km Overall prediction: 53:23 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 11:25 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:38 (35.3 km/h) Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km) Total: 53:23 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:53 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m About 31.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 9	Mira Ivanova Georgieva BUL	+27 s +13 s	G1 / G3	20:16 19:15	53:40	Show details Prediction details: Mira Ivanova Georgieva Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 5–10 Top-10 probability: 99 % Result: 9 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +27 s Time: 10:47 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +13 s Fehler: 13.7 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 60 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 38 % Speed: 36.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 10.1 s Gap behind: 2.6 s Result: Group 3 (3 people) Speed: 36.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.44 km/h Running and total Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km) Historical basis: 4:01 / km Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 1.05 %, Sicherheit 42 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:15 (3:51 / km) Error: +1:01 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 53:40 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:47 (1:26 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:52 (36.1 km/h) Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km) Total: 53:40
4 / 4	Sofiia Bondarenko UKR	+39 s +14 s	G2 / G2 correct	18:57 18:20	53:47	Show details Prediction details: Sofiia Bondarenko Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 4–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 4 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +39 s Time: 10:59 Pace: 1:28 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +14 s Fehler: 24.8 s H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 3 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 6 % Speed: 35.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 6.8 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 2 (1 people) Speed: 37.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.66 km/h Running and total Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:48 / km Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km Trend: −0:05 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 1.61 %, Sicherheit 3 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:20 (3:40 / km) Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km Overall prediction: 53:47 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:59 (1:28 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:38 (35.3 km/h) Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km) Total: 53:47 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:42 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m About 17.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 13	Mirolyuba Nenkova BUL	+58 s +63 s	G2 / G8	19:23 19:38	54:13	Show details Prediction details: Mirolyuba Nenkova Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 6–10 Top-10 probability: 90 % Result: 13 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +58 s Time: 11:18 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +63 s Fehler: -4.6 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 50 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 35.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.4 s Gap behind: 4.3 s Result: Group 8 (1 people) Speed: 32.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.98 km/h Running and total Run: 19:23 (3:53 / km) Historical basis: 3:49 / km Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 1.59 %, Sicherheit 35 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:38 (3:56 / km) Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 54:13 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 11:18 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:38 (35.3 km/h) Run: 19:23 (3:53 / km) Total: 54:13 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:41 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m About 36.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 10	Anastasiya Peycheva BUL	+67 s +78 s	G2 / G5	19:44 19:57	54:34	Show details Prediction details: Anastasiya Peycheva Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 6–11 Top-10 probability: 89 % Result: 10 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +67 s Time: 11:27 Pace: 1:32 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +78 s Fehler: -10.8 s H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 26 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 35.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.9 s Gap behind: 4.8 s Result: Group 5 (3 people) Speed: 34.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.61 km/h Running and total Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km) Historical basis: 3:53 / km Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.46 %, Sicherheit 22 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:57 (3:59 / km) Error: −0:13 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 54:34 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 11:27 (1:32 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:38 (35.3 km/h) Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km) Total: 54:34 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:54 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m About 33.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 6	Mürya Karayel TUR	+17 s +0 s	G1 / G1 correct	21:27 19:22	54:51	Show details Prediction details: Mürya Karayel Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 8–11 Top-10 probability: 83 % Result: 6 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +17 s Time: 10:37 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 16.6 s H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 20 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 85 % Speed: 36.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 10.1 s Result: Group 1 (4 people) Speed: 37.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.93 km/h Running and total Run: 21:27 (4:17 / km) Historical basis: 4:18 / km Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 13 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:22 (3:52 / km) Error: +2:05 / +0:25 / km Overall prediction: 54:51 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:37 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:52 (36.1 km/h) Run: 21:27 (4:17 / km) Total: 54:51
8 / 7	Karmen Fabris CRO	+39 s +76 s	G2 / G4	20:59 19:41	55:49	Show details Prediction details: Karmen Fabris Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 9–13 Top-10 probability: 33 % Result: 7 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +39 s Time: 10:59 Pace: 1:28 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +76 s Fehler: -37.0 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 37 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 15 % Speed: 35.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 17.0 s Result: Group 4 (1 people) Speed: 37.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.95 km/h Running and total Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km) Historical basis: 4:08 / km Best comparable pace: 4:08 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 1.38 %, Sicherheit 29 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:41 (3:56 / km) Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km Overall prediction: 55:49 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:59 (1:28 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:38 (35.3 km/h) Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km) Total: 55:49 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:42 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m About 17.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 5	Anna Maria Besenyei ROU	+29 s +1 s	G1 / G1 correct	22:26 18:49	55:50	Show details Prediction details: Anna Maria Besenyei Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 10–13 Top-10 probability: 11 % Result: 5 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +29 s Time: 10:49 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1 s Fehler: 28.3 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 1.20 %, Sicherheit 37 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 48 % Speed: 36.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.6 s Gap behind: 2.7 s Result: Group 1 (4 people) Speed: 37.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.97 km/h Running and total Run: 22:26 (4:29 / km) Historical basis: 4:25 / km Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 1.42 %, Sicherheit 27 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:49 (3:46 / km) Error: +3:37 / +0:43 / km Overall prediction: 55:50 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:49 (1:27 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:52 (36.1 km/h) Run: 22:26 (4:29 / km) Total: 55:50
10 / 12	Raluca Vilcu ROU	+56 s +75 s	G2 / G5	21:33 20:57	56:23	Show details Prediction details: Raluca Vilcu Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 11–13 Top-10 probability: 1 % Result: 12 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +56 s Time: 11:16 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +75 s Fehler: -19.0 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 56 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 35.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 17.0 s Gap behind: 2.4 s Result: Group 5 (3 people) Speed: 34.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.58 km/h Running and total Run: 21:33 (4:19 / km) Historical basis: 4:15 / km Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 1.22 %, Sicherheit 43 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:57 (4:11 / km) Error: +0:36 / +0:07 / km Overall prediction: 56:23 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 11:16 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:38 (35.3 km/h) Run: 21:33 (4:19 / km) Total: 56:23 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:42 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m About 34.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 11	Aisha Batel Essameldin Abouelela ROU	+72 s +13 s	G2 / G5	23:22 20:32	58:12	Show details Prediction details: Aisha Batel Essameldin Abouelela Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 14–14 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 11 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +72 s Time: 11:32 Pace: 1:32 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +13 s Fehler: 59.0 s H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 20 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.8 s Gap behind: 24.0 s Result: Group 5 (3 people) Speed: 33.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.93 km/h Running and total Run: 23:22 (4:40 / km) Historical basis: 4:44 / km Best comparable pace: 4:44 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.27 %, Sicherheit 21 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:32 (4:06 / km) Error: +2:50 / +0:34 / km Overall prediction: 58:12 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 11:32 (1:32 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:38 (35.3 km/h) Run: 23:22 (4:40 / km) Total: 58:12 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:42 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m About 50.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 8	Alice Perjoiu ROU	+63 s +36 s	G2 / G3	34:06 18:59	1:08:56	Show details Prediction details: Alice Perjoiu Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 15–15 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 8 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +63 s Time: 11:23 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +36 s Fehler: 26.7 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 41 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 35.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.3 s Gap behind: 2.6 s Result: Group 3 (3 people) Speed: 37.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.64 km/h Running and total Run: 34:06 (6:49 / km) Historical basis: 7:00 / km Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 31 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:59 (3:48 / km) Error: +15:07 / +3:01 / km Overall prediction: 1:08:56 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 11:23 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:38 (35.3 km/h) Run: 34:06 (6:49 / km) Total: 1:08:56 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:42 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m About 41.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 17	Andreea-Daniela Paun ROU	+231 s +97 s	G5 / G10	25:03 22:16	1:11:11	Show details Prediction details: Andreea-Daniela Paun Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 16–16 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 17 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +231 s Time: 14:11 Pace: 1:53 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +97 s Fehler: 133.9 s H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -1.69 %, Sicherheit 24 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 28.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 134.9 s Gap behind: 13.6 s Result: Group 10 (2 people) Speed: 30.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.07 km/h Running and total Run: 25:03 (5:01 / km) Historical basis: 4:53 / km Best comparable pace: 4:53 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 15 % Ergebnis Lauf: 22:16 (4:27 / km) Error: +2:47 / +0:33 / km Overall prediction: 1:11:11 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 14:11 (1:53 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 42:18 (28.1 km/h) Run: 25:03 (5:01 / km) Total: 1:11:11 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:42 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m About 209.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 3	Nika Rimaj CRO	+96 s +75 s	G3 / G3 correct	17:27		Show details Prediction details: Nika Rimaj Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–1 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 3 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +96 s Time: 11:56 Pace: 1:35 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +75 s Fehler: 21.0 s H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 31 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 24.0 s Gap behind: 134.9 s Result: Group 3 (3 people) Speed: 37.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.23 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 17:27 (3:29 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 11:56 (1:35 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:38 (35.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:54 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m About 62.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14	Erika Ioana Fortu ROU	+0 s +4 s	G0 / G6	22:11		Show details Prediction details: Erika Ioana Fortu Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 17–17 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 14 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 10:20 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +4 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 6 (1 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 22:11 (4:26 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15	Raluca Maria Rotaru ROU	+0 s +69 s	G0 / G7	23:45		Show details Prediction details: Raluca Maria Rotaru Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 18–18 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 15 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 10:20 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +69 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 7 (1 people) Speed: 33.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:45 (4:45 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16	Amalia Georgiana Gheba ROU	+0 s +93 s	G0 / G9	22:14		Show details Prediction details: Amalia Georgiana Gheba Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 19–19 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 16 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 10:20 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +93 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 9 (1 people) Speed: 30.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 22:14 (4:27 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18	Ines Petcu ROU	+0 s +95 s	G0 / G10	22:57		Show details Prediction details: Ines Petcu Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 20–20 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 18 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 10:20 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +95 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 10 (2 people) Speed: 30.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 22:57 (4:35 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19	Ana maria Nedelcu ROU	+0 s +277 s	G0 / G13	20:14		Show details Prediction details: Ana maria Nedelcu Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 21–21 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 19 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 10:20 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +277 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 13 (2 people) Speed: 29.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 20:14 (4:03 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20	Anais Bobocea ROU	+245 s +146 s	G4 / G11	23:50		Show details Prediction details: Anais Bobocea Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 2–3 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 20 Deviation: -20 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +245 s Time: 14:25 Pace: 1:55 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +146 s Fehler: 98.5 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -1.44 %, Sicherheit 23 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 28.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 13.6 s Gap behind: 100.1 s Result: Group 11 (1 people) Speed: 31.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.74 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:50 (4:46 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 14:25 (1:55 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 40:04 (28.5 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:42 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m About 223 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 21	Tija Kukuneshoska MKD	+345 s +240 s	G4 / G12	24:32		Show details Prediction details: Tija Kukuneshoska Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 2–3 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 21 Deviation: -21 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +345 s Time: 16:05 Pace: 2:09 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +240 s Fehler: 104.6 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 28.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 100.1 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 12 (1 people) Speed: 29.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.40 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 24:32 (4:54 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 16:05 (2:09 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 40:04 (28.5 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:54 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m About 310.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 22	Ioana Elena Munteanu ROU	+0 s +184 s	G0 / G13	24:11		Show details Prediction details: Ioana Elena Munteanu Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 22–22 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 10:20 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +184 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 13 (2 people) Speed: 28.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 24:11 (4:50 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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