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50-54 Open AG

14.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Triathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 57/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 27 früheren Rennen und 257 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 10.5 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 33.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 61.1 % · 27 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.7
Mean swim error92.8 s
Mean bike-speed error9.65 km/h
Correct bike groups1/15
No history3
Within the 80% range0.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 5 Steven Carragher
GBR
+104 s
+47 s
G1 / G9
 23:56
25:32
 54:21
Show details
Prediction details: Steven Carragher

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +104 s
Time: 15:57
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 57.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 63.0 s
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 19.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 20.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:56 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:32 (3:52 / km)
Error: −1:36 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 54:21
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:57 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 23:56 (3:38 / km)
Total: 54:21
2 / 2 Albert Torres Carles
ESP
+85 s
+23 s
G1 / G2
 28:45
26:12
 59:10
Show details
Prediction details: Albert Torres Carles

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 15:38
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 61.5 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 21 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 50.5 s
Gap behind: 16.2 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 22.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 17.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:45 (4:21 / km)
Historical basis: 4:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:12 (3:58 / km)
Error: +2:33 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 59:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:38 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 28:45 (4:21 / km)
Total: 59:10
3 / 15 Ralph Van Dijk
NED
+101 s
+111 s
G1 / G5
 36:01
38:20
 1:06:26
Show details
Prediction details: Ralph Van Dijk

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 5–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +101 s
Time: 15:54
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +111 s
Fehler: -10.3 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 2.12 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.2 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 20.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 18.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:01 (5:27 / km)
Historical basis: 5:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:20 (5:48 / km)
Error: −2:19 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 1:06:26
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:54 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 36:01 (5:27 / km)
Total: 1:06:26
4 / 11 Jaime Catala Sanchez
ESP
+34 s
+0 s
G1 / G8
 37:01
31:58
 1:07:26
Show details
Prediction details: Jaime Catala Sanchez

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 14:47
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 34.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.59 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 34.0 s
Gap behind: 50.5 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 19.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 20.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:01 (5:37 / km)
Historical basis: 5:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:58 (4:51 / km)
Error: +5:03 / +0:46 / km
Overall prediction: 1:07:26
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:47 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 37:01 (5:37 / km)
Total: 1:07:26
5 / 1 Nicolas Durin
FRA
+167 s
+46 s
G2 / G1
 26:43
25:11
 1:15:51
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Durin

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +167 s
Time: 17:00
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 121.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 63.0 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 24.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:43 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:11 (3:49 / km)
Error: +1:32 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 1:15:51
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 17:00 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 44:28 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 26:43 (4:03 / km)
Total: 1:15:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 16:00
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 60.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +106.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 6 Alberto Jimenez Hernandez
ESP
+241 s
+243 s
G2 / G9
 30:04
27:26
 1:19:12
Show details
Prediction details: Alberto Jimenez Hernandez

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +241 s
Time: 18:14
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +243 s
Fehler: -2.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.7 s
Gap behind: 39.0 s
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 20.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 30:04 (4:33 / km)
Historical basis: 4:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:26 (4:09 / km)
Error: +2:38 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 1:19:12
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 18:14 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 44:28 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 30:04 (4:33 / km)
Total: 1:19:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 16:40
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 94.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +146.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 4 Themi Petridis
GBR
+209 s
+164 s
G2 / G4
 32:10
26:55
 1:21:18
Show details
Prediction details: Themi Petridis

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +209 s
Time: 17:42
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +164 s
Fehler: 44.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 35.5 s
Gap behind: 24.3 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 21.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:10 (4:52 / km)
Historical basis: 4:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:55 (4:05 / km)
Error: +5:15 / +0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 1:21:18
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 17:42 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 44:28 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 32:10 (4:52 / km)
Total: 1:21:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 16:40
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 62.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +146.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 14 Simon Sly
GBR
+233 s
+220 s
G2 / G12
 33:31
29:57
 1:22:39
Show details
Prediction details: Simon Sly

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +233 s
Time: 18:06
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +220 s
Fehler: 12.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 24.3 s
Gap behind: 7.7 s
Result: Group 12 (2 people)
Speed: 18.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:31 (5:05 / km)
Historical basis: 5:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:57 (4:32 / km)
Error: +3:34 / +0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 1:22:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:06 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 44:28 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 33:31 (5:05 / km)
Total: 1:22:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 16:00
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 125.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +106.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 13 Mike Wheeler
GBR
+0 s
+410 s
G1 / G12
 55:12
30:08
 1:25:37
Show details
Prediction details: Mike Wheeler

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 11–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:13
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +410 s
Fehler: -410.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 34.0 s
Result: Group 12 (2 people)
Speed: 19.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 19.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 55:12 (8:22 / km)
Historical basis: 8:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:08 (4:34 / km)
Error: +25:04 / +3:48 / km
Overall prediction: 1:25:37
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:13 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 55:12 (8:22 / km)
Total: 1:25:37
10 / 9 Jonathan Heasman
GBR
+326 s
+277 s
G3 / G6
 34:02
31:20
 1:25:52
Show details
Prediction details: Jonathan Heasman

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 11–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +326 s
Time: 19:39
Pace: 1:58 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +277 s
Fehler: 49.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 46.5 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 21.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:02 (5:09 / km)
Historical basis: 5:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:20 (4:45 / km)
Error: +2:42 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 1:25:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:39 (1:58 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 43:47 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 34:02 (5:09 / km)
Total: 1:25:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 15:40
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
About 238.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +87.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 12 Vincent Biot
FRA
+403 s
+297 s
G3 / G11
 34:52
30:43
 1:26:42
Show details
Prediction details: Vincent Biot

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +403 s
Time: 20:56
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +297 s
Fehler: 105.8 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 69.8 s
Gap behind: 79.9 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 19.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:52 (5:17 / km)
Historical basis: 5:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:43 (4:39 / km)
Error: +4:09 / +0:38 / km
Overall prediction: 1:26:42
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 20:56 (2:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 43:47 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 34:52 (5:17 / km)
Total: 1:26:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 16:39
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 256.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +146.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 18 Kevin Morice
GBR
+280 s
+201 s
G2 / G15
 39:08
33:44
 1:28:16
Show details
Prediction details: Kevin Morice

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +280 s
Time: 18:53
Pace: 1:53 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +201 s
Fehler: 78.5 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 39.0 s
Gap behind: 46.5 s
Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 17.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 39:08 (5:56 / km)
Historical basis: 6:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.52 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:44 (5:07 / km)
Error: +5:24 / +0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 1:28:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:53 (1:53 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 44:28 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 39:08 (5:56 / km)
Total: 1:28:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 16:40
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 133.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +146.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 17 Robert Flack
GBR
+483 s
+342 s
G3 / G14
 37:27
33:08
 1:29:17
Show details
Prediction details: Robert Flack

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +483 s
Time: 22:16
Pace: 2:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +342 s
Fehler: 140.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.74 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 79.9 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 18.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:27 (5:40 / km)
Historical basis: 5:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:08 (5:01 / km)
Error: +4:19 / +0:39 / km
Overall prediction: 1:29:17
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 22:16 (2:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 43:47 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 37:27 (5:40 / km)
Total: 1:29:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 16:00
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 375.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +106.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 3 Rorik Schouten
NED
+333 s
+130 s
G3 / G3
correct
28:16
Show details
Prediction details: Rorik Schouten

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +333 s
Time: 19:46
Pace: 1:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +130 s
Fehler: 203.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 69.8 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 21.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:16 (4:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 19:46 (1:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 43:47 (25.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 16:39
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 186.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +146.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 7 Calum Thomas
GBR
+0 s
+218 s
G0 / G6
28:53
Show details
Prediction details: Calum Thomas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:13
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +218 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 20.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:53 (4:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:13 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 José María Jiménez Gutiérrez
ESP
+0 s
+112 s
G0 / G10
29:22
Show details
Prediction details: José María Jiménez Gutiérrez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:13
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +112 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 19.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:22 (4:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:13 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Niki Devoldere
BEL
+0 s
+287 s
G0 / G7
31:51
Show details
Prediction details: Niki Devoldere

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:13
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +287 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 21.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:51 (4:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:13 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Luis Alberto Rodriguez Castillejo
ESP
+173 s
+235 s
G2 / G13
30:28
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Alberto Rodriguez Castillejo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +173 s
Time: 17:06
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +235 s
Fehler: -62.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 35.5 s
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 18.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:28 (4:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 17:06 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 44:28 (25.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 16:39
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 26.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +146.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.