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Elite Men

01.06.2024 Vigo ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2024 Europe Triathlon Cup Vigo

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 01.06.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 54/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 69.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 89.7 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error14.6
Mean swim error12.9 s
Mean bike-speed error2.37 km/h
Correct bike groups25/55
No history2
Within the 80% range39.7 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 47 Andrés Prieto Villar
ESP
+20 s
+26 s
G1 / G2
 14:56
19:01
 43:23
Show details
Prediction details: Andrés Prieto Villar

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–9
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -46

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 8:34
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -6.1 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.5 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:56 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:01 (3:48 / km)
Error: −4:05 / −0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 43:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:34 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 14:56 (2:59 / km)
Total: 43:23
2 / 4 Jack Willis
GBR
+21 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:11
15:28
 43:38
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Willis

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–11
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 7.2 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:11 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 43:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:35 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:11 (3:02 / km)
Total: 43:38
3 / 27 Delian Stateff
ITA
+24 s
+34 s
G1 / G3
 15:19
15:43
 43:46
Show details
Prediction details: Delian Stateff

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 5–14
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -9.6 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 43:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:38 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Total: 43:46
4 / 5 Kevin Tarek Viñuela Gonzalez
ESP
+22 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:20
15:37
 43:47
Show details
Prediction details: Kevin Tarek Viñuela Gonzalez

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–12
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 14.2 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:37 (3:07 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 43:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:36 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Total: 43:47
5 / 48 Jan Scheffold
GER
+40 s
+46 s
G2 / G3
 14:53
18:13
 43:49
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Scheffold

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 6–16
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -43

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -5.9 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:53 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Error: −3:20 / −0:40 / km
Overall prediction: 43:49
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:53 (2:59 / km)
Total: 43:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 6.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 15 Alexis Lherieau
SUI
+26 s
+22 s
G1 / G2
 15:24
15:40
 43:51
Show details
Prediction details: Alexis Lherieau

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 6–21
Top-10 probability: 46 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:40
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 4.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 1.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 43:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:40 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Total: 43:51
7 / 16 Boris Pierre
FRA
+34 s
+31 s
G2 / G2
correct 		14:58
15:45
 43:54
Show details
Prediction details: Boris Pierre

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 3–17
Top-10 probability: 68 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 3.3 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:58 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 43:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 14:58 (3:00 / km)
Total: 43:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 0.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 3 Maxime Fluri
SUI
+50 s
+24 s
G3 / G1
 14:54
15:15
 44:10
Show details
Prediction details: Maxime Fluri

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–22
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 26.2 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:54 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 14:54 (2:59 / km)
Total: 44:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 16.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 11 Marcus Dey
GBR
+29 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:47
16:13
 44:14
Show details
Prediction details: Marcus Dey

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 11–25
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 29.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:43 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:14
10 / 49 Lukas Merta
GER
+33 s
+15 s
G1 / G3
 15:47
18:12
 44:14
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Merta

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 13–29
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -39

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 17.8 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: −2:25 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 44:14
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:47 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:14
11 / 25 Julen Andueza Valencia
ESP
+44 s
+27 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:19
16:40
 44:15
Show details
Prediction details: Julen Andueza Valencia

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 11–25
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 16.9 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.95 %, Sicherheit 64 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Error: −1:21 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 44:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Total: 44:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 10.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 22 Sébastien Pascal
ROU
+49 s
+55 s
G3 / G3
correct 		15:04
15:09
 44:20
Show details
Prediction details: Sébastien Pascal

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 4–29
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -6.5 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 44:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Total: 44:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 14.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 13 Francesco Di Basilico
ITA
+46 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:24
15:33
 44:20
Show details
Prediction details: Francesco Di Basilico

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 6–42
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 11.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 44:20
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Total: 44:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 12.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 9 Theo Texereau
FRA
+35 s
+12 s
G2 / G1
 15:29
16:00
 44:25
Show details
Prediction details: Theo Texereau

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 9–25
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 22.9 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 37 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 1.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 36 Andree Buc
CHI
+41 s
+41 s
G2 / G3
 15:29
16:46
 44:25
Show details
Prediction details: Andree Buc

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 3–44
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -0.5 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.97 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Error: −1:17 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 44:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 6.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 38 Max Meckel
GER
+37 s
+29 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:31
17:59
 44:27
Show details
Prediction details: Max Meckel

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 12–24
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 8.1 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 65 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 64 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: −2:28 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 44:27
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 3.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 6 Ben Dijkstra
TRI
+39 s
+17 s
G2 / G1
 15:31
15:46
 44:27
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Dijkstra

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 4–40
Top-10 probability: 34 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 21.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 5.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 28 Matteo Carlo Perri
ITA
+49 s
+41 s
G3 / G3
correct 		15:16
15:51
 44:32
Show details
Prediction details: Matteo Carlo Perri

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 13–23
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 8.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:16 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:16 (3:03 / km)
Total: 44:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 15.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 44 Esteban Basanta Fouz
ESP
+15 s
+37 s
G1 / G3
 16:06
17:31
 44:33
Show details
Prediction details: Esteban Basanta Fouz

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 14–27
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 8:29
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -21.6 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 1.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 4.5 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.85 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: −1:25 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 44:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:29 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:33
20 / 10 Chris Ziehmer
GER
+38 s
+5 s
G2 / G1
 15:40
16:04
 44:36
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Ziehmer

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 3–43
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:52
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 33.2 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:52 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 4.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 7 Andres Hilario Morales
ESP
+58 s
+33 s
G3 / G2
 15:21
15:12
 44:37
Show details
Prediction details: Andres Hilario Morales

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 14–40
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 25.4 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.82 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:09 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 44:37
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Total: 44:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 24.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 24 Sergio Ortiz Velasco
ESP
+51 s
+53 s
G3 / G3
correct 		15:22
15:29
 44:38
Show details
Prediction details: Sergio Ortiz Velasco

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 14–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -2.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 67 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 44:38
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Total: 44:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 17.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 19 Jarno Pousada Troitiño
ESP
+53 s
+39 s
G3 / G2
 15:23
16:04
 44:39
Show details
Prediction details: Jarno Pousada Troitiño

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 14–28
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 14.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:41 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 44:39
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Total: 44:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 19.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 18 Adrian Martinez Bayan
ESP
+28 s
+39 s
G1 / G2
 16:14
15:56
 44:41
Show details
Prediction details: Adrian Martinez Bayan

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 17–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 8:42
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -11.4 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:41
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:42 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Total: 44:41
25 / 40 Pau Noguera Salmeron
ESP
+52 s
+58 s
G3 / G3
correct 		15:27
17:19
 44:43
Show details
Prediction details: Pau Noguera Salmeron

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 18–31
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -6.1 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Error: −1:52 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 44:43
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Total: 44:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 18.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 33 Jesús Jimenez Gimeno
ESP
+23 s
+27 s
G1 / G2
 16:17
17:20
 44:44
Show details
Prediction details: Jesús Jimenez Gimeno

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 16–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 8:37
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -4.2 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Error: −1:03 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:37 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Total: 44:44
27 / 52 Erik Yamir Ramos Croda
MEX
+51 s
+55 s
G3 / G3
correct 		15:36
20:11
 44:52
Show details
Prediction details: Erik Yamir Ramos Croda

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 10–34
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:11 (4:02 / km)
Error: −4:35 / −0:55 / km
Overall prediction: 44:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Total: 44:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 17.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 20 Jorge Alarcon Familiar
MEX
+52 s
+35 s
G3 / G2
 15:36
16:06
 44:52
Show details
Prediction details: Jorge Alarcon Familiar

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 9–40
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 16.7 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Total: 44:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 17.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 26 Ivan Puentes Barcia
ESP
+60 s
+59 s
G3 / G3
correct 		15:45
15:38
 45:01
Show details
Prediction details: Ivan Puentes Barcia

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 26–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: 0.7 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:01
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Total: 45:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 25.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 39 Linus Lehnen
GER
+48 s
+41 s
G3 / G3
correct 		15:58
17:14
 45:14
Show details
Prediction details: Linus Lehnen

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 5–45
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 7.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:00 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.93 %, Sicherheit 94 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Error: −1:16 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 45:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Total: 45:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 14.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 51 Ignacio Gonzalez Garcia
ESP
+57 s
+40 s
G3 / G4
 16:05
17:12
 45:21
Show details
Prediction details: Ignacio Gonzalez Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 30–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 16.7 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 45:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Total: 45:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 22.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 29 Moritz Göttler
GER
+43 s
+52 s
G2 / G3
 16:32
15:56
 45:28
Show details
Prediction details: Moritz Göttler

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 30–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -8.6 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:36 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 45:28
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Total: 45:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 9.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 50 Ander Michelena Beltran De Heredia
ESP
+55 s
+50 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:13
18:35
 45:29
Show details
Prediction details: Ander Michelena Beltran De Heredia

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 29–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Error: −2:22 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 45:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Total: 45:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 21.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 30 Andres Cendan Llorens
ESP
+35 s
+41 s
G2 / G3
 16:39
16:12
 45:35
Show details
Prediction details: Andres Cendan Llorens

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 28–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -6.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 67 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 45:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 1.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 43 Maximilian Krüger
GER
+40 s
+34 s
G2 / G3
 16:40
17:34
 45:36
Show details
Prediction details: Maximilian Krüger

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 31–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 5.8 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:54 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:36
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 17 Hector Tolsa Garcia
ESP
+43 s
+47 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:41
15:51
 45:37
Show details
Prediction details: Hector Tolsa Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 27–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -3.7 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.68 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:50 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 45:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 9.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 56 Alexandre Alvarez Ferreira
ESP
+52 s
+58 s
G3 / G5
 16:22
17:55
 45:38
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandre Alvarez Ferreira

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 30–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -6.3 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: −1:33 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 45:38
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 45:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 17.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 42 Filippo Lisi
ITA
+59 s
+48 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:23
17:32
 45:39
Show details
Prediction details: Filippo Lisi

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 32–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 11.4 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Error: −1:09 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 45:39
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Total: 45:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 25.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 45 Pau Gonzalez-Espresati Clement
ESP
+28 s
+28 s
G1 / G3
 17:18
17:40
 45:45
Show details
Prediction details: Pau Gonzalez-Espresati Clement

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 33–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 8:42
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 0.1 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:42 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 45:45
40 / 58 Carlos Bautista Bugarin
ESP
+34 s
+57 s
G2 / G6
 17:12
19:45
 46:08
Show details
Prediction details: Carlos Bautista Bugarin

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 35–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -22.6 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Error: −2:33 / −0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 46:08
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Total: 46:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 0.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 31 Jesus Gildardo Espiritu
MEX
+39 s
+39 s
G2 / G3
 17:13
16:12
 46:09
Show details
Prediction details: Jesus Gildardo Espiritu

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 32–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 0.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.98 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Error: +1:01 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 46:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Total: 46:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 5.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 14 Jose Ignacio Galvez Ponce
ESP
+46 s
+36 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:14
15:38
 46:10
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Ignacio Galvez Ponce

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 38–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 10.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -1.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Error: +1:36 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 46:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Total: 46:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 12.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 54 Xoel Rodriguez Abad
ESP
+58 s
+45 s
G3 / G4
 16:58
18:07
 46:14
Show details
Prediction details: Xoel Rodriguez Abad

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 28–52
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 13.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: −1:09 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 46:14
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Total: 46:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 24.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 46 Paco Martí Ballester
ESP
+39 s
+87 s
G2 / G4
 17:37
15:49
 46:33
Show details
Prediction details: Paco Martí Ballester

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 42–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +87 s
Fehler: -48.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Error: +1:48 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 46:33
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Total: 46:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 4.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 34 Davide Menichelli
ITA
+66 s
+54 s
G4 / G3
 15:48
16:26
 46:40
Show details
Prediction details: Davide Menichelli

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 28–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 11.8 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 16.4 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:38 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 46:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:46 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Total: 46:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 32 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 37 Víctor Bouzón García
ESP
+56 s
+49 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:38
16:50
 46:54
Show details
Prediction details: Víctor Bouzón García

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 45–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 6.7 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:48 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 46:54
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Total: 46:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 21.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 53 Noam Escarabajal Hernández
ESP
+65 s
+62 s
G4 / G4
correct 		17:43
18:03
 48:35
Show details
Prediction details: Noam Escarabajal Hernández

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 47–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: 2.7 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:35
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:46 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 30.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 12 José Ramón Jímenez Blazquez
ESP
+31 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		20:13
16:14
 48:40
Show details
Prediction details: José Ramón Jímenez Blazquez

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 50–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 8:45
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 20.3 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:13 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Error: +3:59 / +0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 48:40
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:45 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 20:13 (4:03 / km)
Total: 48:40
49 / 41 David González Borges
ESP
+82 s
+51 s
G5 / G3
 17:50
17:31
 48:52
Show details
Prediction details: David González Borges

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 49–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +82 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: 31.2 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.74 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.4 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:52
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:40 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Total: 48:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 48.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 2 Nathan Lessmann
FRA
+27 s
+6 s
G1 / G1
correct 		20:29
15:07
 48:56
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Lessmann

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 50–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 48

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 8:41
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 21.2 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:29 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:07 (3:01 / km)
Error: +5:22 / +1:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:41 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 20:29 (4:06 / km)
Total: 48:56
51 / 35 Gorka Rodríguez Hernández
ESP
+49 s
+40 s
G3 / G3
correct 		20:16
16:25
 49:32
Show details
Prediction details: Gorka Rodríguez Hernández

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 51–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 9.1 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 3 (23 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Error: +3:51 / +0:46 / km
Overall prediction: 49:32
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Total: 49:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 15.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 23 Alejandro Rodríguez Rilo
ESP
+27 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		21:40
17:15
 50:07
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro Rodríguez Rilo

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 53–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 8:41
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 1.88 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:40 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: +4:25 / +0:53 / km
Overall prediction: 50:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:41 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:54 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 21:40 (4:20 / km)
Total: 50:07
53 / 32 Marcos Del Álamo Martínez
ESP
+36 s
+36 s
G2 / G2
correct 		23:09
17:17
 52:05
Show details
Prediction details: Marcos Del Álamo Martínez

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:09 (4:38 / km)
Historical basis: 4:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Error: +5:52 / +1:10 / km
Overall prediction: 52:05
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 23:09 (4:38 / km)
Total: 52:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 2.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Igor Dupuis
FRA
+55 s
+1 s
G3 / G1
14:58
Show details
Prediction details: Igor Dupuis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 54.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (12 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:58 (3:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:17 (42.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 21.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 8 Nathan Grayel
FRA
+46 s
 Bike DNF 14:46
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Grayel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 14:46 (2:57 / km)
Historical basis: 2:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 14:46 (2:57 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Martin Cando Santos
ESP
+0 s
+30 s
G0 / G2
16:10
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Cando Santos

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:14
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:14 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 55 Eduardo Escalante Gutiérrez
ESP
+39 s
+30 s
G2 / G4
18:12
Show details
Prediction details: Eduardo Escalante Gutiérrez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -55

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 9.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:10 (42.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 5.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 57 Mario Gil Camacho
ESP
+0 s
+135 s
G0 / G6
17:08
Show details
Prediction details: Mario Gil Camacho

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:14
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +135 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:14 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.