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Prediction comparison

45-49 Open AG

18.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Aquathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 18.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 19/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 14 früheren Rennen und 113 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 7.1 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 17.4 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 73.9 % · 14 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error11.1
Mean swim error40.0 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history5
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Sergi Lasheras Rabionet
ESP
+5 s
+0 s
 Bike DNF 18:18
18:19
Show details
Prediction details: Sergi Lasheras Rabionet

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 13:36
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 27 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:36 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Pip Bennett
GBR
+0 s
+5 s
 Bike DNF 19:40
18:25
Show details
Prediction details: Pip Bennett

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:31
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: -5.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Error: +1:15 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:31 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Lionel Roye
FRA
+46 s
+66 s
 Bike DNF 18:06
18:10
Show details
Prediction details: Lionel Roye

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 14:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: -19.8 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -1.01 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:17 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Jordi Vidal Moncunill
ESP
+5 s
+8 s
 Bike DNF 19:04
19:55
Show details
Prediction details: Jordi Vidal Moncunill

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 13:36
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: -3.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:55 (3:59 / km)
Error: −0:51 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:36 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Raul Sanchez Olivares
ESP
+49 s
+66 s
 Bike DNF 19:03
19:38
Show details
Prediction details: Raul Sanchez Olivares

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 14:20
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: -16.8 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.73 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 14:20 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Graeme Tunstall
GBR
+194 s
+187 s
 Bike DNF 19:58
19:01
Show details
Prediction details: Graeme Tunstall

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +194 s
Time: 16:45
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +187 s
Fehler: 6.8 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:58 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 1.22 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:01 (3:48 / km)
Error: +0:57 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 16:45 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:58 (4:00 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Nigel Gaskin
GBR
+69 s
+84 s
 Bike DNF 20:12
21:31
Show details
Prediction details: Nigel Gaskin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 14:40
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +84 s
Fehler: -15.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:12 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:31 (4:18 / km)
Error: −1:19 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:40 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:12 (4:02 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Joan Alarcón Vila
ESP
+242 s
+303 s
 Bike DNF 35:32
18:17
Show details
Prediction details: Joan Alarcón Vila

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +242 s
Time: 17:33
Pace: 1:45 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +303 s
Fehler: -60.8 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 35:32 (7:06 / km)
Historical basis: 7:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Error: +17:15 / +3:27 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 17:33 (1:45 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 35:32 (7:06 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Eddie Lancaster
GBR
+0 s
+124 s
 Bike DNF
21:07
Show details
Prediction details: Eddie Lancaster

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:31
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +124 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:07 (4:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:31 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Gary Burman
GBR
+135 s
+198 s
 Bike DNF 20:17
20:46
Show details
Prediction details: Gary Burman

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +135 s
Time: 15:46
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +198 s
Fehler: -63.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:17 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:46 (4:09 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:46 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:17 (4:03 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Daniel Newman
GBR
+415 s
+233 s
 Bike DNF
20:16
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Newman

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +415 s
Time: 20:26
Pace: 2:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +233 s
Fehler: 182.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 20:26 (2:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Greig Farmer
GBR
+157 s
+213 s
 Bike DNF 21:12
20:46
Show details
Prediction details: Greig Farmer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +157 s
Time: 16:08
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +213 s
Fehler: -56.4 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 21:12 (4:14 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:46 (4:09 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 16:08 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 21:12 (4:14 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Jonatan Alcaraz Clua
ESP
+252 s
+247 s
 Bike DNF 19:56
20:22
Show details
Prediction details: Jonatan Alcaraz Clua

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +252 s
Time: 17:43
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +247 s
Fehler: 4.6 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:22 (4:04 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 17:43 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Chris Rowe
GBR
+0 s
+244 s
 Bike DNF
20:01
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Rowe

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:31
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +244 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:31 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Greg Stinson
GBR
+0 s
+358 s
 Bike DNF
18:52
Show details
Prediction details: Greg Stinson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:31
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +358 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:31 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Graham Steele
GBR
+212 s
+251 s
 Bike DNF 21:38
21:22
Show details
Prediction details: Graham Steele

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +212 s
Time: 17:03
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +251 s
Fehler: -38.7 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 21:38 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:22 (4:16 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 17:03 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 21:38 (4:20 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 David Vann
GBR
+0 s
+382 s
 Bike DNF
19:49
Show details
Prediction details: David Vann

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:31
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +382 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:31 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Konstantin Gayduk
GBR
+170 s
+229 s
 Bike DNF 21:07
22:59
Show details
Prediction details: Konstantin Gayduk

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +170 s
Time: 16:21
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +229 s
Fehler: -58.7 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 21:07 (4:13 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:59 (4:36 / km)
Error: −1:52 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 16:21 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 21:07 (4:13 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Guy Collender
GBR
+246 s
+351 s
 Bike DNF 20:50
21:24
Show details
Prediction details: Guy Collender

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +246 s
Time: 17:37
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +351 s
Fehler: -105.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:24 (4:17 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 17:37 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Ben Hieatt-Smith
GBR
+311 s
+372 s
 Bike DNF 21:52
22:41
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Hieatt-Smith

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +311 s
Time: 18:42
Pace: 1:52 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +372 s
Fehler: -61.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 21:52 (4:22 / km)
Historical basis: 4:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:23 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 1.91 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:41 (4:32 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:42 (1:52 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 21:52 (4:22 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Daniel Crow
GBR
+233 s
+239 s
 Bike DNF 47:07
24:42
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Crow

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +233 s
Time: 17:24
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +239 s
Fehler: -6.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 47:07 (9:25 / km)
Historical basis: 9:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 9:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:42 (4:56 / km)
Error: +22:25 / +4:29 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 17:24 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 47:07 (9:25 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Glen Duncan
GBR
+0 s
+462 s
 Bike DNF
23:01
Show details
Prediction details: Glen Duncan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:31
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +462 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:01 (4:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:31 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Cyrille Duchesne
FRA
+621 s
+609 s
 Bike DNF 26:02
22:08
Show details
Prediction details: Cyrille Duchesne

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +621 s
Time: 23:52
Pace: 2:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +609 s
Fehler: 11.8 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 26:02 (5:12 / km)
Historical basis: 5:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.22 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:08 (4:26 / km)
Error: +3:54 / +0:47 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 23:52 (2:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 26:02 (5:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.