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70-74 Open AG

16.07.2026 ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Duathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 18/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 14 früheren Rennen und 113 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 7.1 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 14.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 57.1 % · 14 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.0
Mean bike-speed error15.41 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Stefano Piolanti
ITA
+160 s
G0 / G1
 34:55
31:27
Show details
Prediction details: Stefano Piolanti

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +160 s
Time:
Pace: 2:23 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 17.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -17.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:55 (5:17 / km)
Historical basis: 5:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.98 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:27 (9:50 / km)
Error: +3:28 / −4:32 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 34:55 (5:17 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Miguel Angel Martinez Alfonso
ESP
+0 s
G0 / G1
 56:21
30:56
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Angel Martinez Alfonso

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 17.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -17.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 56:21 (8:32 / km)
Historical basis: 8:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:56 (9:40 / km)
Error: +25:25 / −1:08 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 56:21 (8:32 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Mariano Mendez Cabras
ESP
+523 s
G0 / G2
 40:41
30:56
Show details
Prediction details: Mariano Mendez Cabras

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +523 s
Time:
Pace: 2:46 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 16.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -16.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 40:41 (6:10 / km)
Historical basis: 6:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:56 (9:40 / km)
Error: +9:45 / −3:30 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 40:41 (6:10 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Rainer Kaupp
GER
+22 s
G0 / G3
 38:32
38:25
Show details
Prediction details: Rainer Kaupp

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time:
Pace: 2:09 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 16.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -16.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:32 (5:50 / km)
Historical basis: 5:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:25 (12:00 / km)
Error: +0:07 / −6:10 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 38:32 (5:50 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 William Reed
GBR
+1,346 s
G0 / G4
 1:02:49
33:54
Show details
Prediction details: William Reed

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1,346 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 13.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -13.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:02:49 (9:31 / km)
Historical basis: 9:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 9:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:54 (10:36 / km)
Error: +28:55 / −1:05 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 1:02:49 (9:31 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Richard Hardy
GBR
+1,698 s
G0 / G5
 52:43
41:50
Show details
Prediction details: Richard Hardy

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1,698 s
Time:
Pace: 4:57 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 14.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -14.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 52:43 (7:59 / km)
Historical basis: 7:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.49 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 41:50 (13:04 / km)
Error: +10:53 / −5:05 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 52:43 (7:59 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Andrew Davies
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G6
39:57
Show details
Prediction details: Andrew Davies

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 12.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -12.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:57 (12:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.