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75-79 Open AG

14.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Triathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 65/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 27 früheren Rennen und 257 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 10.5 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 50.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 27 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error0.0
Mean swim error135.2 s
Mean bike-speed error16.13 km/h
Correct bike groups2/2
No history0
Within the 80% range100.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Peter Grünebach
GER
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		37:42
40:51
 1:15:27
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Grünebach

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:57
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 29.9 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 878.3 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 14.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 15.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:42 (5:43 / km)
Historical basis: 5:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:51 (6:11 / km)
Error: −3:09 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 1:15:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:57 (1:54 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:45 (29.9 km/h)
Run: 37:42 (5:43 / km)
Total: 1:15:27
2 / 2 Mick Anglim
GBR
+878 s
+608 s
G2 / G2
correct 		50:34
45:02
 1:43:02
Show details
Prediction details: Mick Anglim

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +878 s
Time: 33:35
Pace: 3:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +608 s
Fehler: 270.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 29.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 878.3 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 13.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 16.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 50:34 (7:40 / km)
Historical basis: 7:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 45:02 (6:49 / km)
Error: +5:32 / +0:50 / km
Overall prediction: 1:43:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 33:35 (3:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:50 (29.8 km/h)
Run: 50:34 (7:40 / km)
Total: 1:43:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:00
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
About 875.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.