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Prediction comparison

50-54 Female AG

18.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Aquathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 18.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 19/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 22 früheren Rennen und 122 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 5.9 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 18.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 5.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 42.1 % · 22 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error8.9
Mean swim error138.1 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history9
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Tanya Blake
GBR
+579 s
+120 s
 Bike DNF
21:03
Show details
Prediction details: Tanya Blake

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +579 s
Time: 25:47
Pace: 2:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +120 s
Fehler: 459.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:03 (4:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 25:47 (2:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Nuria Bruguera Roig
ESP
+93 s
+65 s
 Bike DNF 22:11
22:00
Show details
Prediction details: Nuria Bruguera Roig

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 17:41
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: 28.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 22:11 (4:26 / km)
Historical basis: 4:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:00 (4:24 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 17:41 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 22:11 (4:26 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Nicky Steel
GBR
+0 s
+146 s
 Bike DNF
20:37
Show details
Prediction details: Nicky Steel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 16:08
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +146 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:37 (4:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 16:08 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Katie Belkin
GBR
+174 s
+71 s
 Bike DNF 21:50
22:19
Show details
Prediction details: Katie Belkin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +174 s
Time: 19:02
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: 102.7 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 21:50 (4:22 / km)
Historical basis: 4:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:22 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 1.96 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:19 (4:28 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 19:02 (1:54 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 21:50 (4:22 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Jacqueline King
GBR
+23 s
+0 s
 Bike DNF 24:29
24:05
Show details
Prediction details: Jacqueline King

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 16:31
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 23.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 24:29 (4:54 / km)
Historical basis: 4:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:05 (4:49 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 16:31 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 24:29 (4:54 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Louise Croxson
GBR
+1 s
+0 s
 Bike DNF 22:51
24:21
Show details
Prediction details: Louise Croxson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1 s
Time: 16:09
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 22:51 (4:34 / km)
Historical basis: 4:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:21 (4:52 / km)
Error: −1:30 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 16:09 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 22:51 (4:34 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Bek Johnson
GBR
+0 s
+84 s
 Bike DNF
23:15
Show details
Prediction details: Bek Johnson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 16:08
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +84 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:15 (4:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 16:08 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Katie Davis
GBR
+0 s
+7 s
 Bike DNF
25:03
Show details
Prediction details: Katie Davis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 16:08
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:03 (5:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 16:08 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Sarah Taylor
GBR
+0 s
+95 s
 Bike DNF
24:36
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Taylor

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 16:08
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +95 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:36 (4:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 16:08 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Susan Tait
GBR
+0 s
+184 s
 Bike DNF
23:32
Show details
Prediction details: Susan Tait

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 16:08
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +184 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:32 (4:42 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 16:08 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Tara Farrell
IRL
+0 s
+185 s
 Bike DNF
23:27
Show details
Prediction details: Tara Farrell

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 16:08
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +185 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:27 (4:41 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 16:08 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Tracy MacInnes
GBR
+69 s
+41 s
 Bike DNF 23:36
25:17
Show details
Prediction details: Tracy MacInnes

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 17:17
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 28.3 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 23:36 (4:43 / km)
Historical basis: 4:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:17 (5:03 / km)
Error: −1:41 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 17:17 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 23:36 (4:43 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Annalie Ibison
GBR
+200 s
+212 s
 Bike DNF 46:22
26:06
Show details
Prediction details: Annalie Ibison

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +200 s
Time: 19:28
Pace: 1:57 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +212 s
Fehler: -11.6 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 46:22 (9:16 / km)
Historical basis: 9:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:06 (5:13 / km)
Error: +20:16 / +4:03 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 19:28 (1:57 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 46:22 (9:16 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Dionne Elsey
GBR
+378 s
+238 s
 Bike DNF 28:17
25:52
Show details
Prediction details: Dionne Elsey

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +378 s
Time: 22:26
Pace: 2:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +238 s
Fehler: 139.7 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 28:17 (5:39 / km)
Historical basis: 5:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:52 (5:10 / km)
Error: +2:25 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 22:26 (2:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 28:17 (5:39 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Helen Fletcher
GBR
+0 s
+450 s
 Bike DNF 45:59
23:02
Show details
Prediction details: Helen Fletcher

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 16:08
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +450 s
Fehler: -450.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 45:59 (9:12 / km)
Historical basis: 9:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 9:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:02 (4:36 / km)
Error: +22:57 / +4:35 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 16:08 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 45:59 (9:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Nicola Cotton
GBR
+0 s
+160 s
 Bike DNF
28:06
Show details
Prediction details: Nicola Cotton

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 16:08
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +160 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:06 (5:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 16:08 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Silvia Garcia Xifré
ESP
+453 s
+316 s
 Bike DNF 27:20
30:27
Show details
Prediction details: Silvia Garcia Xifré

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +453 s
Time: 23:41
Pace: 2:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +316 s
Fehler: 137.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.40 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 27:20 (5:28 / km)
Historical basis: 5:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.15 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:27 (6:05 / km)
Error: −3:07 / −0:37 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 23:41 (2:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 27:20 (5:28 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Colette Finneran
IRL
+0 s
+504 s
 Bike DNF
30:34
Show details
Prediction details: Colette Finneran

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 16:08
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +504 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:34 (6:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 16:08 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Sara Williams
GBR
+0 s
+742 s
 Bike DNF
32:08
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Williams

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 16:08
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +742 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:08 (6:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 16:08 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.