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Elite Men

22.06.2025 Aluksne LAT
Race information and calculation basis
2025 LAT Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 22.06.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 28/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 16.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 32.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.8
Mean swim error218.8 s
Mean bike-speed error1.43 km/h
Correct bike groups1/13
No history12
Within the 80% range12.0 %
Details
1 / 8 Valerijs Knszevs
LAT
+238 s
+600 s
G2 / G7
 21:35
43:25
 1:37:06
Show details
Prediction details: Valerijs Knszevs

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 5–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +238 s
Time: 22:11
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +600 s
Fehler: -362.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 40.2 s
Gap behind: 106.3 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:35 (2:10 / km)
Historical basis: 2:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 43:25 (4:21 / km)
Error: −21:50 / −2:11 / km
Overall prediction: 1:37:06
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 22:11 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:11:33 (33.3 km/h)
Run: 21:35 (2:10 / km)
Total: 1:37:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 130.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +107.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 15 Eriks Karklis
LAT
+198 s
+591 s
G2 / G11
 23:29
48:58
 1:39:00
Show details
Prediction details: Eriks Karklis

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +198 s
Time: 21:31
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +591 s
Fehler: -393.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.1 s
Gap behind: 40.2 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:29 (2:21 / km)
Historical basis: 2:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 48:58 (4:54 / km)
Error: −25:29 / −2:33 / km
Overall prediction: 1:39:00
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 21:31 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:11:33 (33.3 km/h)
Run: 23:29 (2:21 / km)
Total: 1:39:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:07
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 143.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +54 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 1 Artjoms Gajevskis
LAT
+50 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		34:57
38:18
 1:43:25
Show details
Prediction details: Artjoms Gajevskis

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 19:03
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 50.1 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.9 s
Gap behind: 36.3 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:57 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.09 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:18 (3:50 / km)
Error: −3:21 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 1:43:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:03 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:21 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 34:57 (3:30 / km)
Total: 1:43:25
4 / 2 Francis Daniels Veģeris
LAT
+38 s
+28 s
G1 / G2
 36:59
38:18
 1:45:27
Show details
Prediction details: Francis Daniels Veģeris

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 18:51
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 10.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.99 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 17.2 s
Gap behind: 11.9 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:59 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.76 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:18 (3:50 / km)
Error: −1:19 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 1:45:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:51 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:21 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 36:59 (3:42 / km)
Total: 1:45:27
5 / 4 Viktors Zigarkovs
LAT
+21 s
+139 s
G1 / G3
 40:04
40:01
 1:48:32
Show details
Prediction details: Viktors Zigarkovs

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 18:34
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +139 s
Fehler: -118.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 2.31 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 21.0 s
Gap behind: 17.2 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 40:04 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:01 (4:00 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 1:48:32
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 18:34 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:21 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 40:04 (4:00 / km)
Total: 1:48:32
6 / 6 Arvis Grencbergs
LAT
+86 s
+352 s
G1 / G5
 42:26
40:55
 1:50:54
Show details
Prediction details: Arvis Grencbergs

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +86 s
Time: 19:39
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +352 s
Fehler: -265.6 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.40 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 36.3 s
Gap behind: 100.3 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 42:26 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:55 (4:06 / km)
Error: +1:31 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 1:50:54
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 19:39 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:21 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 42:26 (4:15 / km)
Total: 1:50:54
7 / 17 Toms Jankovskis
LAT
+585 s
+792 s
G3 / G17
 41:33
43:28
 2:01:36
Show details
Prediction details: Toms Jankovskis

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +585 s
Time: 27:58
Pace: 1:52 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +792 s
Fehler: -207.3 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -1.57 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 157.7 s
Gap behind: 13.3 s
Result: Group 17 (2 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 41:33 (4:09 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 43:28 (4:21 / km)
Error: −1:55 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 2:01:36
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 27:58 (1:52 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:05 (34.1 km/h)
Run: 41:33 (4:09 / km)
Total: 2:01:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 21:27
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 391 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +193.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 14 Aivars Uzols
LAT
+344 s
+630 s
G3 / G14
 49:11
46:49
 2:09:14
Show details
Prediction details: Aivars Uzols

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +344 s
Time: 23:57
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +630 s
Fehler: -285.7 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.75 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 106.3 s
Gap behind: 82.7 s
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 49:11 (4:55 / km)
Historical basis: 5:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 46:49 (4:41 / km)
Error: +2:22 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 2:09:14
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 23:57 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:05 (34.1 km/h)
Run: 49:11 (4:55 / km)
Total: 2:09:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:07
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 290.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +54 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 19 Ivans Ļebedevs
LAT
+0 s
+460 s
G1 / G15
 1:30:20
47:10
 2:38:48
Show details
Prediction details: Ivans Ļebedevs

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +460 s
Fehler: -460.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 21.0 s
Result: Group 15 (2 people)
Speed: 31.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:30:20 (9:02 / km)
Historical basis: 9:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 9:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 47:10 (4:43 / km)
Error: +43:10 / +4:19 / km
Overall prediction: 2:38:48
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:21 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 1:30:20 (9:02 / km)
Total: 2:38:48
0 / 3 Andrejs Dmitrijevs
LAT
+187 s
+139 s
G1 / G3
39:00
Show details
Prediction details: Andrejs Dmitrijevs

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +187 s
Time: 21:20
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +139 s
Fehler: 47.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 100.3 s
Gap behind: 11.1 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:00 (3:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 21:20 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:21 (35.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 5 Oskars Vidovskis
LAT
+0 s
+238 s
G0 / G4
40:00
Show details
Prediction details: Oskars Vidovskis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +238 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:00 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Anatolijs Macuks
LAT
+0 s
+471 s
G0 / G8
38:15
Show details
Prediction details: Anatolijs Macuks

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +471 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:15 (3:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Krišjānis Beitāns
LAT
+0 s
+436 s
G0 / G6
47:12
Show details
Prediction details: Krišjānis Beitāns

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +436 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 47:12 (4:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Pāvels Ābelīte
LAT
+0 s
+713 s
G0 / G10
42:42
Show details
Prediction details: Pāvels Ābelīte

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +713 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:42 (4:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Mārcis Pētersons
LAT
+0 s
+581 s
G0 / G9
44:23
Show details
Prediction details: Mārcis Pētersons

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +581 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 44:23 (4:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Janis Ozolins
LAT
+0 s
+438 s
G1 / G13
42:45
Show details
Prediction details: Janis Ozolins

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +438 s
Fehler: -438.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:45 (4:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:21 (35.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 13 Ernesto Peraza
ESP
+598 s
+633 s
G3 / G16
42:07
Show details
Prediction details: Ernesto Peraza

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +598 s
Time: 28:11
Pace: 1:53 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +633 s
Fehler: -35.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.3 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 16 (1 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:07 (4:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 28:11 (1:53 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:05 (34.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 21:27
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 404.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +193.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16 Maksims Ivanovs
LAT
+0 s
+635 s
G0 / G12
48:46
Show details
Prediction details: Maksims Ivanovs

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +635 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 48:46 (4:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Matīss Priedīts
LAT
+0 s
+5224 s
G0 / G18
Show details
Prediction details: Matīss Priedīts

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5224 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 18 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Edgars Akmeņkalns
LAT
+0 s
+871 s
G0 / G19
43:17
Show details
Prediction details: Edgars Akmeņkalns

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +871 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 19 (2 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 43:17 (4:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Fricis Zaržeckis
LAT
+0 s
+796 s
G0 / G15
48:12
Show details
Prediction details: Fricis Zaržeckis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +796 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 15 (2 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 48:12 (4:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Lukass Lappuķe
LAT
+427 s
+599 s
G3 / G17
48:05
Show details
Prediction details: Lukass Lappuķe

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +427 s
Time: 25:20
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +599 s
Fehler: -172.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 82.7 s
Gap behind: 157.7 s
Result: Group 17 (2 people)
Speed: 31.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 48:05 (4:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 25:20 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:10:05 (34.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 21:27
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 233.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +193.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 23 Artem Novikov
LAT
+0 s
+835 s
G0 / G19
47:02
Show details
Prediction details: Artem Novikov

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +835 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 19 (2 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 47:02 (4:42 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Andrejs Vinogradovs
LAT
+0 s
+974 s
G0 / G18
49:52
Show details
Prediction details: Andrejs Vinogradovs

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +974 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 18 (2 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 49:52 (4:59 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Artis Aramins
LAT
+0 s
+985 s
G0 / G20
48:03
Show details
Prediction details: Artis Aramins

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +985 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 20 (1 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 48:03 (4:48 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:13 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.