Prediction comparison

50-54 Female AG

23.08.2024 Townsville AUS

Race information and calculation basis

2024 World Triathlon Aquathlon Championships Townsville

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 23.08.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used

Modell v14 Default values

Prediction quality 3/100 sehr niedrig

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 6.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 23.3 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error13.4

Mean swim error197.6 s

Correct bike groups0/0

No history10

Place Prediction / result	Athlete	Swimming Prediction / result	Bike group Prediction / result	Run Prediction / result	Details
0 / 1	Joanne Primmer AUS	+66 s +0 s	Bike DNF	11:18	Show details Prediction details: Joanne Primmer Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 1 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +66 s Time: 18:53 Pace: 1:53 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 66.0 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 11:18 (4:31 / km) Historical basis: 4:31 / km Best comparable pace: 4:31 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 4 % Ergebnis Lauf: 10:54 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 18:53 (1:53 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 11:18 (4:31 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2	Julianna Batizy-Morley USA	+82 s +49 s	Bike DNF	10:56	Show details Prediction details: Julianna Batizy-Morley Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 2 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +82 s Time: 19:09 Pace: 1:55 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +49 s Fehler: 33.2 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 10:56 (4:22 / km) Historical basis: 4:23 / km Best comparable pace: 4:20 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 4 % Ergebnis Lauf: 10:38 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 19:09 (1:55 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 10:56 (4:22 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3	Julie Howle AUS	+94 s +26 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Julie Howle Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 3 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +94 s Time: 19:21 Pace: 1:56 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +26 s Fehler: 68.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:05 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 19:21 (1:56 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4	Ellen Glennan AUS	+0 s +124 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Ellen Glennan Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 4 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +124 s Fehler: -124.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:17 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5	Carolyn Dooley GBR	+0 s +125 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Carolyn Dooley Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 5 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +125 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:16 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6	Samantha Forde USA	+187 s +119 s	Bike DNF	9:40	Show details Prediction details: Samantha Forde Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 6 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +187 s Time: 20:54 Pace: 2:05 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +119 s Fehler: 68.2 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 9:40 (3:52 / km) Historical basis: 3:52 / km Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 4 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:59 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 20:54 (2:05 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 9:40 (3:52 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7	Emma Leonard AUS	+141 s +109 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Emma Leonard Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 7 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +141 s Time: 20:08 Pace: 2:01 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +109 s Fehler: 32.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:03 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 20:08 (2:01 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8	Sile Crowe AUS	+0 s +123 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Sile Crowe Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 8 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +123 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:38 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9	Erika Binger USA	+66 s +84 s	Bike DNF	13:12	Show details Prediction details: Erika Binger Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 9 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +66 s Time: 18:53 Pace: 1:53 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +84 s Fehler: -17.8 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 13:12 (5:17 / km) Historical basis: 5:17 / km Best comparable pace: 5:17 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 4 % Ergebnis Lauf: 12:06 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:53 (1:53 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 13:12 (5:17 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10	Dianne Guiney AUS	+0 s +271 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Dianne Guiney Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 10 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +271 s Fehler: -271.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:14 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11	Tricia Finkbeiner AUS	+0 s +188 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Tricia Finkbeiner Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 11 Deviation: -11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +188 s Fehler: -188.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:31 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12	Carmel Hickey AUS	+286 s +250 s	Bike DNF	11:49	Show details Prediction details: Carmel Hickey Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 12 Deviation: -12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +286 s Time: 22:33 Pace: 2:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +250 s Fehler: 36.0 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.16 %, Sicherheit 3 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 11:49 (4:44 / km) Historical basis: 4:44 / km Best comparable pace: 4:44 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:39 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 22:33 (2:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 11:49 (4:44 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13	Julie Roy CAN	+215 s +322 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Julie Roy Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 13 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +215 s Time: 21:22 Pace: 2:08 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +322 s Fehler: -107.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:49 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 21:22 (2:08 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14	Sarah Fitzgerald AUS	+331 s +221 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Sarah Fitzgerald Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 14 Deviation: -14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +331 s Time: 23:18 Pace: 2:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +221 s Fehler: 110.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 12:20 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 23:18 (2:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15	Julie Gollan-Foard AUS	+126 s +229 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Julie Gollan-Foard Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 15 Deviation: -15 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +126 s Time: 19:53 Pace: 1:59 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +229 s Fehler: -103.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 12:12 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 19:53 (1:59 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16	Lisa Taylor GBR	+327 s +287 s	Bike DNF	10:45	Show details Prediction details: Lisa Taylor Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 16 Deviation: -16 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +327 s Time: 23:14 Pace: 2:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +287 s Fehler: 40.1 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.11 %, Sicherheit 3 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 10:45 (4:18 / km) Historical basis: 4:18 / km Best comparable pace: 4:18 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:03 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 23:14 (2:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 10:45 (4:18 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17	Danielle Sage AUS	+0 s +289 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Danielle Sage Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 17 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +289 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:39 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18	Lori McWhirter AUS	+0 s +229 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Lori McWhirter Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 18 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +229 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:53 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19	Michelle Robinson AUS	+0 s +211 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Michelle Robinson Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 19 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +211 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 13:35 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20	Nayiri Doudikian-Scaff USA	+259 s +306 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Nayiri Doudikian-Scaff Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 20 Deviation: -20 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +259 s Time: 22:06 Pace: 2:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +306 s Fehler: -47.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 12:29 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 22:06 (2:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21	Amanda Whitburn AUS	+1,297 s +367 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Amanda Whitburn Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 21 Deviation: -21 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +1,297 s Time: 39:24 Pace: 3:56 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +367 s Fehler: 930.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 12:36 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 39:24 (3:56 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22	Teresa Theaker AUS	+146 s +426 s	Bike DNF	13:19	Show details Prediction details: Teresa Theaker Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: -22 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +146 s Time: 20:13 Pace: 2:01 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +426 s Fehler: -279.8 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 13:19 (5:20 / km) Historical basis: 5:20 / km Best comparable pace: 5:20 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 13:54 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 20:13 (2:01 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 13:19 (5:20 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23	Jennifer Kron USA	+0 s +513 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Jennifer Kron Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 23 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +513 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 12:27 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24	Caroline Curtis USA	+0 s +402 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Caroline Curtis Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 24 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +402 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 14:34 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25	Lisa Mazlin AUS	+0 s +559 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Lisa Mazlin Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 25 Deviation: -25 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +559 s Fehler: -559.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 14:03 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26	Bonnie Allan AUS	+0 s +570 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Bonnie Allan Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: -26 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +570 s Fehler: -570.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 14:05 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27	Dinah Mistilis USA	+0 s +586 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Dinah Mistilis Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 27 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +586 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 16:48 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28	Amanda Tamo USA	+0 s +616 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Amanda Tamo Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 28 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +616 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 16:05 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 29	Rachelle Manieri USA	+0 s +1538 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Rachelle Manieri Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 29 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1538 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 24:26 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:47 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30	Kimee Armour USA	+1,690 s +1992 s	Bike DNF	19:50	Show details Prediction details: Kimee Armour Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 30 Deviation: -30 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +1,690 s Time: 45:57 Pace: 4:36 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1992 s Fehler: -301.8 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 19:50 (7:56 / km) Historical basis: 7:56 / km Best comparable pace: 7:56 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 4 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:08 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 45:57 (4:36 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 19:50 (7:56 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

Prediction comparison

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling

Running and total

Placement

Swimming

Cycling