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Elite Men

04.05.2024 Subic Bay PHI
Race information and calculation basis
2024 Asia Triathlon Cup Subic Bay

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 04.05.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 50/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 60.8 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 84.3 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.7
Mean swim error21.5 s
Mean bike-speed error1.47 km/h
Correct bike groups9/47
No history4
Within the 80% range41.2 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Christopher Deegan
AUS
+4 s
+7 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:23
15:10
 43:56
Show details
Prediction details: Christopher Deegan

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 8:19
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: -3.3 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 8.7 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 43:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:19 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:14 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Total: 43:56
2 / 5 Jack Crome
AUS
+12 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:51
15:44
 44:24
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Crome

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 8:27
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 12.4 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.67 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.7 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 44:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:27 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:14 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:24
3 / 6 Satoshi Iwamoto
JPN
+27 s
+16 s
G2 / G1
 15:45
15:46
 44:43
Show details
Prediction details: Satoshi Iwamoto

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 8:42
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 10.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.6 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 44:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:42 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 3.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 7 Hokuto Obara
JPN
+38 s
+19 s
G2 / G1
 16:15
16:04
 45:13
Show details
Prediction details: Hokuto Obara

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 6–13
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 19.1 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 89 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Total: 45:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 14.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 3 Amu Omuro
JPN
+19 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:40
15:14
 45:13
Show details
Prediction details: Amu Omuro

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–11
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 8:34
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 10.3 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 7.6 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Error: +1:26 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 45:13
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:34 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:14 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:13
6 / 22 Mitchell Van der Westhuizen
RSA
+16 s
+23 s
G1 / G2
 16:47
17:56
 45:20
Show details
Prediction details: Mitchell Van der Westhuizen

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 6–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -7.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.20 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Error: −1:09 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 45:20
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:31 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:14 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Total: 45:20
7 / 1 Luke Bate
AUS
+33 s
+11 s
G2 / G1
 16:40
15:06
 45:38
Show details
Prediction details: Luke Bate

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–15
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 21.7 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -1.58 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:06 (3:01 / km)
Error: +1:34 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 45:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 1.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 15 Tzu I Pan
TPE
+36 s
+15 s
G2 / G1
 16:56
17:07
 45:54
Show details
Prediction details: Tzu I Pan

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–18
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 21.4 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:21
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
About 30.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 8 Kenshin Mori
JPN
+49 s
+20 s
G3 / G2
 16:11
15:45
 46:29
Show details
Prediction details: Kenshin Mori

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 7–18
Top-10 probability: 50 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 28.7 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:29
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:22 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Total: 46:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 25.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 4 Rory Thornhill
AUS
+42 s
+13 s
G3 / G1
 16:33
15:26
 46:51
Show details
Prediction details: Rory Thornhill

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 9–13
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 28.6 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Error: +1:07 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 46:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:22 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Total: 46:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 18.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 12 Ji Hong Lee
KOR
+43 s
+50 s
G3 / G2
 16:54
16:05
 47:12
Show details
Prediction details: Ji Hong Lee

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 11–17
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -6.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:22 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Total: 47:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 19.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 20 Sangmin Park
KOR
+30 s
+19 s
G2 / G1
 18:14
17:34
 47:12
Show details
Prediction details: Sangmin Park

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 9–29
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 8:45
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 10.6 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 67 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:12
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:45 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Total: 47:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 6.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 37 Kira Wakatake
JPN
+49 s
+55 s
G3 / G4
 16:55
19:13
 47:13
Show details
Prediction details: Kira Wakatake

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 12–18
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -6.4 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:13 (3:51 / km)
Error: −2:18 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 47:13
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:22 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 47:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 25.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 9 Jusin Kim
KOR
+46 s
+19 s
G3 / G1
 17:05
16:13
 47:23
Show details
Prediction details: Jusin Kim

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 11–22
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 26.7 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 55 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:52 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:23
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:22 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 47:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 22.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 18 Ty Davis
AUS
+51 s
+45 s
G3 / G2
 17:09
17:00
 47:27
Show details
Prediction details: Ty Davis

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 13–23
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 5.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.92 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.47 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: +0:09 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:27
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:22 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 27.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 11 Darcy Williams
AUS
+67 s
+56 s
G4 / G2
 16:49
16:12
 47:49
Show details
Prediction details: Darcy Williams

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 13–27
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 10.6 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:49
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:53 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Total: 47:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 43.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 17 Tristan Price
AUS
+63 s
+47 s
G4 / G2
 16:57
16:55
 47:57
Show details
Prediction details: Tristan Price

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 14–25
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 15.6 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:57
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:53 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 47:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 39.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 16 Matthew Hermosa
PHI
+64 s
+57 s
G4 / G2
 17:07
16:46
 48:07
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew Hermosa

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 16–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 6.9 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:07
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:53 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Total: 48:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 40.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 10 Samuel Mileham
AUS
+45 s
+43 s
G3 / G2
 17:51
15:55
 48:09
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Mileham

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 9–32
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 1.8 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Error: +1:56 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 48:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:22 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Total: 48:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 21.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 28 Hauqalah Fakhal Arvyello
INA
+52 s
+72 s
G3 / G4
 17:56
17:27
 48:14
Show details
Prediction details: Hauqalah Fakhal Arvyello

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 18–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: -20.1 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:14
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:22 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Total: 48:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 28.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 14 Gyuseo Choi
KOR
+57 s
+49 s
G4 / G2
 17:29
16:26
 48:29
Show details
Prediction details: Gyuseo Choi

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 17–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 7.8 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 48:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:53 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 48:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 33.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 25 Taegi Kim
KOR
+59 s
+51 s
G4 / G4
correct 		17:30
16:30
 48:30
Show details
Prediction details: Taegi Kim

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 16–32
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: 8.4 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 66 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Error: +1:00 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 48:30
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:53 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Total: 48:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 36.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 26 Cooper Lee
AUS
+79 s
+58 s
G5 / G4
 16:32
16:28
 48:47
Show details
Prediction details: Cooper Lee

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 20–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 21.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 9.1 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:47
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:36 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Total: 48:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 55.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 19 Joshua Ramos
PHI
+50 s
+42 s
G3 / G2
 18:33
17:04
 48:51
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 16–35
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 7.5 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: +1:29 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 48:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:22 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 48:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 26.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 21 Iñaki Lorbes
PHI
+62 s
+46 s
G4 / G2
 17:53
17:27
 48:53
Show details
Prediction details: Iñaki Lorbes

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 20–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 15.5 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:53 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Total: 48:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 38.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 30 Li Rong, Luke Chua
SGP
+59 s
+50 s
G4 / G4
correct 		18:04
17:40
 49:04
Show details
Prediction details: Li Rong, Luke Chua

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 23–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 9.4 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:53 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Total: 49:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 36.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 13 Andrew Remolino
PHI
+75 s
+44 s
G5 / G2
 16:52
16:20
 49:07
Show details
Prediction details: Andrew Remolino

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 15–32
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +75 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 31.0 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.87 %, Sicherheit 78 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 49:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:36 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Total: 49:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 51.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 41 Jaehyun Kim
KOR
+68 s
+82 s
G4 / G5
 18:07
18:54
 49:07
Show details
Prediction details: Jaehyun Kim

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 27–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -14.2 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 49:07
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:53 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Total: 49:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 44.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 23 Fernando José Casares Tan
PHI
+88 s
+81 s
G5 / G4
 17:05
16:14
 49:20
Show details
Prediction details: Fernando José Casares Tan

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 22–34
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +81 s
Fehler: 7.1 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.1 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 99 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 49:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:36 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 49:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 64.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 31 Muhammad Noval Ashidiq
INA
+53 s
+54 s
G3 / G4
 19:07
17:40
 49:25
Show details
Prediction details: Muhammad Noval Ashidiq

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 26–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -0.9 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.95 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 50 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Error: +1:27 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 49:25
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:22 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Total: 49:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 29.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 24 Nicolas Bolouri
CAN
+55 s
+40 s
G3 / G3
correct 		19:19
17:34
 49:37
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Bolouri

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 28–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 15.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:19 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: +1:45 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 49:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:22 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 19:19 (3:52 / km)
Total: 49:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 32.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 33 Ronald Bintang Setiawan
INA
+77 s
+66 s
G5 / G4
 17:24
17:44
 49:39
Show details
Prediction details: Ronald Bintang Setiawan

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 27–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: 11.1 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.95 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 50 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:39
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:36 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Total: 49:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 53.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 27 John Chicano
PHI
+113 s
+121 s
G6 / G5
 16:35
16:23
 49:43
Show details
Prediction details: John Chicano

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 28–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +113 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +121 s
Fehler: -7.8 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.3 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 1.60 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 49:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:15 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 49:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 90 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 32 Irienold Reig jr
PHI
+99 s
+125 s
G5 / G5
correct 		17:45
17:00
 50:00
Show details
Prediction details: Irienold Reig jr

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 33–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +99 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +125 s
Fehler: -26.1 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.3 s
Gap behind: 14.3 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 50:00
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:36 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Total: 50:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 75.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 35 Qi Yi Yap
MAS
+72 s
+79 s
G5 / G4
 19:03
18:19
 51:18
Show details
Prediction details: Qi Yi Yap

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 30–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: -6.6 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 51:18
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:36 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Total: 51:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 49.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 42 Daniel John Hong Soo Chen
MAS
+67 s
+85 s
G4 / G5
 20:49
19:59
 51:49
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel John Hong Soo Chen

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 37–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +85 s
Fehler: -17.8 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.78 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:49 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:59 (4:00 / km)
Error: +0:50 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 51:49
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:53 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 20:49 (4:10 / km)
Total: 51:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 44 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 29 Juan Francisco Baniqued
PHI
+90 s
+83 s
G5 / G4
 20:11
17:30
 52:26
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Francisco Baniqued

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 38–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +90 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 6.6 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 9.3 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:11 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: +2:41 / +0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 52:26
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:36 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 20:11 (4:02 / km)
Total: 52:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 66.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 34 Jian Hong, Cedric Chua
SGP
+119 s
+122 s
G7 / G5
 18:31
17:30
 52:27
Show details
Prediction details: Jian Hong, Cedric Chua

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 38–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +119 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +122 s
Fehler: -2.8 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 11.8 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: +1:01 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 52:27
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:45 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Total: 52:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 96 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 44 Edward Macalalad
PHI
+159 s
+129 s
G8 / G7
 19:05
18:53
 54:16
Show details
Prediction details: Edward Macalalad

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 41–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +159 s
Time: 10:54
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +129 s
Fehler: 29.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 27.7 s
Gap behind: 7.5 s
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:05 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 54:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:54 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:32 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 19:05 (3:49 / km)
Total: 54:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 135.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 40 Maynard Pecson
PHI
+208 s
+161 s
G9 / G7
 17:46
16:31
 56:05
Show details
Prediction details: Maynard Pecson

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 40–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +208 s
Time: 11:43
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +161 s
Fehler: 47.2 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 9 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 42.0 s
Gap behind: 12.8 s
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 1.42 %, Sicherheit 50 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: +1:15 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 56:05
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:43 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:38 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Total: 56:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 185 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 36 Jack Mitchell
AUS
+166 s
+122 s
G9 / G5
 22:28
18:08
 1:00:47
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Mitchell

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 43–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +166 s
Time: 11:01
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +122 s
Fehler: 44.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 9 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.5 s
Gap behind: 42.0 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:28 (4:30 / km)
Historical basis: 4:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: +4:20 / +0:52 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:47
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:01 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:38 (34.5 km/h)
Run: 22:28 (4:30 / km)
Total: 1:00:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 143 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 43 John Ciron
PHI
+0 s
+218 s
G1 / G9
 32:44
16:46
 1:01:17
Show details
Prediction details: John Ciron

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 44–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:15
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +218 s
Fehler: -218.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:44 (6:33 / km)
Historical basis: 6:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Error: +15:58 / +3:12 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:17
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:15 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:14 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 32:44 (6:33 / km)
Total: 1:01:17
43 / 39 Arnab Bhattacharya
IND
+380 s
+398 s
G10 / G10
correct 		22:08
8:20
 1:04:28
Show details
Prediction details: Arnab Bhattacharya

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +380 s
Time: 14:35
Pace: 1:57 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +398 s
Fehler: -18.1 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -2.33 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 10 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 69.9 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:08 (4:26 / km)
Historical basis: 4:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:20 (1:40 / km)
Error: +13:48 / +2:46 / km
Overall prediction: 1:04:28
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 14:35 (1:57 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:00 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 22:08 (4:26 / km)
Total: 1:04:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 356.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 51 Abdulla Al-Kuwari
QAT
+310 s
+267 s
G10 / G13
 23:55
34:08
 1:06:15
Show details
Prediction details: Abdulla Al-Kuwari

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +310 s
Time: 13:25
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +267 s
Fehler: 43.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 10 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 32.0 s
Gap behind: 69.9 s
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 25.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:55 (4:47 / km)
Historical basis: 4:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.01 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:08 (6:50 / km)
Error: −10:13 / −2:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:06:15
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 13:25 (1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:00 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 23:55 (4:47 / km)
Total: 1:06:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 286.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 50 Ankan Bhattacharjee
IND
+278 s
+273 s
G10 / G11
 27:14
32:38
 1:09:34
Show details
Prediction details: Ankan Bhattacharjee

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +278 s
Time: 12:53
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +273 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 10 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 57.0 s
Gap behind: 32.0 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 29.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 27:14 (5:27 / km)
Historical basis: 5:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:38 (6:32 / km)
Error: −5:24 / −1:05 / km
Overall prediction: 1:09:34
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 12:53 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:00 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 27:14 (5:27 / km)
Total: 1:09:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 254.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 38 Renz Wynn Corbin
PHI
+221 s
+113 s
G9 / G5
18:42
Show details
Prediction details: Renz Wynn Corbin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -38

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +221 s
Time: 11:56
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +113 s
Fehler: 108.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 9 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.8 s
Gap behind: 57.0 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:56 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:38 (34.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 197.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 45 Enrico Burgos
PHI
+131 s
+127 s
G7 / G7
correct
19:18
Show details
Prediction details: Enrico Burgos

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -45

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +131 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +127 s
Fehler: 4.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.8 s
Gap behind: 27.7 s
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:18 (3:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:45 (37.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 107.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 46 Ee Hann Kan
MAS
+0 s
+138 s
G0 / G7
19:41
Show details
Prediction details: Ee Hann Kan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 48–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:15
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +138 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:15 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 47 Marlingga Alfedo Prima
INA
+0 s
+69 s
G0 / G6
21:24
Show details
Prediction details: Marlingga Alfedo Prima

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 49–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:15
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:24 (4:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:15 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 48 Raphael Chau
SGP
+0 s
+71 s
G0 / G8
26:56
Show details
Prediction details: Raphael Chau

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 50–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:15
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:56 (5:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:15 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 49 Rimo Roy
IND
+0 s
+392 s
G0 / G12
28:06
Show details
Prediction details: Rimo Roy

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 51–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:15
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +392 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 28.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:06 (5:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:15 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.