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Prediction comparison

60-64 Female AG Sprint

11.07.2026 ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Duathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 11.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 36/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 26 früheren Rennen und 463 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 49.6 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 11.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 33.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 50.0 % · 26 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.0
Mean bike-speed error31.42 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history2
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Sylvie Parmantier
FRA
+0 s
G0 / G1
 21:53
21:54
Show details
Prediction details: Sylvie Parmantier

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -35.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:53 (4:23 / km)
Historical basis: 4:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:54 (8:46 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −4:23 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 21:53 (4:23 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Jayne Baldwin
GBR
+53 s
G0 / G2
 21:18
21:58
Show details
Prediction details: Jayne Baldwin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time:
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -31.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:58 (8:47 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −4:32 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Sarah Gill
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G2
 43:14
23:58
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Gill

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -33.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 43:14 (8:39 / km)
Historical basis: 8:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:58 (9:35 / km)
Error: +19:16 / −0:56 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 43:14 (8:39 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Jess Mcmorris
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G2
24:36
Show details
Prediction details: Jess Mcmorris

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -33.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:36 (9:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Janine Pickard
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G4
24:26
Show details
Prediction details: Janine Pickard

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 30.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -30.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:26 (9:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Sarah Myford
GBR
+237 s
G0 / G5
 23:15
26:51
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Myford

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +237 s
Time:
Pace: 2:24 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -32.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:15 (4:39 / km)
Historical basis: 4:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:51 (10:44 / km)
Error: −3:36 / −6:05 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 23:15 (4:39 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Karen Harlow-Griffiths
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G3
24:19
Show details
Prediction details: Karen Harlow-Griffiths

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:19 (9:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Carol Francis
GBR
+131 s
G0 / G5
 25:00
24:11
Show details
Prediction details: Carol Francis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +131 s
Time:
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 29.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -29.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:00 (5:00 / km)
Historical basis: 5:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:11 (9:40 / km)
Error: +0:49 / −4:40 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 25:00 (5:00 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Elizabeth Halliday
GBR
+311 s
G0 / G6
 24:36
26:41
Show details
Prediction details: Elizabeth Halliday

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +311 s
Time:
Pace: 2:09 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 31.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -30.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:36 (4:55 / km)
Historical basis: 4:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.38 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:41 (10:40 / km)
Error: −2:05 / −5:45 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 24:36 (4:55 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Clare Grindrod
GBR
+340 s
G0 / G7
 26:46
26:19
Show details
Prediction details: Clare Grindrod

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +340 s
Time:
Pace: 2:23 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 1.27 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 29.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -29.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:46 (5:21 / km)
Historical basis: 5:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.96 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:19 (10:32 / km)
Error: +0:27 / −5:10 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 26:46 (5:21 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Tracey Wilkinson
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G8
27:14
Show details
Prediction details: Tracey Wilkinson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 29.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:14 (10:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Itziar Belasko Saiz
ESP
+0 s
G0 / G9
26:32
Show details
Prediction details: Itziar Belasko Saiz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 26.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -26.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:32 (10:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.