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Performance Workspace
Predicition
Prediction comparison

PTS4 Men

24.02.2024 Pragelato - Sestriere ITA
Race information and calculation basis
2024 World Triathlon Winter Duathlon Championships Pragelato - Sestriere

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 24.02.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 50/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.0
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Martin Falch
AUT
+65 s
Bike DNF 34:58
34:25
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Falch

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time:
Pace: 2:07 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 34:58 (5:50 / km)
Historical basis: 5:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 34:25 (5:44 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 34:58 (5:50 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.