Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Prediction comparison

50-54 Male AG

24.09.2023 Pontevedra ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2023 World Triathlon Age-Group Championships Pontevedra

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 24.09.2023 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 21/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 2.5 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 7.4 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error34.0
Mean swim error229.4 s
Mean bike-speed error2.71 km/h
Correct bike groups3/50
No history31
Within the 80% range7.4 %
Details
1 / 2 Miroslav Ozorak
SVK
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
38:22
37:44
1:45:16
Show details
Prediction details: Miroslav Ozorak

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 35–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:22 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 37:44 (3:46 / km)
Error: +0:38 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:45:16
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 38:22 (3:50 / km)
Total: 1:45:16
2 / 10 Nicholas Kolodzie
CAN
+117 s
+286 s
G1 / G5
40:28
40:03
1:47:22
Show details
Prediction details: Nicholas Kolodzie

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 36–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +117 s
Time: 23:22
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +286 s
Fehler: -168.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 12.0 s

Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 40:28 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:03 (4:00 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:47:22
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 23:22 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 40:28 (4:03 / km)
Total: 1:47:22
3 / 4 Phillip Becker
GER
+59 s
+179 s
G1 / G2
41:52
41:53
1:48:46
Show details
Prediction details: Phillip Becker

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 37–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 22:24
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +179 s
Fehler: -120.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 16.9 s

Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 41:52 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:53 (4:11 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 1:48:46
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 22:24 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 41:52 (4:11 / km)
Total: 1:48:46
4 / 39 Brent Wiltshire
USA
+129 s
+455 s
G1 / G23
44:04
43:25
1:50:58
Show details
Prediction details: Brent Wiltshire

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 38–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -35

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +129 s
Time: 23:34
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +455 s
Fehler: -325.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.0 s
Gap behind: 16.6 s

Result: Group 23 (1 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 44:04 (4:24 / km)
Historical basis: 4:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 43:25 (4:21 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:50:58
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 23:34 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 44:04 (4:24 / km)
Total: 1:50:58
5 / 8 Guy Lheritier
FRA
+59 s
+305 s
G1 / G8
45:39
38:13
1:52:33
Show details
Prediction details: Guy Lheritier

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 39–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 22:24
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +305 s
Fehler: -246.5 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 45:39 (4:34 / km)
Historical basis: 4:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 38:13 (3:49 / km)
Error: +7:26 / +0:45 / km
Overall prediction: 1:52:33
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 22:24 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 45:39 (4:34 / km)
Total: 1:52:33
6 / 46 Francois Tessier
CAN
+76 s
+350 s
G1 / G20
51:17
48:40
1:58:11
Show details
Prediction details: Francois Tessier

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 40–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -40

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +76 s
Time: 22:41
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +350 s
Fehler: -274.1 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.9 s
Gap behind: 9.1 s

Result: Group 20 (2 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 51:17 (5:08 / km)
Historical basis: 5:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 1.43 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 48:40 (4:52 / km)
Error: +2:37 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 1:58:11
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 22:41 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 51:17 (5:08 / km)
Total: 1:58:11
7 / 68 David Trejo Zuñiga
MEX
+213 s
+786 s
G2 / G43
44:32
50:08
2:00:45
Show details
Prediction details: David Trejo Zuñiga

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 40–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 68
Deviation: -61

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +213 s
Time: 24:58
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +786 s
Fehler: -573.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s

Result: Group 43 (2 people)
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 44:32 (4:27 / km)
Historical basis: 4:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 50:08 (5:01 / km)
Error: −5:36 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 2:00:45
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 24:58 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:11:10 (33.1 km/h)
Run: 44:32 (4:27 / km)
Total: 2:00:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 23:38
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
About 79.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +133.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 43 Chris Martin
GER
+494 s
+903 s
G4 / G27
43:22
42:46
2:03:44
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Martin

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 42–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -35

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +494 s
Time: 29:39
Pace: 1:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +903 s
Fehler: -408.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 26, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s

Result: Group 27 (1 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 43:22 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 42:46 (4:17 / km)
Error: +0:36 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 2:03:44
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 29:39 (1:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 43:22 (4:20 / km)
Total: 2:03:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:45
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 414.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +79.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 30 Luis Gavilan Ordoñez
ESP
+233 s
+176 s
G2 / G22
47:43
40:44
2:03:56
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Gavilan Ordoñez

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 41–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +233 s
Time: 25:18
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +176 s
Fehler: 56.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.9 s
Gap behind: 41.1 s

Result: Group 22 (2 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 47:43 (4:46 / km)
Historical basis: 4:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:44 (4:04 / km)
Error: +6:59 / +0:42 / km
Overall prediction: 2:03:56
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 25:18 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:11:10 (33.1 km/h)
Run: 47:43 (4:46 / km)
Total: 2:03:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 24 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 17 Richard Price
GBR
+214 s
+312 s
G2 / G11
48:00
39:57
2:04:13
Show details
Prediction details: Richard Price

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 40–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +214 s
Time: 24:59
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +312 s
Fehler: -97.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 4.9 s

Result: Group 11 (5 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 48:00 (4:48 / km)
Historical basis: 4:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:57 (4:00 / km)
Error: +8:03 / +0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 2:04:13
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 24:59 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:11:10 (33.1 km/h)
Run: 48:00 (4:48 / km)
Total: 2:04:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 5.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 42 Gilles Poiriez
FRA
+567 s
+517 s
G4 / G25
44:52
43:15
2:05:14
Show details
Prediction details: Gilles Poiriez

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 44–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +567 s
Time: 30:52
Pace: 2:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +517 s
Fehler: 50.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 31, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.1 s
Gap behind: 14.9 s

Result: Group 25 (2 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 44:52 (4:29 / km)
Historical basis: 4:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 43:15 (4:20 / km)
Error: +1:37 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 2:05:14
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 30:52 (2:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 44:52 (4:29 / km)
Total: 2:05:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:45
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 487.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +79.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 67 Alessandro Pimentel
BRA
+150 s
+374 s
G1 / G42
1:00:52
49:14
2:07:46
Show details
Prediction details: Alessandro Pimentel

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 67
Deviation: -55

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +150 s
Time: 23:55
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +374 s
Fehler: -224.4 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 47.4 s

Result: Group 42 (4 people)
Speed: 29.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:00:52 (6:05 / km)
Historical basis: 6:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 49:14 (4:55 / km)
Error: +11:38 / +1:10 / km
Overall prediction: 2:07:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 23:55 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 1:00:52 (6:05 / km)
Total: 2:07:46
13 / 78 Leon Orr
IRL
+491 s
+1094 s
G4 / G47
50:49
53:58
2:11:11
Show details
Prediction details: Leon Orr

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 78
Deviation: -65

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +491 s
Time: 29:36
Pace: 1:58 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1094 s
Fehler: -603.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 26, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s

Result: Group 47 (1 people)
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 50:49 (5:05 / km)
Historical basis: 5:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 53:58 (5:24 / km)
Error: −3:09 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 2:11:11
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 29:36 (1:58 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 50:49 (5:05 / km)
Total: 2:11:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:45
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 411 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +79.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 54 Stefan Zakorchemney
GBR
+528 s
+642 s
G4 / G34
54:48
46:48
2:15:10
Show details
Prediction details: Stefan Zakorchemney

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 48–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -40

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +528 s
Time: 30:13
Pace: 2:01 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +642 s
Fehler: -114.3 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 27, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 32.7 s
Gap behind: 13.3 s

Result: Group 34 (2 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 54:48 (5:29 / km)
Historical basis: 5:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 46:48 (4:41 / km)
Error: +8:00 / +0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 2:15:10
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 30:13 (2:01 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 54:48 (5:29 / km)
Total: 2:15:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 23:39
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
About 394.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +133.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 48 Maris Liepa
LAT
+91 s
+99 s
G1 / G19
1:08:17
50:07
2:15:11
Show details
Prediction details: Maris Liepa

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 48–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +91 s
Time: 22:56
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +99 s
Fehler: -8.3 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.7 s
Gap behind: 6.3 s

Result: Group 19 (4 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:08:17 (6:50 / km)
Historical basis: 6:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 50:07 (5:01 / km)
Error: +18:10 / +1:49 / km
Overall prediction: 2:15:11
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 22:56 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 1:08:17 (6:50 / km)
Total: 2:15:11
16 / 72 Ignacio Garcia Rodriguez
ESP
+487 s
+886 s
G4 / G46
55:15
48:04
2:15:37
Show details
Prediction details: Ignacio Garcia Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 48–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 72
Deviation: -56

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +487 s
Time: 29:32
Pace: 1:58 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +886 s
Fehler: -399.3 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 25, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.7 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s

Result: Group 46 (1 people)
Speed: 29.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 55:15 (5:31 / km)
Historical basis: 5:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 48:04 (4:48 / km)
Error: +7:11 / +0:43 / km
Overall prediction: 2:15:37
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 29:32 (1:58 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 55:15 (5:31 / km)
Total: 2:15:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:45
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 406.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +79.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Junichi Yamamoto
JPN
+97 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct
39:37
Show details
Prediction details: Junichi Yamamoto

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–11
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +97 s
Time: 23:02
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 95.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.3 s
Gap behind: 15.0 s

Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:37 (3:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 23:02 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 3 Simon Fawcett
GBR
+550 s
+173 s
G4 / G5
38:43
Show details
Prediction details: Simon Fawcett

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +550 s
Time: 30:35
Pace: 2:02 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +173 s
Fehler: 377.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 29, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.0 s
Gap behind: 10.0 s

Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 38:43 (3:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 30:35 (2:02 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 341.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 5 Hans Fredrik Johansen
NOR
+0 s
+221 s
G0 / G3
40:10
Show details
Prediction details: Hans Fredrik Johansen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 51–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +221 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:10 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Tim Lerwill
GBR
+582 s
+315 s
G4 / G4
correct
39:44
Show details
Prediction details: Tim Lerwill

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +582 s
Time: 31:07
Pace: 2:04 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +315 s
Fehler: 267.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 32, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.9 s
Gap behind: 72.0 s

Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:44 (3:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 31:07 (2:04 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:45
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 502.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +79.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 7 Zoltán Varga
HUN
+85 s
+124 s
G1 / G3
40:51
Show details
Prediction details: Zoltán Varga

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 22:50
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +124 s
Fehler: -39.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.1 s
Gap behind: 5.7 s

Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:51 (4:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 22:50 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 9 Marcos García De Paz Fernandez
ESP
+0 s
+401 s
G1 / G14
35:37
Show details
Prediction details: Marcos García De Paz Fernandez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–11
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +401 s
Fehler: -401.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 35:37 (3:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 11 Jason Howie
AUS
+313 s
+219 s
G3 / G3
correct
40:42
Show details
Prediction details: Jason Howie

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 13–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +313 s
Time: 26:38
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +219 s
Fehler: 94.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 31.0 s

Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:42 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 26:38 (1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:25 (33.6 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 104.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Juan Carlos Gonzalez Orozco
ESP
+0 s
+313 s
G1 / G12
38:01
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Carlos Gonzalez Orozco

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–11
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +313 s
Fehler: -313.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 12 (2 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 38:01 (3:48 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 13 Kim Alexander
AUS
+146 s
+248 s
G1 / G7
40:21
Show details
Prediction details: Kim Alexander

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–11
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +146 s
Time: 23:51
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +248 s
Fehler: -102.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.6 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s

Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:21 (4:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 23:51 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 14 Donald Ricketts
BEL
+116 s
+143 s
G1 / G11
39:24
Show details
Prediction details: Donald Ricketts

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–11
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +116 s
Time: 23:21
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +143 s
Fehler: -27.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s

Result: Group 11 (5 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:24 (3:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 23:21 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 15 Chris Teakle
USA
+0 s
+336 s
G0 / G10
40:10
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Teakle

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 52–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +336 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:10 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 James Redman
GBR
+274 s
+220 s
G2 / G8
41:37
Show details
Prediction details: James Redman

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 13–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +274 s
Time: 25:59
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +220 s
Fehler: 54.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 41.1 s
Gap behind: 29.0 s

Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:37 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 25:59 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:11:10 (33.1 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 65.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 18 Darius Sarshar
GBR
+1,601 s
+216 s
G6 / G11
39:46
Show details
Prediction details: Darius Sarshar

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 34–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1,601 s
Time: 48:06
Pace: 3:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +216 s
Fehler: 1,385.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 35, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 881.0 s
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 11 (5 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:46 (3:59 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 48:06 (3:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:35 (40.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 1392.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 19 Piotr Kalinowski
POL
+52 s
+95 s
G1 / G9
41:34
Show details
Prediction details: Piotr Kalinowski

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–11
Top-10 probability: 89 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 22:17
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +95 s
Fehler: -43.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 52.0 s
Gap behind: 6.5 s

Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:34 (4:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 22:17 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 20 Pio Iglesias carrera
ESP
+0 s
+226 s
G0 / G12
40:16
Show details
Prediction details: Pio Iglesias carrera

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 53–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +226 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 12 (2 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:16 (4:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Craig Howie
CAN
+0 s
+245 s
G0 / G11
41:00
Show details
Prediction details: Craig Howie

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 54–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +245 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 11 (5 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:00 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Rafael Guerrero Bravo
ESP
+312 s
+320 s
G3 / G15
39:44
Show details
Prediction details: Rafael Guerrero Bravo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +312 s
Time: 26:37
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +320 s
Fehler: -8.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:44 (3:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 26:37 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:25 (33.6 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:45
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 232.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +79.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 23 Scott Roehrborn
USA
+303 s
+314 s
G2 / G16
40:14
Show details
Prediction details: Scott Roehrborn

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 14–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +303 s
Time: 26:28
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +314 s
Fehler: -11.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 29.0 s
Gap behind: 9.0 s

Result: Group 16 (1 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:14 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 26:28 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:11:10 (33.1 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 94.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 24 Stephen Coy
GBR
+396 s
+444 s
G3 / G19
39:25
Show details
Prediction details: Stephen Coy

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +396 s
Time: 28:01
Pace: 1:52 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +444 s
Fehler: -48.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 51.0 s
Gap behind: 41.0 s

Result: Group 19 (4 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:25 (3:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 28:01 (1:52 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:25 (33.6 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 187.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 25 Erik Heyer
USA
+0 s
+246 s
G0 / G11
43:48
Show details
Prediction details: Erik Heyer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +246 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 11 (5 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 43:48 (4:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26 Ramses Rodriguez
USA
+0 s
+51 s
G0 / G13
43:24
Show details
Prediction details: Ramses Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 43:24 (4:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 Scott Williamson
USA
+0 s
+281 s
G0 / G18
42:05
Show details
Prediction details: Scott Williamson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +281 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 18 (3 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 42:05 (4:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 Ian Scholes
GBR
+0 s
+398 s
G0 / G20
41:11
Show details
Prediction details: Ian Scholes

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +398 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 20 (2 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:11 (4:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 29 Jesus Alonso Zabaco
ESP
+720 s
+487 s
G5 / G24
38:13
Show details
Prediction details: Jesus Alonso Zabaco

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +720 s
Time: 33:25
Pace: 2:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +487 s
Fehler: 233.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 34, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 66.0 s
Gap behind: 881.0 s

Result: Group 24 (2 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 38:13 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 33:25 (2:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:12:00 (32.9 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:45
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 640.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +79.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 31 Chad McMahon
USA
+0 s
+310 s
G0 / G18
43:03
Show details
Prediction details: Chad McMahon

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 59–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +310 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 18 (3 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 43:03 (4:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 32 Angello Rodriguez
USA
+0 s
+612 s
G0 / G21
41:51
Show details
Prediction details: Angello Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 60–60
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +612 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 21 (2 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:51 (4:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 33 Ramon Ulldemolins Santisteve
ESP
+0 s
+410 s
G1 / G21
41:03
Show details
Prediction details: Ramon Ulldemolins Santisteve

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–11
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +410 s
Fehler: -410.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 52.0 s

Result: Group 21 (2 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:03 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 34 Martin Gibson
GBR
+345 s
+360 s
G3 / G17
43:49
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Gibson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +345 s
Time: 27:10
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +360 s
Fehler: -15.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 51.0 s

Result: Group 17 (2 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 43:49 (4:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 27:10 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:25 (33.6 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 136.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 35 Lucas Selma Luna
ESP
+465 s
+344 s
G4 / G18
43:48
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Selma Luna

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -35

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +465 s
Time: 29:10
Pace: 1:57 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +344 s
Fehler: 121.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 23, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.0 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s

Result: Group 18 (3 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 43:48 (4:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 29:10 (1:57 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:45
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 385.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +79.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 36 Jose Eugenio Ledo Novoa
ESP
+0 s
+219 s
G0 / G19
44:43
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Eugenio Ledo Novoa

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 61–61
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +219 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 19 (4 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 44:43 (4:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 37 Craig Strong
USA
+0 s
+291 s
G0 / G19
44:07
Show details
Prediction details: Craig Strong

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 62–62
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +291 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 19 (4 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 44:07 (4:25 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 38 Francisco Javier Mosteiro Rodriguez
ESP
+0 s
+567 s
G0 / G24
40:47
Show details
Prediction details: Francisco Javier Mosteiro Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 63–63
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +567 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 24 (2 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:47 (4:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 40 Miguel Gomes
POR
+0 s
+374 s
G0 / G25
42:29
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Gomes

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 64–64
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +374 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 25 (2 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 42:29 (4:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 41 Sylvain Prenel
FRA
+0 s
+415 s
G1 / G17
47:06
Show details
Prediction details: Sylvain Prenel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–10
Top-10 probability: 91 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -41

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +415 s
Fehler: -415.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 17 (2 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 47:06 (4:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 44 Steven Dunbar
USA
+443 s
+405 s
G3 / G26
42:49
Show details
Prediction details: Steven Dunbar

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -44

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +443 s
Time: 28:48
Pace: 1:55 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +405 s
Fehler: 38.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 21, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 10.0 s

Result: Group 26 (2 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 42:49 (4:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 28:48 (1:55 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:25 (33.6 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 234.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 45 Marcos Rodriguez Baliña
ESP
+112 s
+226 s
G1 / G22
47:17
Show details
Prediction details: Marcos Rodriguez Baliña

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–12
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -45

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +112 s
Time: 23:17
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +226 s
Fehler: -114.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.0 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s

Result: Group 22 (2 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 47:17 (4:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 23:17 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 47 Isidro Luis Santos Garrido
ESP
+654 s
+569 s
G4 / G37
40:03
Show details
Prediction details: Isidro Luis Santos Garrido

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -47

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +654 s
Time: 32:19
Pace: 2:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +569 s
Fehler: 85.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 33, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 72.0 s
Gap behind: 66.0 s

Result: Group 37 (1 people)
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:03 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 32:19 (2:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 445.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 49 Darin Napton
USA
+0 s
+626 s
G0 / G28
43:40
Show details
Prediction details: Darin Napton

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 65–65
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +626 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 28 (1 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 43:40 (4:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 50 Neill Crump
GBR
+197 s
+330 s
G1 / G29
45:07
Show details
Prediction details: Neill Crump

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–12
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -50

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +197 s
Time: 24:42
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +330 s
Fehler: -133.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 47.4 s
Gap behind: 16.0 s

Result: Group 29 (1 people)
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 45:07 (4:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 24:42 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 51 Simon Emmerson
GBR
+453 s
+466 s
G4 / G32
45:10
Show details
Prediction details: Simon Emmerson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -51

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +453 s
Time: 28:58
Pace: 1:56 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +466 s
Fehler: -13.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 22, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.0 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s

Result: Group 32 (1 people)
Speed: 31.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 45:10 (4:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 28:58 (1:56 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 244.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 52 Jose Antonio Esteban Orduna
AND
+0 s
+664 s
G1 / G35
45:49
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Antonio Esteban Orduna

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–11
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -52

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +664 s
Fehler: -664.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 35 (1 people)
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 45:49 (4:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:37 (36.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 53 Mickael Lecomte
FRA
+0 s
+631 s
G0 / G33
46:00
Show details
Prediction details: Mickael Lecomte

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 66–66
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +631 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 33 (1 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 46:00 (4:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 55 Michel Galarneau
CAN
+0 s
+457 s
G0 / G30
48:49
Show details
Prediction details: Michel Galarneau

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 67–67
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +457 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 30 (1 people)
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 48:49 (4:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 56 Víctor Javier Gallegos López
MEX
+0 s
+631 s
G0 / G36
46:03
Show details
Prediction details: Víctor Javier Gallegos López

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 68–68
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +631 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 36 (1 people)
Speed: 31.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 46:03 (4:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 57 Olivier Beaujean
BEL
+541 s
+870 s
G4 / G39
45:31
Show details
Prediction details: Olivier Beaujean

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -57

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +541 s
Time: 30:26
Pace: 2:02 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +870 s
Fehler: -329.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 28, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.3 s
Gap behind: 9.0 s

Result: Group 39 (3 people)
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 45:31 (4:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 30:26 (2:02 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 332.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 58 Eric Kuehl
USA
+0 s
+894 s
G0 / G38
46:29
Show details
Prediction details: Eric Kuehl

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 69–69
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +894 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 38 (2 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 46:29 (4:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 59 Leandro Carbajal Rodríguez
MEX
+344 s
+504 s
G3 / G38
47:10
Show details
Prediction details: Leandro Carbajal Rodríguez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation: -59

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +344 s
Time: 27:09
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +504 s
Fehler: -160.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 31.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Result: Group 38 (2 people)
Speed: 30.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 47:10 (4:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 27:09 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:25 (33.6 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 135.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 60 Lamberto Martínez Hernández
MEX
+0 s
+699 s
G0 / G42
43:11
Show details
Prediction details: Lamberto Martínez Hernández

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 70–70
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 60
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +699 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 42 (4 people)
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 43:11 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 61 José Alejandro Sandoval Velázquez Del Valle
MEX
+219 s
+358 s
G2 / G31
51:10
Show details
Prediction details: José Alejandro Sandoval Velázquez Del Valle

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 13–16
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 61
Deviation: -61

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +219 s
Time: 25:04
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +358 s
Fehler: -139.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.9 s
Gap behind: 13.9 s

Result: Group 31 (1 people)
Speed: 30.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 51:10 (5:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 25:04 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:11:10 (33.1 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 10.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 62 Ming-Hong Tsai
TPE
+0 s
+855 s
G0 / G41
44:18
Show details
Prediction details: Ming-Hong Tsai

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 71–71
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 62
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +855 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 41 (1 people)
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 44:18 (4:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 63 David Fernandez-Alvariño Delgado
ESP
+560 s
+338 s
G4 / G26
53:52
Show details
Prediction details: David Fernandez-Alvariño Delgado

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 26–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 63
Deviation: -63

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +560 s
Time: 30:45
Pace: 2:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +338 s
Fehler: 222.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 30, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.0 s
Gap behind: 7.1 s

Result: Group 26 (2 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 53:52 (5:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 30:45 (2:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 351.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 64 Pablo Perez Blanco
ESP
+0 s
+497 s
G0 / G34
50:53
Show details
Prediction details: Pablo Perez Blanco

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 72–72
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 64
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +497 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 34 (2 people)
Speed: 31.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 50:53 (5:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 65 Darek Desaulniers
CAN
+0 s
+278 s
G0 / G39
51:39
Show details
Prediction details: Darek Desaulniers

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 73–73
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 65
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +278 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 39 (3 people)
Speed: 28.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 51:39 (5:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 66 Juan Manuel Ruiz Vázquez
MEX
+0 s
+934 s
G0 / G43
47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Manuel Ruiz Vázquez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 74–74
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 66
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +934 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 43 (2 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 47:36 (4:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 69 Juan Guzman
COL
+0 s
+806 s
G0 / G42
51:47
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Guzman

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 75–75
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 69
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +806 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 42 (4 people)
Speed: 30.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 51:47 (5:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 70 Pascal Lallemand
FRA
+0 s
+957 s
G0 / G48
46:35
Show details
Prediction details: Pascal Lallemand

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 76–76
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 70
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +957 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 48 (2 people)
Speed: 29.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 46:35 (4:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 71 Alejandro Salinas Tuya
ESP
+0 s
+1139 s
G0 / G48
46:41
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro Salinas Tuya

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 77–77
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 71
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1139 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 48 (2 people)
Speed: 30.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 46:41 (4:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 73 Miguel Angel Jimeno Sola
ESP
+456 s
+474 s
G4 / G42
53:20
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Angel Jimeno Sola

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 73
Deviation: -73

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +456 s
Time: 29:01
Pace: 1:56 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +474 s
Fehler: -18.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 22, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 9.0 s

Result: Group 42 (4 people)
Speed: 29.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 53:20 (5:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 29:01 (1:56 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:45
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 376.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +79.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 74 Richard Flimel
SVK
+0 s
+751 s
G0 / G44
52:45
Show details
Prediction details: Richard Flimel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 78–78
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 74
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +751 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 44 (1 people)
Speed: 30.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 52:45 (5:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 75 Israel Fernandez-Alvariño Delgado
ESP
+0 s
+479 s
G0 / G40
56:20
Show details
Prediction details: Israel Fernandez-Alvariño Delgado

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 79–79
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 75
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +479 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 40 (1 people)
Speed: 30.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 56:20 (5:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 76 Luis Ferreira
POR
+471 s
+566 s
G4 / G45
55:34
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Ferreira

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 26–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 76
Deviation: -76

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +471 s
Time: 29:16
Pace: 1:57 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +566 s
Fehler: -95.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 24, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 15.7 s

Result: Group 45 (1 people)
Speed: 29.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 55:34 (5:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 29:16 (1:57 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 22:45
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 391.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +79.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 77 Dennis Smoolenaars
ESP
+0 s
+619 s
G0 / G39
1:01:45
Show details
Prediction details: Dennis Smoolenaars

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 80–80
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 77
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +619 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 39 (3 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 1:01:45 (6:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 79 Faustino Meis Veiga
ESP
+495 s
+1002 s
G4 / G49
53:30
Show details
Prediction details: Faustino Meis Veiga

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 26–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 79
Deviation: -79

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +495 s
Time: 29:40
Pace: 1:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1002 s
Fehler: -507.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 26, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 32.7 s

Result: Group 49 (1 people)
Speed: 24.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 53:30 (5:21 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 29:40 (1:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:09:28 (33.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 286.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 80 Jose Francisco Suarez Nuñez
ESP
+0 s
+1562 s
G0 / G50
55:57
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Francisco Suarez Nuñez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 81–81
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 80
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:25
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1562 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 50 (1 people)
Speed: 26.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 55:57 (5:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:25 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 81 Lee Varney
AUS
+437 s
+1263 s
G3 / G51
49:29
Show details
Prediction details: Lee Varney

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 81
Deviation: -81

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +437 s
Time: 28:42
Pace: 1:55 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1263 s
Fehler: -826.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 20, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 41.0 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s

Result: Group 51 (1 people)
Speed: 19.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 13.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 49:29 (4:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 28:42 (1:55 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:25 (33.6 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:54
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 228.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +208.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.