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55-59 Female AG

24.09.2023 Pontevedra ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2023 World Triathlon Age-Group Aquabike Championships Pontevedra

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 24.09.2023 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 29/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 18.2 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 36.4 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.8
Mean swim error197.9 s
Mean bike-speed error4.31 km/h
Correct bike groups0/15
No history7
Within the 80% range4.5 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Sabine Greipel
AUT
+57 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
 50:12 2:03:11
Show details
Prediction details: Sabine Greipel

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 8–10
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 24:46
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 57.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 27.0 s
Gap behind: 18.0 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 50:12 (5:01 / km)
Historical basis: 5:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:56 / km
Trend: −0:06 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:03:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 24:46 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:57 (33.0 km/h)
Run: 50:12 (5:01 / km)
Total: 2:03:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 23.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 2 Anke Lakies
GER
+246 s
+327 s
G3 / G2
 44:54 2:06:33
Show details
Prediction details: Anke Lakies

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 9–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +246 s
Time: 27:55
Pace: 1:52 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +327 s
Fehler: -81.5 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.85 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 43.5 s
Gap behind: 7.8 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 44:54 (4:29 / km)
Historical basis: 4:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:06:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 27:55 (1:52 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:17:23 (30.7 km/h)
Run: 44:54 (4:29 / km)
Total: 2:06:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 211.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 3 Lynda Coggins
GBR
+75 s
+57 s
G2 / G3
 58:35 2:11:34
Show details
Prediction details: Lynda Coggins

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +75 s
Time: 25:04
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 18.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.07 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 18.0 s
Gap behind: 47.0 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 58:35 (5:51 / km)
Historical basis: 6:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:11:34
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 25:04 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:57 (33.0 km/h)
Run: 58:35 (5:51 / km)
Total: 2:11:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 41.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 4 Kathryn Butt
GBR
+202 s
+156 s
G3 / G4
 55:21 2:17:00
Show details
Prediction details: Kathryn Butt

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 12–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +202 s
Time: 27:11
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +156 s
Fehler: 46.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 29.3 s
Gap behind: 43.5 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 28.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 55:21 (5:32 / km)
Historical basis: 5:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:17:00
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 27:11 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:17:23 (30.7 km/h)
Run: 55:21 (5:32 / km)
Total: 2:17:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 168.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 9 Victoria Miller
GBR
+256 s
+300 s
G3 / G8
 55:28 2:17:07
Show details
Prediction details: Victoria Miller

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 12–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +256 s
Time: 28:05
Pace: 1:52 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +300 s
Fehler: -43.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 95.7 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 28.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 55:28 (5:33 / km)
Historical basis: 5:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:17:07
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 28:05 (1:52 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:17:23 (30.7 km/h)
Run: 55:28 (5:33 / km)
Total: 2:17:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 222.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 12 Karen Watson
IRL
+253 s
+428 s
G3 / G11
 59:26 2:21:05
Show details
Prediction details: Karen Watson

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +253 s
Time: 28:02
Pace: 1:52 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +428 s
Fehler: -174.7 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.08 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.8 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 27.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 59:26 (5:57 / km)
Historical basis: 5:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:21:05
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 28:02 (1:52 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:17:23 (30.7 km/h)
Run: 59:26 (5:57 / km)
Total: 2:21:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 219.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 22 Suzanne Brown
USA
+173 s
+318 s
G3 / G21
 1:36:58 2:58:37
Show details
Prediction details: Suzanne Brown

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +173 s
Time: 26:42
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +318 s
Fehler: -145.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 50.7 s
Gap behind: 29.3 s
Result: Group 21 (1 people)
Speed: 18.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 11.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:36:58 (9:42 / km)
Historical basis: 9:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 9:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:58:37
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 26:42 (1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:17:23 (30.7 km/h)
Run: 1:36:58 (9:42 / km)
Total: 2:58:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 138.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 5 Jennifer Henkel
USA
+30 s
+141 s
G1 / G5
Show details
Prediction details: Jennifer Henkel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 24:19
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +141 s
Fehler: -111.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 27.0 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 28.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 12.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 24:19 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:35 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 6 Jayne Skinner
GBR
+354 s
+314 s
G4 / G6
Show details
Prediction details: Jayne Skinner

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +354 s
Time: 29:43
Pace: 1:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +314 s
Fehler: 39.7 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 29.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 29:43 (1:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:28 (31.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 319.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 7 Pip Laufmann
AUS
+0 s
+248 s
G0 / G6
Show details
Prediction details: Pip Laufmann

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 23:49
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +248 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 28.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 23:49 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Michelle Gautier
GBR
+628 s
+542 s
G4 / G7
Show details
Prediction details: Michelle Gautier

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +628 s
Time: 34:17
Pace: 2:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +542 s
Fehler: 86.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.86 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 274.0 s
Gap behind: 635.0 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 30.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 34:17 (2:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:28 (31.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 594.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 10 Juliet Wallace-Mason
GBR
+122 s
+210 s
G2 / G9
Show details
Prediction details: Juliet Wallace-Mason

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +122 s
Time: 25:51
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +210 s
Fehler: -88.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 47.0 s
Gap behind: 50.7 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 27.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 25:51 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:57 (33.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 88.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 11 Barbara Feinstein
USA
+352 s
+448 s
G4 / G10
Show details
Prediction details: Barbara Feinstein

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +352 s
Time: 29:41
Pace: 1:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +448 s
Fehler: -96.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 95.7 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 29.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 29:41 (1:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:28 (31.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 318.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 13 Shirley Wilkinson
GBR
+0 s
+431 s
G0 / G12
Show details
Prediction details: Shirley Wilkinson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 23:49
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +431 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 26.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 23:49 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Colette Weston
GBR
+0 s
+428 s
G0 / G13
Show details
Prediction details: Colette Weston

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 23:49
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +428 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 25.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 23:49 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Julia Aimers
CAN
+0 s
+307 s
G0 / G14
Show details
Prediction details: Julia Aimers

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 23:49
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +307 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 24.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 23:49 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Lyudmyla Chub Savchenko
ESP
+1,263 s
+367 s
G4 / G15
Show details
Prediction details: Lyudmyla Chub Savchenko

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1,263 s
Time: 44:52
Pace: 2:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +367 s
Fehler: 896.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 635.0 s
Gap behind: 410.3 s
Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 24.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 44:52 (2:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:28 (31.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 1229.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 17 Dawn Addison Moss
GBR
+354 s
+389 s
G4 / G16
Show details
Prediction details: Dawn Addison Moss

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +354 s
Time: 29:43
Pace: 1:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +389 s
Fehler: -35.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 274.0 s
Result: Group 16 (1 people)
Speed: 24.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 29:43 (1:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:28 (31.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 320.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 18 Jacynthe Desrosiers
CAN
+0 s
+563 s
G0 / G17
Show details
Prediction details: Jacynthe Desrosiers

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 23:49
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +563 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 17 (1 people)
Speed: 24.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 23:49 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Louisa Summers
USA
+1,673 s
+623 s
G5 / G18
Show details
Prediction details: Louisa Summers

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1,673 s
Time: 51:42
Pace: 3:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +623 s
Fehler: 1,050.3 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 410.3 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 18 (1 people)
Speed: 23.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 51:42 (3:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:34:48 (25.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:23
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
About 1639.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 20 Terri Potter
USA
+0 s
+991 s
G0 / G19
Show details
Prediction details: Terri Potter

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 23:49
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +991 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 19 (1 people)
Speed: 23.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 23:49 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Connie Schwab
USA
+0 s
+830 s
G0 / G20
Show details
Prediction details: Connie Schwab

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 23:49
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +830 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 20 (1 people)
Speed: 22.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 23:49 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.