55-59 Male AG
Race information and calculation basis
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 24.09.2023 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Add missing course distances
The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.
Show model parameters and data quality
Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.
Datenabdeckung 12.1 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 36.4 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
| Details | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 / 16 |
USA
|
+279 s
+325 s
|
G2 / G15
|
44:58 | 1:58:32 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 1
80% range: 12–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -15
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +279 s
Time: 26:59
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +325 s
Fehler: -46.5 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.05 %,
Sicherheit 8 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
12.0 s
Gap behind:
43.5 s
Result: Group 15 (2 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.61 km/h
Running and totalRun: 44:58 (4:30 / km)
Historical basis: 4:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.86 %,
Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 1:58:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
26:59
(1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:08:12
(34.4 km/h)
Run:
44:58
(4:30 / km)
Total:
1:58:32
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 25:23
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
About 96.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +182.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 2 / 7 |
GBR
|
+250 s
+145 s
|
G3 / G7
|
44:58 | 1:58:54 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 2
80% range: 12–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +250 s
Time: 26:30
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +145 s
Fehler: 105.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.19 %,
Sicherheit 43 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
54.9 s
Gap behind:
14.9 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.21 km/h
Running and totalRun: 44:58 (4:30 / km)
Historical basis: 4:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:27 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.34 %,
Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 1:58:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
26:30
(1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:09:29
(34.3 km/h)
Run:
44:58
(4:30 / km)
Total:
1:58:54
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 25:02
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 87.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +162.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 3 / 8 |
USA
|
+106 s
+180 s
|
G3 / G8
|
45:28 | 1:59:24 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 3
80% range: 12–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +106 s
Time: 24:06
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +180 s
Fehler: -74.4 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
6.3 s
Gap behind:
39.4 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.11 km/h
Running and totalRun: 45:28 (4:33 / km)
Historical basis: 4:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 1:59:24
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
24:06
(1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:09:29
(34.3 km/h)
Run:
45:28
(4:33 / km)
Total:
1:59:24
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 23:23
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
About 42.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +62.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 4 / 11 |
GBR
|
+265 s
+280 s
|
G3 / G10
|
46:49 | 2:00:45 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 4
80% range: 14–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +265 s
Time: 26:45
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +280 s
Fehler: -15.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.45 %,
Sicherheit 5 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
14.9 s
Gap behind:
1.5 s
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.09 km/h
Running and totalRun: 46:49 (4:41 / km)
Historical basis: 4:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.43 %,
Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:00:45
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
26:45
(1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:09:29
(34.3 km/h)
Run:
46:49
(4:41 / km)
Total:
2:00:45
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 25:22
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
About 82.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +182.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 5 / 9 |
GBR
|
+145 s
+93 s
|
G3 / G9
|
48:57 | 2:02:53 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 5
80% range: 15–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +145 s
Time: 24:45
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +93 s
Fehler: 52.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.09 %,
Sicherheit 25 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
39.4 s
Gap behind:
4.0 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.64 km/h
Running and totalRun: 48:57 (4:54 / km)
Historical basis: 4:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:02:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
24:45
(1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:09:29
(34.3 km/h)
Run:
48:57
(4:54 / km)
Total:
2:02:53
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 43.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 6 / 23 |
USA
|
+173 s
+401 s
|
G3 / G21
|
50:42 | 2:04:38 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 6
80% range: 17–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -17
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +173 s
Time: 25:13
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +401 s
Fehler: -227.8 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
24.2 s
Gap behind:
13.2 s
Result: Group 21 (1 people)
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.57 km/h
Running and totalRun: 50:42 (5:04 / km)
Historical basis: 5:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:04:38
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
25:13
(1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:09:29
(34.3 km/h)
Run:
50:42
(5:04 / km)
Total:
2:04:38
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 25:05
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +165.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 7 / 18 |
USA
|
+18 s
+77 s
|
G1 / G16
|
52:54 | 2:05:32 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 7
80% range: 17–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -11
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 22:38
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: -59.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
40.7 s
Result: Group 16 (1 people)
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.79 km/h
Running and totalRun: 52:54 (5:17 / km)
Historical basis: 5:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:05:32
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
22:38
(1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:10:59
(33.1 km/h)
Run:
52:54
(5:17 / km)
Total:
2:05:32
|
| 8 / 33 |
AUS
|
+195 s
+514 s
|
G3 / G29
|
52:19 | 2:06:15 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 8
80% range: 18–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -25
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +195 s
Time: 25:35
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +514 s
Fehler: -318.8 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.2 s
Gap behind:
54.9 s
Result: Group 29 (1 people)
Speed: 20.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 13.63 km/h
Running and totalRun: 52:19 (5:14 / km)
Historical basis: 5:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:06:15
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
25:35
(1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:09:29
(34.3 km/h)
Run:
52:19
(5:14 / km)
Total:
2:06:15
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:42
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 173.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 9 / 30 |
FRA
|
+186 s
+443 s
|
G3 / G26
|
55:07 | 2:09:03 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 9
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -21
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +186 s
Time: 25:26
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +443 s
Fehler: -256.6 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
13.2 s
Gap behind:
5.6 s
Result: Group 26 (2 people)
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.17 km/h
Running and totalRun: 55:07 (5:31 / km)
Historical basis: 5:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:09:03
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
25:26
(1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:09:29
(34.3 km/h)
Run:
55:07
(5:31 / km)
Total:
2:09:03
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:42
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 164.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 10 / 29 |
USA
|
+327 s
+474 s
|
G4 / G26
|
51:32 | 2:11:55 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 10
80% range: 21–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -19
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +327 s
Time: 27:47
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +474 s
Fehler: -147.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.73 %,
Sicherheit 4 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
4.6 s
Gap behind:
59.0 s
Result: Group 26 (2 people)
Speed: 30.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.44 km/h
Running and totalRun: 51:32 (5:09 / km)
Historical basis: 5:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.16 %,
Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:11:55
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
27:47
(1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:13:57
(31.6 km/h)
Run:
51:32
(5:09 / km)
Total:
2:11:55
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:42
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 304.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 11 / 25 |
AUS
|
+454 s
+248 s
|
G5 / G22
|
52:12 | 2:13:40 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 11
80% range: 22–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -14
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +454 s
Time: 29:54
Pace: 2:00 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +248 s
Fehler: 205.6 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
68.0 s
Gap behind:
95.2 s
Result: Group 22 (2 people)
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.97 km/h
Running and totalRun: 52:12 (5:13 / km)
Historical basis: 5:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:13:40
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
29:54
(2:00 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:13:55
(32.1 km/h)
Run:
52:12
(5:13 / km)
Total:
2:13:40
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:42
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 431.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 12 / 27 |
GBR
|
+644 s
+417 s
|
G6 / G24
|
53:47 | 2:16:38 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 12
80% range: 22–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -15
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +644 s
Time: 33:04
Pace: 2:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +417 s
Fehler: 227.2 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 8 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
6.5 s
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 24 (1 people)
Speed: 30.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.23 km/h
Running and totalRun: 53:47 (5:23 / km)
Historical basis: 5:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.57 %,
Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:16:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
33:04
(2:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:12:06
(32.9 km/h)
Run:
53:47
(5:23 / km)
Total:
2:16:38
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 23:22
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 581.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +62.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 0 / 1 |
GER
|
+267 s
+121 s
|
G3 / G1
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +267 s
Time: 26:47
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +121 s
Fehler: 145.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.03 %,
Sicherheit 24 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.5 s
Gap behind:
12.0 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.05 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
26:47
(1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:09:29
(34.3 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 25:23
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
About 84.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +182.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
||
| 0 / 2 |
USA
|
+193 s
+205 s
|
G3 / G2
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +193 s
Time: 25:33
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +205 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
2.2 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.72 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
25:33
(1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:09:29
(34.3 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 91.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
||
| 0 / 3 |
AUT
|
+59 s
+86 s
|
G1 / G3
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 23:19
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: -27.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.13 %,
Sicherheit 26 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
40.7 s
Gap behind:
40.6 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.03 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
23:19
(1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:10:59
(33.1 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
|
||
| 0 / 4 |
ESP
|
+0 s
+0 s
|
G0 / G4
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
22:20
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
||
| 0 / 5 |
USA
|
+0 s
+53 s
|
G0 / G5
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
22:20
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
||
| 0 / 6 |
USA
|
+0 s
+19 s
|
G0 / G6
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 26–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
22:20
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
||
| 0 / 10 |
GBR
|
+0 s
+215 s
|
G0 / G10
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +215 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
22:20
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
||
| 0 / 12 |
USA
|
+322 s
+279 s
|
G2 / G11
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +322 s
Time: 27:42
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +279 s
Fehler: 43.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
43.5 s
Gap behind:
4.6 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.17 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
27:42
(1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:08:12
(34.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 220.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
||
| 0 / 13 |
GBR
|
+0 s
+316 s
|
G0 / G12
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +316 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
22:20
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
||
| 0 / 14 |
GBR
|
+99 s
+134 s
|
G1 / G13
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +99 s
Time: 23:59
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +134 s
Fehler: -34.7 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 4 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
40.6 s
Gap behind:
6.3 s
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 30.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.29 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
23:59
(1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:10:59
(33.1 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
|
||
| 0 / 15 |
ESP
|
+0 s
+321 s
|
G0 / G14
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +321 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
22:20
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
||
| 0 / 17 |
GBR
|
+576 s
+356 s
|
G6 / G15
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 73 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +576 s
Time: 31:56
Pace: 2:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +356 s
Fehler: 220.3 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 4 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
27.5 s
Gap behind:
61.4 s
Result: Group 15 (2 people)
Speed: 32.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.85 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
31:56
(2:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:12:06
(32.9 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:01
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 474.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
||
| 0 / 19 |
GBR
|
+638 s
+391 s
|
G6 / G17
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +638 s
Time: 32:58
Pace: 2:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +391 s
Fehler: 246.7 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.09 %,
Sicherheit 25 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
61.4 s
Gap behind:
6.5 s
Result: Group 17 (1 people)
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.20 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
32:58
(2:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:12:06
(32.9 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:42
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 615.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
||
| 0 / 20 |
GBR
|
+0 s
+148 s
|
G0 / G18
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +148 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 18 (1 people)
Speed: 30.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
22:20
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
||
| 0 / 21 |
GBR
|
+149 s
+157 s
|
G3 / G19
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +149 s
Time: 24:49
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +157 s
Fehler: -8.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
4.0 s
Gap behind:
24.2 s
Result: Group 19 (1 people)
Speed: 29.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.49 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
24:49
(1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:09:29
(34.3 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 47.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
||
| 0 / 22 |
ESP
|
+0 s
+173 s
|
G0 / G20
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +173 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 20 (1 people)
Speed: 30.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
22:20
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
||
| 0 / 24 |
GBR
|
+0 s
+257 s
|
G0 / G22
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +257 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 22 (2 people)
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
22:20
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
||
| 0 / 26 |
GBR
|
+549 s
+460 s
|
G6 / G23
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -26
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +549 s
Time: 31:29
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +460 s
Fehler: 88.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.27 %,
Sicherheit 22 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
95.2 s
Gap behind:
27.5 s
Result: Group 23 (1 people)
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.49 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
31:29
(2:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:12:06
(32.9 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:42
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 526.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
||
| 0 / 28 |
USA
|
+192 s
+320 s
|
G3 / G25
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -28
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +192 s
Time: 25:32
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +320 s
Fehler: -128.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
5.6 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 25 (1 people)
Speed: 29.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.33 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
25:32
(1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:09:29
(34.3 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 90.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
||
| 0 / 31 |
GBR
|
+386 s
+396 s
|
G4 / G27
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 7–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -31
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +386 s
Time: 28:46
Pace: 1:55 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +396 s
Fehler: -10.4 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
59.0 s
Gap behind:
68.0 s
Result: Group 27 (1 people)
Speed: 28.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.82 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
28:46
(1:55 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
1:13:57
(31.6 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 284.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
||
| 0 / 32 |
USA
|
+0 s
+325 s
|
G0 / G28
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +325 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 28 (1 people)
Speed: 22.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
22:20
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|