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Prediction comparison

Elite Men

26.08.2023 Edmonton, Kingsmen Park CAN
Race information and calculation basis
2023 Americas Triathlon Cup Edmonton

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 26.08.2023 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 40/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 80.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 90.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error15.5
Mean swim error34.4 s
Mean bike-speed error42.46 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Jeremy Briand
CAN
+37 s
+1 s
G0 / G1
 16:00
Show details
Prediction details: Jeremy Briand

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 36.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.75 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -1.33 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:16 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Russell Pennock
CAN
+39 s
+1 s
G0 / G1
 14:35
Show details
Prediction details: Russell Pennock

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 38.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 78 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:35 (2:55 / km)
Historical basis: 2:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:21 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 14:35 (2:55 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Zach Leachman
USA
+38 s
+0 s
G0 / G1
 14:43
Show details
Prediction details: Zach Leachman

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time:
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 38.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 97 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:43 (2:57 / km)
Historical basis: 2:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:45 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 14:43 (2:57 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Ryan Luczak
USA
+14 s
+1 s
G0 / G1
 15:10
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Luczak

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time:
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 13.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 William Nolet
CAN
+46 s
+4 s
G0 / G1
 15:41
Show details
Prediction details: William Nolet

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 42.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Matthew McGoey
USA
+52 s
+6 s
G0 / G1
 16:41
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew McGoey

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 46.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:41 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Thomas Smans
NED
+111 s
+5 s
G0 / G1
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Smans

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +111 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 106.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Nicolas Probert Vargas
MEX
+12 s
+3 s
G0 / G1
 17:26
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Probert Vargas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 9.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.37 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -2.36 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:44 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Teppei Tokuyama
JPN
+19 s
+6 s
G0 / G1
 15:26
Show details
Prediction details: Teppei Tokuyama

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time:
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 13.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 88 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:48 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Griff Morgan
USA
+4 s
+2 s
G0 / G1
 16:25
Show details
Prediction details: Griff Morgan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time:
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:47 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Ryan Lund
USA
+53 s
+6 s
G0 / G1
 16:20
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Lund

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 47.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 88 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:50 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Alexandre Leblanc
CAN
+46 s
+4 s
G0 / G1
 15:08
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandre Leblanc

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 42.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:08 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:08 (3:02 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Blaise Uglow
CAN
+32 s
+3 s
G0 / G1
 16:47
Show details
Prediction details: Blaise Uglow

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 29.0 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Humberto Castañeiras Jenner
MEX
+36 s
+8 s
G0 / G1
 16:35
Show details
Prediction details: Humberto Castañeiras Jenner

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time:
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 28.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Amu Omuro
JPN
+7 s
+2 s
G0 / G1
 16:07
Show details
Prediction details: Amu Omuro

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time:
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Nathan Grondin
CAN
+49 s
+5 s
G0 / G1
 15:49
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Grondin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 44.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:53 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Tristen Jones
CAN
+27 s
+5 s
G0 / G1
 15:44
Show details
Prediction details: Tristen Jones

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time:
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 22.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:05 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Christopher Deegan
AUS
+8 s
+4 s
G0 / G2
 18:06
Show details
Prediction details: Christopher Deegan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time:
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:40 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Connor Oats
USA
+107 s
+7 s
G0 / G2
 16:36
Show details
Prediction details: Connor Oats

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +107 s
Time:
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 100.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:39 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Blake Harris
CAN
+54 s
+14 s
G0 / G2
 15:50
Show details
Prediction details: Blake Harris

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time:
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 40.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:27 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Daniel Epp
CAN
+68 s
+12 s
G0 / G2
 16:19
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Epp

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 56.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Henry Bristol
CAN
+53 s
+14 s
G0 / G2
 15:39
Show details
Prediction details: Henry Bristol

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time:
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 39.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 66 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:00 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Vladyslav Lyesin
CAN
+40 s
+15 s
G0 / G2
 16:09
Show details
Prediction details: Vladyslav Lyesin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time:
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 25.0 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:09 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Noah Peterson
USA
+97 s
+7 s
G0 / G1
 15:08
Show details
Prediction details: Noah Peterson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +97 s
Time:
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 90.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (18 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:08 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 1.19 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:36 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:08 (3:02 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Brodie Marshall
CAN
+11 s
+11 s
G0 / G2
 17:00
Show details
Prediction details: Brodie Marshall

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time:
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:56 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26 Hayden Woodrow
CAN
+6 s
+4 s
G0 / G2
 15:33
Show details
Prediction details: Hayden Woodrow

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time:
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:26 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 Joaquin Pereda
MEX
+7 s
+28 s
G0 / G3
Show details
Prediction details: Joaquin Pereda

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -21.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -40.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:17 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 Trevor Laupland
CAN
+18 s
+42 s
G0 / G4
 17:20
Show details
Prediction details: Trevor Laupland

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time:
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -24.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -37.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:25 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 29 Oleksii Kolesov
CAN
+48 s
+78 s
G0 / G4
 17:54
Show details
Prediction details: Oleksii Kolesov

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time:
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +78 s
Fehler: -30.0 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -38.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:53 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30 Douglas Wickware
CAN
+95 s
+55 s
G0 / G4
Show details
Prediction details: Douglas Wickware

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +95 s
Time:
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 40.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -38.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:07 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.