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PTVI Women

13.03.2026 AUS
Race information and calculation basis
2026 World Triathlon Para Series Devonport

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 45/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 50.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 75.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.5
Mean swim error55.0 s
Mean bike-speed error3.88 km/h
Correct bike groups2/4
No history0
Within the 80% range50.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Caroline Baird B3
AUS
+43 s
+88 s
G1 / G4
 21:45
21:08
 56:50
Show details
Prediction details: Caroline Baird B3

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 13:36
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +88 s
Fehler: -44.7 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 25.7 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 27.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:45 (4:21 / km)
Historical basis: 4:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:08 (4:14 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 56:50
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:36 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:56 (35.0 km/h)
Run: 21:45 (4:21 / km)
Total: 56:50
2 / 1 Maggie Sandles B3
AUS
+69 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		21:57
21:55
 57:02
Show details
Prediction details: Maggie Sandles B3

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 14:02
Pace: 1:52 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 69.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 25.7 s
Gap behind: 108.5 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:57 (4:23 / km)
Historical basis: 4:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:55 (4:23 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 57:02
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:02 (1:52 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:56 (35.0 km/h)
Run: 21:57 (4:23 / km)
Total: 57:02
3 / 4 Mako Takeuchi B3
JPN
+207 s
+286 s
G2 / G3
 23:10
23:18
 1:03:02
Show details
Prediction details: Mako Takeuchi B3

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +207 s
Time: 16:20
Pace: 2:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +286 s
Fehler: -78.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 29.8 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 30.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:10 (4:38 / km)
Historical basis: 4:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:18 (4:40 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:02
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 16:20 (2:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:24 (32.6 km/h)
Run: 23:10 (4:38 / km)
Total: 1:03:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:52
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
About 148.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +58.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 2 Antigoni Chariessa Vasilopoulou B2
GRE
+178 s
+205 s
G2 / G2
correct 		23:16
23:14
 1:03:08
Show details
Prediction details: Antigoni Chariessa Vasilopoulou B2

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +178 s
Time: 15:51
Pace: 2:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +205 s
Fehler: -27.5 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 108.5 s
Gap behind: 29.8 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:16 (4:39 / km)
Historical basis: 4:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:28 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:14 (4:39 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:08
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:51 (2:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:24 (32.6 km/h)
Run: 23:16 (4:39 / km)
Total: 1:03:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:41
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
About 130.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.