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Performance Workspace
Predicition
Race prediction

PTS5 Men

28.03.2026 UAE
Race information and calculation basis
2026 World Triathlon Para Cup Abu Dhabi

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 28.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 30/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 73 früheren Rennen und 1464 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 43.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 87.5 % · 73 Kalibrierungsrennen

Rank Athlete Swimming Bike group Run Total Details
0 Ernestas Cesonis
LTU
+184 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Ernestas Cesonis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +184 s
Time:
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Andreas Doulappas
CYP
+151 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Andreas Doulappas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +151 s
Time:
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Oscar Dennis
KEN
+53 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Dennis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time:
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Takumi Ando
JPN
+161 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Takumi Ando

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +161 s
Time:
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Ugurcan Ozer
TUR
+36 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Ugurcan Ozer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time:
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Keiichi Sato
JPN
+63 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Keiichi Sato

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time:
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Aleksandr Konyshev
AIN
+44 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Aleksandr Konyshev

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time:
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Aleksandr Ialchik
AIN
+73 s Gruppe 0
0 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Aleksandr Ialchik

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +73 s
Time:
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.