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Prediction comparison

Elite Men

24.08.2024 Edmonton CAN
Race information and calculation basis
2024 Americas Triathlon Cup Edmonton

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 24.08.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 39/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 77.1 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 85.7 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error17.3
Mean swim error35.7 s
Mean bike-speed error45.55 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history2
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Daniel Damian
CAN
+31 s
+0 s
G0 / G2
 15:08
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Damian

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 31.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 47.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -47.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:08 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:18 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:08 (3:02 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Sullivan Middaugh
USA
+50 s
+1 s
G0 / G1
 15:56
Show details
Prediction details: Sullivan Middaugh

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 49.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 48.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -48.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:58 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Nicholas Holmes
USA
+45 s
+1 s
G0 / G2
 15:36
Show details
Prediction details: Nicholas Holmes

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time:
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 44.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 47.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -47.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:27 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Ryan Luczak
USA
+17 s
+1 s
G0 / G2
 15:25
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Luczak

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time:
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 16.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 47.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -47.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:33 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Luke Anthony
USA
+43 s
+1 s
G0 / G2
 16:25
Show details
Prediction details: Luke Anthony

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 42.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 47.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -47.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:44 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Braxton Legg
USA
+49 s
+2 s
G0 / G2
 15:48
Show details
Prediction details: Braxton Legg

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time:
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 47.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 47.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -47.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:48 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:59 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:48 (3:09 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 William Nolet
CAN
+33 s
+0 s
G0 / G2
 16:02
Show details
Prediction details: William Nolet

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 33.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 47.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -47.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:14 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Blake Harris
CAN
+38 s
+3 s
G0 / G2
 16:00
Show details
Prediction details: Blake Harris

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time:
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 35.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 47.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -47.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:17 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Filip Mainville
CAN
+19 s
+2 s
G0 / G2
 16:21
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Mainville

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time:
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 47.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -47.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:21 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Keller Norland
USA
+30 s
+1 s
G0 / G2
 16:31
Show details
Prediction details: Keller Norland

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 29.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 112 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 47.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -47.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 112 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Daniel Epp
CAN
+48 s
+8 s
G0 / G2
 16:53
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Epp

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time:
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 40.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 47.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -47.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:58 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Nicolas Harvey
CAN
+24 s
+1 s
G0 / G2
 16:24
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Harvey

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time:
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 23.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 47.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -47.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:16 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Carlos Javier Quinchara Forero
COL
+12 s
+7 s
G0 / G3
 16:36
Show details
Prediction details: Carlos Javier Quinchara Forero

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time:
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 46.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -46.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 99 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:49 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Henry Bristol
CAN
+50 s
+2 s
G0 / G3
 16:18
Show details
Prediction details: Henry Bristol

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time:
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 48.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 46.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -46.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:57 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Michael Simard
CAN
+30 s
+10 s
G0 / G3
 16:42
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Simard

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time:
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 20.0 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 93 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 46.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -46.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:57 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Keaton Anderson
USA
+77 s
+2 s
G0 / G3
 18:24
Show details
Prediction details: Keaton Anderson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 75.0 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 46.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -46.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -1.58 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Samuel Beaulieu
CAN
+61 s
+5 s
G0 / G3
 17:01
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Beaulieu

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 56.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 87 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 46.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -46.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:32 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Adoh Doherty
LBN
+45 s
+3 s
G0 / G3
 16:55
Show details
Prediction details: Adoh Doherty

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 42.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 46.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -46.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:35 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Matthew McGoey
USA
+39 s
+2 s
G0 / G3
 17:00
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew McGoey

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time:
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 37.0 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 46.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -46.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 James Sikich
CAN
+47 s
+7 s
G0 / G3
 16:59
Show details
Prediction details: James Sikich

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time:
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 40.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 87 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 46.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -46.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Ryan Lund
USA
+56 s
+17 s
G0 / G4
 16:08
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Lund

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time:
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 39.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -44.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:08 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:08 (3:13 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Prashanth Ganesh
USA
+71 s
+7 s
G0 / G4
 17:46
Show details
Prediction details: Prashanth Ganesh

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time:
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 64.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 44.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -44.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:20 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Nicholas Sterghos
USA
+54 s
+14 s
G0 / G4
Show details
Prediction details: Nicholas Sterghos

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 40.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -44.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:51 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Brodie Marshall
CAN
+9 s
+10 s
G0 / G4
 17:20
Show details
Prediction details: Brodie Marshall

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time:
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: -1.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -44.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Pavlos Antoniades
CAN
+45 s
+1 s
G0 / G2
 15:21
Show details
Prediction details: Pavlos Antoniades

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time:
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 44.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 47.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -47.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:09 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26 Cy Jones
CAN
+0 s
+29 s
G0 / G6
Show details
Prediction details: Cy Jones

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:22 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 Jack Screen
CAN
+95 s
+18 s
G0 / G6
 18:53
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Screen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +95 s
Time:
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 77.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.86 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:53 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:21 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 18:53 (3:46 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 Oleksii Kolesov
CAN
+78 s
+50 s
G0 / G6
 18:37
Show details
Prediction details: Oleksii Kolesov

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +78 s
Time:
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 28.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -42.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:44 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 29 Noah Shlesinger
USA
+80 s
+30 s
G0 / G6
 17:41
Show details
Prediction details: Noah Shlesinger

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time:
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 50.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:38 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30 Kyle Erskine
RSA
+64 s
+69 s
G0 / G6
 19:35
Show details
Prediction details: Kyle Erskine

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time:
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: -5.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -42.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:39 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 31 Dillon Longo
CAN
+34 s
+27 s
G0 / G5
 17:31
Show details
Prediction details: Dillon Longo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 7.0 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -42.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:23 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 32 Josiah Wilkinson
CAN
+0 s
+12 s
G0 / G5
Show details
Prediction details: Josiah Wilkinson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:39 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 33 Rikigoro Shinozuka
MAS
+111 s
+47 s
G0 / G6
 19:05
Show details
Prediction details: Rikigoro Shinozuka

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +111 s
Time:
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 64.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -42.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:05 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:26 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:05 (3:49 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 34 Austin Beese
CAN
+69 s
+64 s
G0 / G6
 20:57
Show details
Prediction details: Austin Beese

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -42.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:45 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 35 Dylan Peters
CAN
+89 s
+64 s
G0 / G6
 20:19
Show details
Prediction details: Dylan Peters

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -35

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +89 s
Time:
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: 25.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -42.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:18 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.