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Predicition
Prediction comparison

55-59 Male AG

24.09.2023 Pontevedra ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2023 World Triathlon Age-Group Aquabike Championships Pontevedra

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 24.09.2023 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 26/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 12.1 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 36.4 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error14.4
Mean swim error117.4 s
Mean bike-speed error3.08 km/h
Correct bike groups0/23
No history10
Within the 80% range6.1 %
Details
1 / 16 Jeremy Oury
USA
+279 s
+325 s
G2 / G15
44:58 1:58:32
Show details
Prediction details: Jeremy Oury

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 12–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +279 s
Time: 26:59
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +325 s
Fehler: -46.5 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.0 s
Gap behind: 43.5 s

Result: Group 15 (2 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 44:58 (4:30 / km)
Historical basis: 4:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.86 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 1:58:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 26:59 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:08:12 (34.4 km/h)
Run: 44:58 (4:30 / km)
Total: 1:58:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 25:23
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
About 96.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +182.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 7 Adrian Feasby
GBR
+250 s
+145 s
G3 / G7
44:58 1:58:54
Show details
Prediction details: Adrian Feasby

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 12–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +250 s
Time: 26:30
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +145 s
Fehler: 105.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 54.9 s
Gap behind: 14.9 s

Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 44:58 (4:30 / km)
Historical basis: 4:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:27 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 1:58:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 26:30 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:29 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 44:58 (4:30 / km)
Total: 1:58:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 25:02
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 87.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +162.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 8 Philippe Des Francs
USA
+106 s
+180 s
G3 / G8
45:28 1:59:24
Show details
Prediction details: Philippe Des Francs

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 12–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +106 s
Time: 24:06
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +180 s
Fehler: -74.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.3 s
Gap behind: 39.4 s

Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 45:28 (4:33 / km)
Historical basis: 4:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 1:59:24
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 24:06 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:29 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 45:28 (4:33 / km)
Total: 1:59:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 23:23
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
About 42.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +62.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 11 Pete Pastides
GBR
+265 s
+280 s
G3 / G10
46:49 2:00:45
Show details
Prediction details: Pete Pastides

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 14–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +265 s
Time: 26:45
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +280 s
Fehler: -15.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.9 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s

Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 46:49 (4:41 / km)
Historical basis: 4:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:00:45
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 26:45 (1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:29 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 46:49 (4:41 / km)
Total: 2:00:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 25:22
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
About 82.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +182.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 9 Adrian Wilkins
GBR
+145 s
+93 s
G3 / G9
48:57 2:02:53
Show details
Prediction details: Adrian Wilkins

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 15–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +145 s
Time: 24:45
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +93 s
Fehler: 52.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 39.4 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s

Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 48:57 (4:54 / km)
Historical basis: 4:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:02:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 24:45 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:29 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 48:57 (4:54 / km)
Total: 2:02:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 43.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 23 Arthur Mayo
USA
+173 s
+401 s
G3 / G21
50:42 2:04:38
Show details
Prediction details: Arthur Mayo

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 17–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +173 s
Time: 25:13
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +401 s
Fehler: -227.8 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 24.2 s
Gap behind: 13.2 s

Result: Group 21 (1 people)
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 50:42 (5:04 / km)
Historical basis: 5:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:04:38
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 25:13 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:29 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 50:42 (5:04 / km)
Total: 2:04:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 25:05
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +165.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 18 Jimmy Dworkin
USA
+18 s
+77 s
G1 / G16
52:54 2:05:32
Show details
Prediction details: Jimmy Dworkin

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 17–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 22:38
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: -59.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 40.7 s

Result: Group 16 (1 people)
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 52:54 (5:17 / km)
Historical basis: 5:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:05:32
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 22:38 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:59 (33.1 km/h)
Run: 52:54 (5:17 / km)
Total: 2:05:32
8 / 33 Geri Zeiler
AUS
+195 s
+514 s
G3 / G29
52:19 2:06:15
Show details
Prediction details: Geri Zeiler

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 18–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +195 s
Time: 25:35
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +514 s
Fehler: -318.8 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 54.9 s

Result: Group 29 (1 people)
Speed: 20.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 13.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 52:19 (5:14 / km)
Historical basis: 5:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:06:15
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 25:35 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:29 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 52:19 (5:14 / km)
Total: 2:06:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:42
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 173.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 30 Frederic Millet
FRA
+186 s
+443 s
G3 / G26
55:07 2:09:03
Show details
Prediction details: Frederic Millet

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +186 s
Time: 25:26
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +443 s
Fehler: -256.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.2 s
Gap behind: 5.6 s

Result: Group 26 (2 people)
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 55:07 (5:31 / km)
Historical basis: 5:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:09:03
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 25:26 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:29 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 55:07 (5:31 / km)
Total: 2:09:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:42
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 164.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 29 Harry Riggs
USA
+327 s
+474 s
G4 / G26
51:32 2:11:55
Show details
Prediction details: Harry Riggs

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 21–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +327 s
Time: 27:47
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +474 s
Fehler: -147.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.73 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 59.0 s

Result: Group 26 (2 people)
Speed: 30.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 51:32 (5:09 / km)
Historical basis: 5:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:11:55
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 27:47 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:13:57 (31.6 km/h)
Run: 51:32 (5:09 / km)
Total: 2:11:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:42
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 304.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 25 Mark Whithear
AUS
+454 s
+248 s
G5 / G22
52:12 2:13:40
Show details
Prediction details: Mark Whithear

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 22–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +454 s
Time: 29:54
Pace: 2:00 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +248 s
Fehler: 205.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 68.0 s
Gap behind: 95.2 s

Result: Group 22 (2 people)
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 52:12 (5:13 / km)
Historical basis: 5:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:13:40
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 29:54 (2:00 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:13:55 (32.1 km/h)
Run: 52:12 (5:13 / km)
Total: 2:13:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:42
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 431.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 27 Andy Biggs
GBR
+644 s
+417 s
G6 / G24
53:47 2:16:38
Show details
Prediction details: Andy Biggs

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 22–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +644 s
Time: 33:04
Pace: 2:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +417 s
Fehler: 227.2 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.5 s
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 24 (1 people)
Speed: 30.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 53:47 (5:23 / km)
Historical basis: 5:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 2:16:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 33:04 (2:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:12:06 (32.9 km/h)
Run: 53:47 (5:23 / km)
Total: 2:16:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 23:22
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 581.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +62.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Frank Erk
GER
+267 s
+121 s
G3 / G1
Show details
Prediction details: Frank Erk

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +267 s
Time: 26:47
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +121 s
Fehler: 145.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 12.0 s

Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 26:47 (1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:29 (34.3 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 25:23
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
About 84.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +182.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 2 Drew Magill
USA
+193 s
+205 s
G3 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Drew Magill

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +193 s
Time: 25:33
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +205 s
Fehler: -12.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s

Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 25:33 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:29 (34.3 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 91.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 3 Peter Schott
AUT
+59 s
+86 s
G1 / G3
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Schott

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 23:19
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: -27.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 40.7 s
Gap behind: 40.6 s

Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 23:19 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:59 (33.1 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 4 Jose luis Torres lopez
ESP
+0 s
+0 s
G0 / G4
Show details
Prediction details: Jose luis Torres lopez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 22:20 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Keith Whitehouse
USA
+0 s
+53 s
G0 / G5
Show details
Prediction details: Keith Whitehouse

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 22:20 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Tom Wessberg
USA
+0 s
+19 s
G0 / G6
Show details
Prediction details: Tom Wessberg

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 26–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 22:20 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Neil Yates
GBR
+0 s
+215 s
G0 / G10
Show details
Prediction details: Neil Yates

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +215 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 22:20 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Bruce Holmes
USA
+322 s
+279 s
G2 / G11
Show details
Prediction details: Bruce Holmes

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +322 s
Time: 27:42
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +279 s
Fehler: 43.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 43.5 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s

Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 27:42 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:08:12 (34.4 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 220.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 13 Ed Paxton
GBR
+0 s
+316 s
G0 / G12
Show details
Prediction details: Ed Paxton

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +316 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 22:20 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Matthew Twynham
GBR
+99 s
+134 s
G1 / G13
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew Twynham

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +99 s
Time: 23:59
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +134 s
Fehler: -34.7 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 40.6 s
Gap behind: 6.3 s

Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 30.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 23:59 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:59 (33.1 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 15 Pedro jose Puertas fernandez
ESP
+0 s
+321 s
G0 / G14
Show details
Prediction details: Pedro jose Puertas fernandez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +321 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 22:20 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Adam Shaw
GBR
+576 s
+356 s
G6 / G15
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Shaw

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 73 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +576 s
Time: 31:56
Pace: 2:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +356 s
Fehler: 220.3 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 27.5 s
Gap behind: 61.4 s

Result: Group 15 (2 people)
Speed: 32.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 31:56 (2:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:12:06 (32.9 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:01
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 474.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 19 James Moss
GBR
+638 s
+391 s
G6 / G17
Show details
Prediction details: James Moss

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +638 s
Time: 32:58
Pace: 2:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +391 s
Fehler: 246.7 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 61.4 s
Gap behind: 6.5 s

Result: Group 17 (1 people)
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 32:58 (2:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:12:06 (32.9 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:42
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 615.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 20 Mark Capocci
GBR
+0 s
+148 s
G0 / G18
Show details
Prediction details: Mark Capocci

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +148 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 18 (1 people)
Speed: 30.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 22:20 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Neil Kerfoot
GBR
+149 s
+157 s
G3 / G19
Show details
Prediction details: Neil Kerfoot

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +149 s
Time: 24:49
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +157 s
Fehler: -8.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 24.2 s

Result: Group 19 (1 people)
Speed: 29.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 24:49 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:29 (34.3 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 47.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 22 Ricardo Gutiérrez Romero
ESP
+0 s
+173 s
G0 / G20
Show details
Prediction details: Ricardo Gutiérrez Romero

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +173 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 20 (1 people)
Speed: 30.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 22:20 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Richard Hutton
GBR
+0 s
+257 s
G0 / G22
Show details
Prediction details: Richard Hutton

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +257 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 22 (2 people)
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 22:20 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26 David Taft
GBR
+549 s
+460 s
G6 / G23
Show details
Prediction details: David Taft

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +549 s
Time: 31:29
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +460 s
Fehler: 88.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 95.2 s
Gap behind: 27.5 s

Result: Group 23 (1 people)
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 31:29 (2:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:12:06 (32.9 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:42
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 526.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 28 Sam Sunshine
USA
+192 s
+320 s
G3 / G25
Show details
Prediction details: Sam Sunshine

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +192 s
Time: 25:32
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +320 s
Fehler: -128.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Result: Group 25 (1 people)
Speed: 29.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 25:32 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:29 (34.3 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 90.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 31 David Barker
GBR
+386 s
+396 s
G4 / G27
Show details
Prediction details: David Barker

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +386 s
Time: 28:46
Pace: 1:55 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +396 s
Fehler: -10.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 59.0 s
Gap behind: 68.0 s

Result: Group 27 (1 people)
Speed: 28.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 28:46 (1:55 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:13:57 (31.6 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 284.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +101.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 32 Nikolas Chapapas
USA
+0 s
+325 s
G0 / G28
Show details
Prediction details: Nikolas Chapapas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:20
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +325 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 28 (1 people)
Speed: 22.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 22:20 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.