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40-44 Open AG Sprint

13.06.2026 Tarragona ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Age-Group Championships Tarragona

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 64/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 65 früheren Rennen und 1015 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 10.5 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 12.04.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 5 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 18 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 28.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 52.0 % · 65 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.6
Mean swim error68.6 s
Mean bike-speed error2.47 km/h
Correct bike groups2/19
No history6
Within the 80% range16.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Przemyslaw Szymanowski
POL
+37 s
+19 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:21
17:40
 47:19
Show details
Prediction details: Przemyslaw Szymanowski

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:49
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 18.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 37.0 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:49 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:49 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Total: 47:19
2 / 2 Tomasz Dudziak
POL
+69 s
+93 s
G1 / G2
 18:39
18:11
 48:37
Show details
Prediction details: Tomasz Dudziak

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 11:21
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +93 s
Fehler: -24.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.0 s
Gap behind: 27.6 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:37
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:21 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:49 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Total: 48:37
3 / 21 Timothy Bagguley
GBR
+42 s
+0 s
G1 / G11
 19:58
21:08
 49:56
Show details
Prediction details: Timothy Bagguley

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:54
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 42.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 11.0 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 9.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:58 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:08 (4:14 / km)
Error: −1:10 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 49:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:54 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:49 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 19:58 (4:00 / km)
Total: 49:56
4 / 9 Geoffrey Vickevorst
BEL
+97 s
+99 s
G2 / G3
 20:19
20:38
 54:53
Show details
Prediction details: Geoffrey Vickevorst

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 10–11
Top-10 probability: 68 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +97 s
Time: 11:49
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +99 s
Fehler: -2.4 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 27.6 s
Gap behind: 15.5 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.66 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:38 (4:08 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 54:53
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:49 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:57 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Total: 54:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 38.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 10 Lode Bosmans
BEL
+152 s
+141 s
G3 / G5
 19:31
19:42
 55:10
Show details
Prediction details: Lode Bosmans

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 10–11
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +152 s
Time: 12:44
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +141 s
Fehler: 10.8 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 8.2 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:31 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:42 (3:56 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 55:10
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:44 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:36 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 19:31 (3:54 / km)
Total: 55:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 93.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 6 Chris Giles
GBR
+204 s
+90 s
G3 / G3
correct 		20:09
19:32
 55:48
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Giles

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 12–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +204 s
Time: 13:36
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +90 s
Fehler: 114.2 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.0 s
Gap behind: 15.2 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:09 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:32 (3:54 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 55:48
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 13:36 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:36 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 20:09 (4:02 / km)
Total: 55:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:16
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 140.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 12 Michael Bishop
GBR
+147 s
+154 s
G3 / G4
 20:23
21:05
 56:02
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Bishop

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 12–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +147 s
Time: 12:39
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +154 s
Fehler: -7.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 19.8 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:23 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:05 (4:13 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 56:02
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:39 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:36 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 20:23 (4:05 / km)
Total: 56:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 88.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 16 Yevgen Safronov
GBR
+163 s
+208 s
G3 / G9
 20:35
20:04
 56:14
Show details
Prediction details: Yevgen Safronov

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 13–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +163 s
Time: 12:55
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +208 s
Fehler: -44.9 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 30.1 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 56:14
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 12:55 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:36 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Total: 56:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 105.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 14 Michael Donnelly
GBR
+219 s
+214 s
G3 / G7
 21:11
19:53
 56:50
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Donnelly

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 15–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +219 s
Time: 13:51
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +214 s
Fehler: 5.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.2 s
Gap behind: 23.6 s
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:11 (4:14 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 56:50
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:51 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:36 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 21:11 (4:14 / km)
Total: 56:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 161.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 18 Ben Richardson
GBR
+112 s
+134 s
G3 / G7
 21:30
21:49
 57:09
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Richardson

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 15–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +112 s
Time: 12:04
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +134 s
Fehler: -21.9 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.5 s
Gap behind: 14.9 s
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:30 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:49 (4:22 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 57:09
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 12:04 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:36 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 21:30 (4:18 / km)
Total: 57:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 54.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 20 Matt King
GBR
+193 s
+214 s
G3 / G10
 21:36
21:56
 57:15
Show details
Prediction details: Matt King

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 16–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +193 s
Time: 13:25
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +214 s
Fehler: -20.8 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 30.1 s
Gap behind: 11.0 s
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:36 (4:19 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:56 (4:23 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 57:15
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:25 (1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:36 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 21:36 (4:19 / km)
Total: 57:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 135.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 19 Matthew Brewer
GBR
+149 s
+185 s
G3 / G7
 21:38
23:17
 57:17
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew Brewer

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 16–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +149 s
Time: 12:41
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +185 s
Fehler: -36.3 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:38 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:17 (4:39 / km)
Error: −1:39 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 57:17
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 12:41 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:36 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 21:38 (4:20 / km)
Total: 57:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 90.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 25 Onur Ünal
TUR
+866 s
+419 s
G4 / G15
 25:45
26:47
 1:14:52
Show details
Prediction details: Onur Ünal

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +866 s
Time: 24:38
Pace: 3:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +419 s
Fehler: 447.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 623.1 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 28.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:45 (5:09 / km)
Historical basis: 5:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.24 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:47 (5:21 / km)
Error: −1:02 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 1:14:52
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 24:38 (3:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:41 (34.6 km/h)
Run: 25:45 (5:09 / km)
Total: 1:14:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 808.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +57.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 3 Samy Laubscher
SUI
+0 s
+89 s
G0 / G3
17:54
Show details
Prediction details: Samy Laubscher

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +89 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Gianni Shipp
GBR
+0 s
+181 s
G1 / G4
18:53
Show details
Prediction details: Gianni Shipp

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +181 s
Fehler: -181.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:49 (41.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 5 Raf Houben
BEL
+160 s
+128 s
G3 / G4
18:41
Show details
Prediction details: Raf Houben

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +160 s
Time: 12:52
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +128 s
Fehler: 32.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.2 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:52 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:36 (37.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:26
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 86.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +73.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 7 Richard Kinnersley
GBR
+53 s
+105 s
G1 / G5
19:29
Show details
Prediction details: Richard Kinnersley

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 11:05
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +105 s
Fehler: -52.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.0 s
Gap behind: 16.0 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:29 (3:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:05 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:49 (41.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 8 Craig Walker
GBR
+127 s
+84 s
G3 / G5
19:35
Show details
Prediction details: Craig Walker

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +127 s
Time: 12:19
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +84 s
Fehler: 43.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.9 s
Gap behind: 19.8 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 12:19 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:36 (37.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:26
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 53.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +73.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 11 Ben Sherlock
GBR
+0 s
+205 s
G0 / G6
19:17
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Sherlock

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +205 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Dieter Berghmans
BEL
+0 s
+211 s
G0 / G7
19:23
Show details
Prediction details: Dieter Berghmans

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +211 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:23 (3:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Chris Phillips
GBR
+0 s
+193 s
G1 / G8
19:38
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Phillips

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +193 s
Fehler: -193.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 37.0 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:49 (41.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 17 Mark Sim
GBR
+0 s
+225 s
G0 / G10
19:07
Show details
Prediction details: Mark Sim

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +225 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Ian Usher
GBR
+0 s
+249 s
G0 / G12
20:37
Show details
Prediction details: Ian Usher

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +249 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:37 (4:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Eduard Pallisé Álvarez
AND
+0 s
+244 s
G0 / G14
20:30
Show details
Prediction details: Eduard Pallisé Álvarez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +244 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:30 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Lucas Hauser
AUT
+243 s
+250 s
G3 / G13
21:44
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Hauser

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +243 s
Time: 14:15
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +250 s
Fehler: -7.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 23.6 s
Gap behind: 623.1 s
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:44 (4:21 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 14:15 (1:54 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:36 (37.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:26
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 169.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +73.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.