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Race prediction

Elite Men

26.07.2026 SRB
Race information and calculation basis
2026 World Triathlon Development Regional Cup Vlasina Lake

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 26.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 78/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 23 früheren Rennen und 656 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 48.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 81.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 93.8 % · 23 Kalibrierungsrennen

Rank Athlete Swimming Bike group Run Total Details
1 Tin Rebic
CRO
 +27 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 12:04
2:25 / km
 42:00
Show details
Prediction details: Tin Rebic

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s

Running and total

Run: 12:04 (2:25 / km)
Historical basis: 2:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:24 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Overall prediction: 42:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 12:04 (2:25 / km)
Total: 42:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 0.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 Marat Veratsennikau
BLR
 +37 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 13:59
2:48 / km
 43:55
Show details
Prediction details: Marat Veratsennikau

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s

Running and total

Run: 13:59 (2:48 / km)
Historical basis: 2:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 43:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 13:59 (2:48 / km)
Total: 43:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 10.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 Taha Eren Coşgun
TUR
 +20 s Gruppe 1
7 Personen
 16:37
3:19 / km
 45:33
Show details
Prediction details: Taha Eren Coşgun

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–11
Top-10 probability: 89 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s

Running and total

Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 45:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:33
4 Filip Vilenica
CRO
 +13 s Gruppe 1
7 Personen
 16:51
3:22 / km
 45:47
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Vilenica

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–11
Top-10 probability: 85 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 6.5 s

Running and total

Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:26 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 45:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Total: 45:47
5 Mikita Katsianeu
BLR
 +29 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 16:09
3:14 / km
 46:05
Show details
Prediction details: Mikita Katsianeu

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–13
Top-10 probability: 74 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s

Running and total

Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:26 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 46:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Total: 46:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 3.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 Gabriel Barac
CRO
 +20 s Gruppe 1
7 Personen
 17:10
3:26 / km
 46:06
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriel Barac

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–14
Top-10 probability: 79 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Running and total

Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur -1.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 46:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Total: 46:06
7 Daniil Babanschi
MDA
 +21 s Gruppe 1
7 Personen
 17:14
3:27 / km
 46:10
Show details
Prediction details: Daniil Babanschi

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–12
Top-10 probability: 76 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 118 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Running and total

Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 46:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Total: 46:10
8 Simeon Bobekov
BUL
 +42 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 16:16
3:15 / km
 46:12
Show details
Prediction details: Simeon Bobekov

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 4–15
Top-10 probability: 49 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s

Running and total

Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 46:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Total: 46:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
9 Kai Azzopardi
MLT
 +47 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 16:16
3:15 / km
 46:12
Show details
Prediction details: Kai Azzopardi

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–18
Top-10 probability: 44 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 9.5 s

Running and total

Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 46:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Total: 46:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
10 Petar Bozhilov
BUL
 +12 s Gruppe 1
7 Personen
 17:28
3:30 / km
 46:24
Show details
Prediction details: Petar Bozhilov

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 3–15
Top-10 probability: 63 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Running and total

Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 1.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 46:24
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Total: 46:24
11 Vlad Adrian Remzing
ROU
 +36 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 16:38
3:20 / km
 46:34
Show details
Prediction details: Vlad Adrian Remzing

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 4–17
Top-10 probability: 58 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s

Running and total

Run: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 46:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Total: 46:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
12 Domen Bojanc
SLO
 +38 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 16:47
3:21 / km
 46:43
Show details
Prediction details: Domen Bojanc

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 5–16
Top-10 probability: 40 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s

Running and total

Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 46:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Total: 46:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 12 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 Marin Stipčević
CRO
 +28 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 17:11
3:26 / km
 47:07
Show details
Prediction details: Marin Stipčević

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 5–14
Top-10 probability: 66 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 47:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 1.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 Emir Aracı
TUR
 +32 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 17:17
3:27 / km
 47:13
Show details
Prediction details: Emir Aracı

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 9–17
Top-10 probability: 18 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s

Running and total

Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 47:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Total: 47:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
15 Erik Hudovornik
SLO
 +22 s Gruppe 1
7 Personen
 18:22
3:40 / km
 47:18
Show details
Prediction details: Erik Hudovornik

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 11–21
Top-10 probability: 4 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s

Running and total

Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 1.87 %, Sicherheit 50 %
Overall prediction: 47:18
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Total: 47:18
16 Boris Andreev
BUL
 +23 s Gruppe 1
7 Personen
 18:24
3:41 / km
 47:20
Show details
Prediction details: Boris Andreev

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 9–22
Top-10 probability: 28 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s

Running and total

Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur -0.91 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 47:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Total: 47:20
17 Li Rong, Luke Chua
SGP
 +46 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 17:40
3:32 / km
 47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Li Rong, Luke Chua

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 8–24
Top-10 probability: 18 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Running and total

Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Total: 47:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 20 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 Mert Derin
TUR
 +46 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 17:57
3:35 / km
 47:53
Show details
Prediction details: Mert Derin

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 14–25
Top-10 probability: 5 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Running and total

Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 47:53
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Total: 47:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
19 Batuhan Sağin
TUR
 +44 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 18:10
3:38 / km
 48:06
Show details
Prediction details: Batuhan Sağin

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 14–23
Top-10 probability: 3 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s

Running and total

Run: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 48:06
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Total: 48:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
20 Mario Brezovski
MKD
 +35 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 18:28
3:42 / km
 48:24
Show details
Prediction details: Mario Brezovski

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 15–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s

Running and total

Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Overall prediction: 48:24
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Total: 48:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
21 Marcel Pavlin
SLO
 +41 s Gruppe 2
14 Personen
 18:41
3:44 / km
 48:37
Show details
Prediction details: Marcel Pavlin

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 19–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s

Running and total

Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 48:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Total: 48:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
22 Horea Darius Rusu
ROU
 +56 s Gruppe 3
2 Personen
 17:49
3:34 / km
 49:31
Show details
Prediction details: Horea Darius Rusu

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 16–25
Top-10 probability: 3 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Running and total

Run: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur -1.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 49:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:45 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Total: 49:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
23 Ryan Muscat
MLT
 +60 s Gruppe 4
4 Personen
 17:45
3:33 / km
 49:49
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Muscat

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 14–26
Top-10 probability: 3 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s

Running and total

Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 49:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:01 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Total: 49:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
24 Ivan Shevchenko
UKR
 +57 s Gruppe 3
2 Personen
 18:31
3:42 / km
 50:13
Show details
Prediction details: Ivan Shevchenko

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 20–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s

Running and total

Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 50:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:45 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Total: 50:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
25 Francis Daniels Veģeris
LAT
 +62 s Gruppe 4
4 Personen
 18:26
3:41 / km
 50:30
Show details
Prediction details: Francis Daniels Veģeris

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 19–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 50:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:01 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Total: 50:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
26 Valentin Iliev
BUL
 +78 s Gruppe 5
2 Personen
 17:49
3:34 / km
 50:35
Show details
Prediction details: Valentin Iliev

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 18–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.8 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s

Running and total

Run: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Overall prediction: 50:35
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:18 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Total: 50:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
27 Marko Reljić
SRB
 +61 s Gruppe 4
4 Personen
 19:00
3:48 / km
 51:04
Show details
Prediction details: Marko Reljić

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 20–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s

Running and total

Run: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Overall prediction: 51:04
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:01 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Total: 51:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
28 Cristian Vasilache
MDA
 +81 s Gruppe 6
1 Personen
 19:04
3:49 / km
 52:35
Show details
Prediction details: Cristian Vasilache

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 27–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +81 s
Time: 10:21
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Overall prediction: 52:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:21 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:10 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Total: 52:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
29 Catalin Sviderski
ROU
 +70 s Gruppe 5
2 Personen
 19:57
3:59 / km
 52:43
Show details
Prediction details: Catalin Sviderski

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 28–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.6 s
Gap behind: 7.8 s

Running and total

Run: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 52:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:28 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Total: 52:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
30 Stefan Delev
MKD
 +63 s Gruppe 4
4 Personen
 21:01
4:12 / km
 53:05
Show details
Prediction details: Stefan Delev

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 28–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 7.6 s

Running and total

Run: 21:01 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 53:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:01 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 21:01 (4:12 / km)
Total: 53:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Jovan Kovacevic
MNE
 – –
Show details
Prediction details: Jovan Kovacevic

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Krasimir Georgiev
BUL
 – –
Show details
Prediction details: Krasimir Georgiev

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.