Prediction comparison

60-64 Female AG

16.10.2025 Wollongong AUS

Race information and calculation basis

2025 World Triathlon Age-Group Championships Wollongong

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.10.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used

Modell v15 Default values

Prediction quality 27/100 sehr niedrig

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 14.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 48.8 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error13.0

Mean swim error137.8 s

Mean bike-speed error1.84 km/h

Correct bike groups2/32

No history11

Within the 80% range11.6 %

						Details
1 / 2	Nicki Rushton GBR	+23 s +37 s	G1 / G1 correct	47:41 52:04	2:07:45	Show details Prediction details: Nicki Rushton Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 12–12 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 2 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +23 s Time: 24:40 Pace: 1:39 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +37 s Fehler: -14.0 s H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 20 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 88 % Speed: 30.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 23.0 s Gap behind: 51.7 s Result: Group 1 (1 people) Speed: 33.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.73 km/h Running and total Run: 47:41 (4:46 / km) Historical basis: 4:46 / km Best comparable pace: 4:44 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 27 % Ergebnis Lauf: 52:04 (5:12 / km) Error: −4:23 / −0:26 / km Overall prediction: 2:07:45 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 24:40 (1:39 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:41 (30.0 km/h) Run: 47:41 (4:46 / km) Total: 2:07:45
2 / 9	Nicoletta Tonizzo ITA	+348 s +322 s	G2 / G8	47:43 53:02	2:09:00	Show details Prediction details: Nicoletta Tonizzo Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 13–14 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 9 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +348 s Time: 30:05 Pace: 2:00 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +322 s Fehler: 26.3 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 1.34 %, Sicherheit 37 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 61.2 s Gap behind: 4.7 s Result: Group 8 (2 people) Speed: 32.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.22 km/h Running and total Run: 47:43 (4:46 / km) Historical basis: 4:44 / km Best comparable pace: 4:44 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.90 %, Sicherheit 41 % Ergebnis Lauf: 53:02 (5:18 / km) Error: −5:19 / −0:32 / km Overall prediction: 2:09:00 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 30:05 (2:00 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:24 (31.8 km/h) Run: 47:43 (4:46 / km) Total: 2:09:00 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 25:27 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m About 277.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +70.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 10	Marion Hermitage AUS	+75 s +154 s	G2 / G12	48:38 49:05	2:09:55	Show details Prediction details: Marion Hermitage Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 13–14 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 10 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +75 s Time: 25:32 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +154 s Fehler: -79.3 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 51.7 s Gap behind: 101.3 s Result: Group 12 (2 people) Speed: 30.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.82 km/h Running and total Run: 48:38 (4:52 / km) Historical basis: 4:52 / km Best comparable pace: 4:40 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 49:05 (4:55 / km) Error: −0:27 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 2:09:55 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 25:32 (1:42 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:24 (31.8 km/h) Run: 48:38 (4:52 / km) Total: 2:09:55 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 70.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 5	Hilary Briggs GBR	+257 s +221 s	G2 / G6	49:31 53:00	2:10:48	Show details Prediction details: Hilary Briggs Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 14–16 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 5 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +257 s Time: 28:34 Pace: 1:54 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +221 s Fehler: 36.4 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 37 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 39.3 s Gap behind: 2.9 s Result: Group 6 (1 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.89 km/h Running and total Run: 49:31 (4:57 / km) Historical basis: 4:58 / km Best comparable pace: 4:46 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 40 % Ergebnis Lauf: 53:00 (5:18 / km) Error: −3:29 / −0:21 / km Overall prediction: 2:10:48 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 28:34 (1:54 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:24 (31.8 km/h) Run: 49:31 (4:57 / km) Total: 2:10:48 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 25:27 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m About 186.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +70.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 1	Linda Robb USA	+205 s +28 s	G2 / G4	49:43 45:16	2:11:00	Show details Prediction details: Linda Robb Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 15–17 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 1 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +205 s Time: 27:42 Pace: 1:51 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +28 s Fehler: 177.4 s H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 23 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 29.4 s Gap behind: 12.7 s Result: Group 4 (1 people) Speed: 32.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.78 km/h Running and total Run: 49:43 (4:58 / km) Historical basis: 4:59 / km Best comparable pace: 4:59 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 23 % Ergebnis Lauf: 45:16 (4:32 / km) Error: +4:27 / +0:27 / km Overall prediction: 2:11:00 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 27:42 (1:51 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:24 (31.8 km/h) Run: 49:43 (4:58 / km) Total: 2:11:00 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:44 Pace: 1:39 / 100 m About 178.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 34	Tiffany Proudfoot GBR	+287 s +311 s	G2 / G25	50:23 1:02:03	2:11:40	Show details Prediction details: Tiffany Proudfoot Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 16–17 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 34 Deviation: -28 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +287 s Time: 29:04 Pace: 1:56 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +311 s Fehler: -23.9 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 15 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 61.2 s Result: Group 25 (2 people) Speed: 25.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.45 km/h Running and total Run: 50:23 (5:02 / km) Historical basis: 5:02 / km Best comparable pace: 5:02 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 20 % Ergebnis Lauf: 1:02:03 (6:12 / km) Error: −11:40 / −1:10 / km Overall prediction: 2:11:40 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 29:04 (1:56 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:24 (31.8 km/h) Run: 50:23 (5:02 / km) Total: 2:11:40 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 25:28 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m About 216.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +70.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 19	Debbie Heap GBR	+218 s +186 s	G2 / G13	56:11 1:00:09	2:17:28	Show details Prediction details: Debbie Heap Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 18–18 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 19 Deviation: -12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +218 s Time: 27:55 Pace: 1:52 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +186 s Fehler: 32.1 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.14 %, Sicherheit 5 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 12.7 s Gap behind: 39.3 s Result: Group 13 (3 people) Speed: 29.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.23 km/h Running and total Run: 56:11 (5:37 / km) Historical basis: 5:38 / km Best comparable pace: 5:38 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 5 % Ergebnis Lauf: 1:00:09 (6:01 / km) Error: −3:58 / −0:24 / km Overall prediction: 2:17:28 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 27:55 (1:52 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:24 (31.8 km/h) Run: 56:11 (5:37 / km) Total: 2:17:28 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 214.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 12	Jane Baldwin NZL	+260 s +367 s	G2 / G11	57:43 51:59	2:19:00	Show details Prediction details: Jane Baldwin Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 19–20 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 12 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +260 s Time: 28:37 Pace: 1:54 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +367 s Fehler: -106.7 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 1 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.9 s Gap behind: 10.7 s Result: Group 11 (1 people) Speed: 31.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.24 km/h Running and total Run: 57:43 (5:46 / km) Historical basis: 5:46 / km Best comparable pace: 5:46 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 51:59 (5:12 / km) Error: +5:44 / +0:34 / km Overall prediction: 2:19:00 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 28:37 (1:54 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:24 (31.8 km/h) Run: 57:43 (5:46 / km) Total: 2:19:00 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 25:27 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m About 189.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +70.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 7	Dana Ginsburg USA	+455 s +300 s	G4 / G8	48:59 51:33	2:23:59	Show details Prediction details: Dana Ginsburg Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 19–21 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 7 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +455 s Time: 31:52 Pace: 2:07 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +300 s Fehler: 154.5 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -1.11 %, Sicherheit 11 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 27.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 22.1 s Gap behind: 8.5 s Result: Group 8 (2 people) Speed: 32.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -4.98 km/h Running and total Run: 48:59 (4:54 / km) Historical basis: 4:54 / km Best comparable pace: 4:50 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 10 % Ergebnis Lauf: 51:33 (5:09 / km) Error: −2:34 / −0:15 / km Overall prediction: 2:23:59 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 31:52 (2:07 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:27:17 (27.5 km/h) Run: 48:59 (4:54 / km) Total: 2:23:59 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 25:28 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m About 383.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +70.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 18	Charlotte Jassan MEX	+404 s +350 s	G3 / G16	54:06 55:26	2:24:10	Show details Prediction details: Charlotte Jassan Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 20–22 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 18 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +404 s Time: 31:01 Pace: 2:04 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +350 s Fehler: 53.9 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -1.02 %, Sicherheit 25 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 29.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 30.1 s Gap behind: 20.1 s Result: Group 16 (2 people) Speed: 29.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.04 km/h Running and total Run: 54:06 (5:25 / km) Historical basis: 5:25 / km Best comparable pace: 5:10 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 27 % Ergebnis Lauf: 55:26 (5:33 / km) Error: −1:20 / −0:08 / km Overall prediction: 2:24:10 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 31:01 (2:04 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:23:00 (29.0 km/h) Run: 54:06 (5:25 / km) Total: 2:24:10 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 400 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 20	Anne Walton GBR	+432 s +317 s	G4 / G19	51:02 55:12	2:26:02	Show details Prediction details: Anne Walton Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 21–22 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 20 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +432 s Time: 31:29 Pace: 2:06 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +317 s Fehler: 115.4 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 1.27 %, Sicherheit 10 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 27.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 8.4 s Gap behind: 22.1 s Result: Group 19 (1 people) Speed: 28.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.63 km/h Running and total Run: 51:02 (5:06 / km) Historical basis: 5:07 / km Best comparable pace: 4:52 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 10 % Ergebnis Lauf: 55:12 (5:31 / km) Error: −4:10 / −0:25 / km Overall prediction: 2:26:02 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 31:29 (2:06 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:27:17 (27.5 km/h) Run: 51:02 (5:06 / km) Total: 2:26:02 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 428.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 23	Leslie Winters USA	+374 s +325 s	G3 / G13	58:09 1:02:47	2:28:13	Show details Prediction details: Leslie Winters Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 23–23 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 23 Deviation: -11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +374 s Time: 30:31 Pace: 2:02 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +325 s Fehler: 48.8 s H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 23 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 29.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 20.8 s Gap behind: 30.1 s Result: Group 13 (3 people) Speed: 30.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.43 km/h Running and total Run: 58:09 (5:49 / km) Historical basis: 5:49 / km Best comparable pace: 5:49 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 23 % Ergebnis Lauf: 1:02:47 (6:17 / km) Error: −4:38 / −0:28 / km Overall prediction: 2:28:13 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 30:31 (2:02 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:23:00 (29.0 km/h) Run: 58:09 (5:49 / km) Total: 2:28:13 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 369.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 21	Elizabeth Kaufman USA	+533 s +314 s	G6 / G21	52:03 53:43	2:31:46	Show details Prediction details: Elizabeth Kaufman Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 24–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 21 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +533 s Time: 33:10 Pace: 2:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +314 s Fehler: 219.1 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 8 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 27.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 20, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 31.1 s Gap behind: 52.0 s Result: Group 21 (1 people) Speed: 27.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.37 km/h Running and total Run: 52:03 (5:12 / km) Historical basis: 5:12 / km Best comparable pace: 5:12 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 9 % Ergebnis Lauf: 53:43 (5:22 / km) Error: −1:40 / −0:10 / km Overall prediction: 2:31:46 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 33:10 (2:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:27:22 (27.3 km/h) Run: 52:03 (5:12 / km) Total: 2:31:46 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 529.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 32	Naomi Era JPN	+502 s +631 s	G6 / G26	54:43 56:08	2:34:26	Show details Prediction details: Naomi Era Placement Prediction: 14 80% range: 25–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 32 Deviation: -18 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +502 s Time: 32:39 Pace: 2:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +631 s Fehler: -129.0 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.46 %, Sicherheit 4 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 27.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 20.5 s Gap behind: 31.1 s Result: Group 26 (1 people) Speed: 26.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.92 km/h Running and total Run: 54:43 (5:28 / km) Historical basis: 5:27 / km Best comparable pace: 5:27 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 4 % Ergebnis Lauf: 56:08 (5:37 / km) Error: −1:25 / −0:09 / km Overall prediction: 2:34:26 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 32:39 (2:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:27:22 (27.3 km/h) Run: 54:43 (5:28 / km) Total: 2:34:26 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 498.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 22	Judy Gebhart AUS	+482 s +373 s	G5 / G17	59:33 58:03	2:37:55	Show details Prediction details: Judy Gebhart Placement Prediction: 15 80% range: 26–26 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +482 s Time: 32:19 Pace: 2:09 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +373 s Fehler: 108.5 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 14 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 26.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 18.5 s Gap behind: 20.5 s Result: Group 17 (1 people) Speed: 28.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.35 km/h Running and total Run: 59:33 (5:57 / km) Historical basis: 5:58 / km Best comparable pace: 5:58 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 5 % Ergebnis Lauf: 58:03 (5:48 / km) Error: +1:30 / +0:09 / km Overall prediction: 2:37:55 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 32:19 (2:09 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:30:20 (26.6 km/h) Run: 59:33 (5:57 / km) Total: 2:37:55 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 477.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 33	Sandra Sukstorf CAN	+695 s +571 s	G6 / G23	59:26 1:06:08	2:39:09	Show details Prediction details: Sandra Sukstorf Placement Prediction: 16 80% range: 27–27 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 33 Deviation: -17 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +695 s Time: 35:52 Pace: 2:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +571 s Fehler: 124.2 s H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 23 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 27.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 24, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.7 s Gap behind: 46.4 s Result: Group 23 (2 people) Speed: 28.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.87 km/h Running and total Run: 59:26 (5:57 / km) Historical basis: 5:57 / km Best comparable pace: 5:57 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 23 % Ergebnis Lauf: 1:06:08 (6:37 / km) Error: −6:42 / −0:40 / km Overall prediction: 2:39:09 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 35:52 (2:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:27:22 (27.3 km/h) Run: 59:26 (5:57 / km) Total: 2:39:09 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 691.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 8	Tanya Lavington NZL	+585 s +317 s	G6 / G10	1:03:36 50:37	2:43:19	Show details Prediction details: Tanya Lavington Placement Prediction: 17 80% range: 28–28 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 8 Deviation: 9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +585 s Time: 34:02 Pace: 2:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +317 s Fehler: 268.1 s Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 27.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 21, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 52.0 s Gap behind: 24.1 s Result: Group 10 (2 people) Speed: 31.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -4.28 km/h Running and total Run: 1:03:36 (6:22 / km) Historical basis: 6:22 / km Best comparable pace: 6:22 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 50:37 (5:04 / km) Error: +12:59 / +1:18 / km Overall prediction: 2:43:19 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 34:02 (2:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:27:22 (27.3 km/h) Run: 1:03:36 (6:22 / km) Total: 2:43:19 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 581.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 35	Karin Buerger UAE	+965 s +680 s	G8 / G25	59:15 1:05:10	2:48:17	Show details Prediction details: Karin Buerger Placement Prediction: 18 80% range: 29–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 35 Deviation: -17 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +965 s Time: 40:22 Pace: 2:41 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +680 s Fehler: 284.8 s Cycling Prediction: Group 8 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 26.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 27, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 196.0 s Gap behind: 314.4 s Result: Group 25 (2 people) Speed: 27.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.67 km/h Running and total Run: 59:15 (5:56 / km) Historical basis: 5:58 / km Best comparable pace: 5:58 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 2 % Ergebnis Lauf: 1:05:10 (6:31 / km) Error: −5:55 / −0:35 / km Overall prediction: 2:48:17 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 40:22 (2:41 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:27:43 (26.1 km/h) Run: 59:15 (5:56 / km) Total: 2:48:17 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 960.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 36	Polly Templeton AUS	+609 s +522 s	G6 / G24	1:09:28 1:08:56	2:49:11	Show details Prediction details: Polly Templeton Placement Prediction: 19 80% range: 29–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 36 Deviation: -17 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +609 s Time: 34:26 Pace: 2:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +522 s Fehler: 87.2 s H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 23 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 27.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 22, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 24.1 s Gap behind: 78.3 s Result: Group 24 (1 people) Speed: 27.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.04 km/h Running and total Run: 1:09:28 (6:57 / km) Historical basis: 6:57 / km Best comparable pace: 6:57 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 23 % Ergebnis Lauf: 1:08:56 (6:54 / km) Error: +0:32 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 2:49:11 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 34:26 (2:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:27:22 (27.3 km/h) Run: 1:09:28 (6:57 / km) Total: 2:49:11 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 605.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 28	Mary Sietsma AUS	+688 s +706 s	G6 / G22	1:10:30 59:36	2:50:13	Show details Prediction details: Mary Sietsma Placement Prediction: 20 80% range: 31–31 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 28 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +688 s Time: 35:45 Pace: 2:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +706 s Fehler: -18.5 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 9 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 27.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 23, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 78.3 s Gap behind: 7.7 s Result: Group 22 (1 people) Speed: 29.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.65 km/h Running and total Run: 1:10:30 (7:03 / km) Historical basis: 7:03 / km Best comparable pace: 7:03 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 59:36 (5:58 / km) Error: +10:54 / +1:05 / km Overall prediction: 2:50:13 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 35:45 (2:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:27:22 (27.3 km/h) Run: 1:10:30 (7:03 / km) Total: 2:50:13 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 683.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 41	Raelene Rees NZL	+769 s +1018 s	G7 / G28	1:09:53 1:15:15	2:58:42	Show details Prediction details: Raelene Rees Placement Prediction: 21 80% range: 32–32 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 41 Deviation: -20 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +769 s Time: 37:06 Pace: 2:28 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1018 s Fehler: -249.2 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.93 %, Sicherheit 31 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 25.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 26, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 27.2 s Gap behind: 196.0 s Result: Group 28 (1 people) Speed: 26.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.54 km/h Running and total Run: 1:09:53 (6:59 / km) Historical basis: 7:00 / km Best comparable pace: 7:00 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 23 % Ergebnis Lauf: 1:15:15 (7:32 / km) Error: −5:22 / −0:32 / km Overall prediction: 2:58:42 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 37:06 (2:28 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:36:00 (25.0 km/h) Run: 1:09:53 (6:59 / km) Total: 2:58:42 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 764.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 3	Kath Atkin NZL	+0 s +4 s	G1 / G3	50:31		Show details Prediction details: Kath Atkin Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–3 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 3 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +4 s Fehler: -4.0 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 99 % Speed: 30.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 0.0 s Result: Group 3 (1 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.70 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 50:31 (5:03 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:41 (30.0 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable
0 / 4	Sharyn Nichols AUS	+0 s +149 s	G0 / G5	51:47		Show details Prediction details: Sharyn Nichols Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 33–33 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 4 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +149 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 5 (1 people) Speed: 33.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 51:47 (5:11 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6	Virginia Forbes AUS	+271 s +0 s	G2 / G2 correct	57:22		Show details Prediction details: Virginia Forbes Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 4–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 6 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +271 s Time: 28:48 Pace: 1:55 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 271.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 10.7 s Gap behind: 16.0 s Result: Group 2 (1 people) Speed: 32.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.13 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 57:22 (5:44 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 28:48 (1:55 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:24 (31.8 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 25:28 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m About 200.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +70.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 11	Tina McEvoy AUS	+176 s +231 s	G2 / G9	52:08		Show details Prediction details: Tina McEvoy Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 4–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 11 Deviation: -11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +176 s Time: 27:13 Pace: 1:49 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +231 s Fehler: -55.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 101.3 s Gap behind: 29.4 s Result: Group 9 (1 people) Speed: 31.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.46 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 52:08 (5:13 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 27:13 (1:49 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:24 (31.8 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 25:28 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m About 105.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +70.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 13	Libby Henriksen NZL	+287 s +255 s	G2 / G7	57:56		Show details Prediction details: Libby Henriksen Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 4–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 13 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +287 s Time: 29:04 Pace: 1:56 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +255 s Fehler: 32.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 16.0 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 7 (1 people) Speed: 32.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.70 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 57:56 (5:48 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 29:04 (1:56 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:24 (31.8 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 25:28 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m About 216.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +70.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14	Elke Popp CAN	+0 s +305 s	G1 / G10	53:51		Show details Prediction details: Elke Popp Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–3 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 14 Deviation: -14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +305 s Fehler: -305.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 95 % Speed: 30.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.0 s Gap behind: 0.0 s Result: Group 10 (2 people) Speed: 31.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.84 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 53:51 (5:23 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:41 (30.0 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable
0 / 15	Sue Phillips AUS	+353 s +217 s	G2 / G12	54:42		Show details Prediction details: Sue Phillips Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 5–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 15 Deviation: -15 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +353 s Time: 30:10 Pace: 2:01 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +217 s Fehler: 136.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.7 s Gap behind: 20.8 s Result: Group 12 (2 people) Speed: 30.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.22 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 54:42 (5:28 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 30:10 (2:01 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:24 (31.8 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 25:28 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m About 282.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +70.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16	Amanda Daffas AUS	+463 s +416 s	G4 / G13	54:56		Show details Prediction details: Amanda Daffas Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 8–9 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 16 Deviation: -16 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +463 s Time: 32:00 Pace: 2:08 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +416 s Fehler: 47.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 27.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 8.5 s Gap behind: 18.5 s Result: Group 13 (3 people) Speed: 31.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.74 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 54:56 (5:30 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 32:00 (2:08 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:27:17 (27.5 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 25:28 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m About 392.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +70.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 17	Michele Wynyard NZL	+742 s +360 s	G6 / G14	54:02		Show details Prediction details: Michele Wynyard Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 10–10 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 17 Deviation: -17 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +742 s Time: 36:39 Pace: 2:27 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +360 s Fehler: 381.6 s Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 27.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 25, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 46.4 s Gap behind: 27.2 s Result: Group 14 (2 people) Speed: 29.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.47 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 54:02 (5:24 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 36:39 (2:27 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:27:22 (27.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 25:28 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m About 671 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +70.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 24	Cheryl Lilley USA	+0 s +538 s	G0 / G15	1:00:25		Show details Prediction details: Cheryl Lilley Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 34–34 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 24 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +538 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 15 (1 people) Speed: 31.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 1:00:25 (6:03 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25	Jane Davies AUS	+0 s +490 s	G0 / G18	58:58		Show details Prediction details: Jane Davies Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 35–35 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 25 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +490 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 18 (1 people) Speed: 29.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 58:58 (5:54 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26	Marty Munson USA	+0 s +237 s	G0 / G14	1:03:02		Show details Prediction details: Marty Munson Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 36–36 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +237 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 14 (2 people) Speed: 29.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 1:03:02 (6:18 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27	Susan Daniell AUS	+0 s +487 s	G1 / G20	59:56		Show details Prediction details: Susan Daniell Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–3 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 27 Deviation: -27 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +487 s Fehler: -487.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 88 % Speed: 30.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.0 s Gap behind: 23.0 s Result: Group 20 (2 people) Speed: 28.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.25 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 59:56 (6:00 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:19:41 (30.0 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable
0 / 29	Mina Kikuchi JPN	+0 s +495 s	G0 / G16	1:00:54		Show details Prediction details: Mina Kikuchi Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 37–37 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 29 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +495 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 16 (2 people) Speed: 30.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 1:00:54 (6:05 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30	Nanako Takuse JPN	+0 s +536 s	G0 / G20	1:01:16		Show details Prediction details: Nanako Takuse Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 38–38 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 30 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +536 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 20 (2 people) Speed: 30.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 1:01:16 (6:08 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 31	Claire O'Meara AUS	+0 s +571 s	G0 / G23	1:03:35		Show details Prediction details: Claire O'Meara Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 39–39 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 31 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +571 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 23 (2 people) Speed: 28.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 1:03:35 (6:22 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 37	Cathy Hannah AUS	+0 s +739 s	G0 / G27	1:05:55		Show details Prediction details: Cathy Hannah Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 40–40 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 37 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +739 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 27 (2 people) Speed: 25.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 1:05:55 (6:36 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 38	Bridget Fell AUS	+424 s +520 s	G3 / G27	1:06:55		Show details Prediction details: Bridget Fell Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 8–9 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 38 Deviation: -38 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +424 s Time: 31:21 Pace: 2:05 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +520 s Fehler: -96.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 29.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 20.1 s Gap behind: 8.4 s Result: Group 27 (2 people) Speed: 24.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.35 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 1:06:55 (6:42 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 31:21 (2:05 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:23:00 (29.0 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 25:28 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m About 353.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +70.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 39	Minako Abe JPN	+0 s +1153 s	G0 / G30	1:03:18		Show details Prediction details: Minako Abe Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 41–41 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 39 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1153 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 30 (1 people) Speed: 26.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 1:03:18 (6:20 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 40	Michele Sterling AUS	+1,279 s +1040 s	G8 / G29	1:12:51		Show details Prediction details: Michele Sterling Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 11–11 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 40 Deviation: -40 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +1,279 s Time: 45:36 Pace: 3:02 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1040 s Fehler: 239.2 s Cycling Prediction: Group 8 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 26.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 28, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 314.4 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 29 (1 people) Speed: 27.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.96 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 1:12:51 (7:17 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 45:36 (3:02 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:27:43 (26.1 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 24:21 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m About 1275.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 42	Leonie Keilour AUS	+0 s +581 s	G0 / G32	1:12:59		Show details Prediction details: Leonie Keilour Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 42–42 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 42 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +581 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 32 (1 people) Speed: 22.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 1:12:59 (7:18 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 43	Cathy Ladanowski CAN	+0 s +730 s	G0 / G31	1:29:24		Show details Prediction details: Cathy Ladanowski Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 43–43 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 43 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 24:17 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +730 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 31 (1 people) Speed: 24.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 1:29:24 (8:56 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 24:17 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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