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Prediction comparison

45-49 Male AG

21.06.2024 Coimbra POR
Race information and calculation basis
2024 Europe Triathlon Aquathlon Championships Coimbra

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 21.06.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 7/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 13.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 60.9 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.8
Mean swim error84.7 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history5
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Lionel Roye
FRA
+102 s
+39 s
 Bike DNF 16:28
17:30
Show details
Prediction details: Lionel Roye

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +102 s
Time: 15:15
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 62.6 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: −1:02 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:15 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Xavier Tupet
FRA
+101 s
+27 s
 Bike DNF 19:04
18:41
Show details
Prediction details: Xavier Tupet

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +101 s
Time: 15:14
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 73.5 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:14 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Rui Duarte
POR
+101 s
+25 s
 Bike DNF 19:06
18:31
Show details
Prediction details: Rui Duarte

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +101 s
Time: 15:14
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 75.5 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 15:14 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Nigel Fanning
IRL
+2 s
+0 s
 Bike DNF 19:24
19:37
Show details
Prediction details: Nigel Fanning

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 13:35
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 1.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:24 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:37 (3:55 / km)
Error: −0:13 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:35 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:24 (3:53 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Jaime Catala Sanchez
ESP
+99 s
+34 s
 Bike DNF 27:39
19:27
Show details
Prediction details: Jaime Catala Sanchez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +99 s
Time: 15:12
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 65.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 27:39 (5:32 / km)
Historical basis: 5:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:27 (3:53 / km)
Error: +8:12 / +1:38 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 15:12 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 27:39 (5:32 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Nigel Gaskin
GBR
+93 s
+62 s
 Bike DNF 19:20
19:08
Show details
Prediction details: Nigel Gaskin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 15:06
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: 31.1 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:20 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:06 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:20 (3:52 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Richard Hyder
GBR
+528 s
+57 s
 Bike DNF
19:55
Show details
Prediction details: Richard Hyder

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +528 s
Time: 22:21
Pace: 2:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 471.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:55 (3:59 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 22:21 (2:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Rhys Harries
GBR
+189 s
+177 s
 Bike DNF 19:51
18:42
Show details
Prediction details: Rhys Harries

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +189 s
Time: 16:42
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +177 s
Fehler: 12.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -1.37 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Error: +1:09 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 16:42 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Graeme Tunstall
GBR
+0 s
+127 s
 Bike DNF
19:44
Show details
Prediction details: Graeme Tunstall

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:33
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +127 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:33 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 John Redding
GBR
+212 s
+234 s
 Bike DNF 17:32
18:01
Show details
Prediction details: John Redding

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +212 s
Time: 17:05
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +234 s
Fehler: -21.6 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 17:05 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Steven Paine
GBR
+80 s
+59 s
 Bike DNF 22:22
21:59
Show details
Prediction details: Steven Paine

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 14:53
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: 21.3 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.98 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 22:22 (4:28 / km)
Historical basis: 4:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:59 (4:24 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:53 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 22:22 (4:28 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Alasdair McLeod
GBR
+0 s
+183 s
 Bike DNF
19:44
Show details
Prediction details: Alasdair McLeod

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:33
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +183 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:33 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Ryan Smith
GBR
+232 s
+238 s
 Bike DNF 19:56
19:07
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Smith

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +232 s
Time: 17:25
Pace: 1:45 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +238 s
Fehler: -5.6 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 17:25 (1:45 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Geoff McMullan
GBR
+73 s
+184 s
 Bike DNF 20:21
19:54
Show details
Prediction details: Geoff McMullan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 14:46
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +184 s
Fehler: -111.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:21 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:54 (3:59 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 14:46 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:21 (4:04 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Mark Wilson
GBR
+264 s
+186 s
 Bike DNF 20:20
20:39
Show details
Prediction details: Mark Wilson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +264 s
Time: 17:57
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +186 s
Fehler: 78.2 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:20 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:39 (4:08 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 17:57 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:20 (4:04 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 James Coleman
GBR
+374 s
+179 s
 Bike DNF 19:53
20:46
Show details
Prediction details: James Coleman

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +374 s
Time: 19:47
Pace: 1:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +179 s
Fehler: 194.9 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:46 (4:09 / km)
Error: −0:53 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:47 (1:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Konstantin Gayduk
GBR
+253 s
+170 s
 Bike DNF 21:31
21:06
Show details
Prediction details: Konstantin Gayduk

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +253 s
Time: 17:46
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +170 s
Fehler: 82.5 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 21:31 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:06 (4:13 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 17:46 (1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 21:31 (4:18 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Margus Kullerkupp
EST
+0 s
+243 s
 Bike DNF
19:46
Show details
Prediction details: Margus Kullerkupp

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:33
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +243 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:33 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Mehmet Shoukru
GBR
+356 s
+257 s
 Bike DNF 19:35
20:24
Show details
Prediction details: Mehmet Shoukru

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +356 s
Time: 19:29
Pace: 1:57 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +257 s
Fehler: 99.2 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:24 (4:05 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 19:29 (1:57 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Colin Kirby
GBR
+0 s
+290 s
 Bike DNF
22:50
Show details
Prediction details: Colin Kirby

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:33
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +290 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:50 (4:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:33 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Ben Hieatt-Smith
GBR
+321 s
+307 s
 Bike DNF 24:22
23:31
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Hieatt-Smith

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +321 s
Time: 18:54
Pace: 1:53 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +307 s
Fehler: 14.4 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 24:22 (4:52 / km)
Historical basis: 4:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:31 (4:42 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:54 (1:53 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 24:22 (4:52 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Ashley Kirkham
GBR
+388 s
+491 s
 Bike DNF 25:15
26:27
Show details
Prediction details: Ashley Kirkham

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +388 s
Time: 20:01
Pace: 2:00 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +491 s
Fehler: -102.6 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 25:15 (5:03 / km)
Historical basis: 5:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:27 (5:17 / km)
Error: −1:12 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:01 (2:00 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 25:15 (5:03 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Daniel Leão
POR
+0 s
+577 s
 Bike DNF
30:58
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Leão

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:33
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +577 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:58 (6:12 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:33 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.