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Prediction comparison

55-59 Female AG

16.07.2026 ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Duathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 18/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 11 früheren Rennen und 66 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 0.0 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 20.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 60.0 % · 11 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.5
Mean bike-speed error15.19 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history1
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Karen Ballantine
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G1
31:42
Show details
Prediction details: Karen Ballantine

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 17.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:42 (9:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Angela Joiner-Handy
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G2
 57:10
30:12
Show details
Prediction details: Angela Joiner-Handy

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 16.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -16.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 57:10 (8:40 / km)
Historical basis: 8:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:12 (9:26 / km)
Error: +26:58 / −0:47 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 57:10 (8:40 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Louella Yorke
GBR
+36 s
G0 / G3
 32:49
33:08
Show details
Prediction details: Louella Yorke

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time:
Pace: 2:01 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 16.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -16.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:49 (4:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:08 (10:21 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −5:23 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 32:49 (4:58 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Annette Werle
FRA
+254 s
G0 / G4
 37:36
35:05
Show details
Prediction details: Annette Werle

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +254 s
Time:
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 16.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -16.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:36 (5:42 / km)
Historical basis: 5:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 1.02 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:05 (10:58 / km)
Error: +2:31 / −5:16 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 37:36 (5:42 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Karen Carless
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G5
38:37
Show details
Prediction details: Karen Carless

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 11.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -11.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:37 (12:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.