Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

70-74 Open AG Sprint

11.07.2026 ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Duathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 11.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 27/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 14 früheren Rennen und 229 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 12.9 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 5 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 33.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 25.0 % · 14 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.0
Mean bike-speed error32.43 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history3
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Gaffard Alain
FRA
+0 s
G0 / G3
23:09
Show details
Prediction details: Gaffard Alain

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:09 (9:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Roman Hernandez Sierra
ESP
+0 s
G0 / G3
23:05
Show details
Prediction details: Roman Hernandez Sierra

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -36.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:05 (9:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Mariano Mendez Cabras
ESP
+523 s
G0 / G4
 45:14
22:45
Show details
Prediction details: Mariano Mendez Cabras

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +523 s
Time:
Pace: 2:46 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -33.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 45:14 (9:03 / km)
Historical basis: 9:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 9:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:45 (9:06 / km)
Error: +22:29 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 45:14 (9:03 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Jean Claude Senelle
FRA
+0 s
G0 / G4
23:07
Show details
Prediction details: Jean Claude Senelle

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:07 (9:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Wiesław Rychter
POL
+0 s
G0 / G5
 48:24
25:27
Show details
Prediction details: Wiesław Rychter

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -34.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 48:24 (9:41 / km)
Historical basis: 9:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 9:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:27 (10:11 / km)
Error: +22:57 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 48:24 (9:41 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Robert Holloway
GBR
+240 s
G0 / G6
 25:58
25:04
Show details
Prediction details: Robert Holloway

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +240 s
Time:
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 31.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -31.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:58 (5:12 / km)
Historical basis: 5:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:04 (10:02 / km)
Error: +0:54 / −4:50 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 25:58 (5:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 William Reed
GBR
+1,346 s
G0 / G7
 46:48
25:06
Show details
Prediction details: William Reed

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1,346 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -30.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 46:48 (9:22 / km)
Historical basis: 9:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 9:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:06 (10:02 / km)
Error: +21:42 / −0:41 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 46:48 (9:22 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Roger Burrows
GBR
+375 s
G0 / G2
 26:00
25:54
Show details
Prediction details: Roger Burrows

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +375 s
Time:
Pace: 2:23 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:00 (5:12 / km)
Historical basis: 5:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:54 (10:22 / km)
Error: +0:06 / −5:10 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 26:00 (5:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Richard Hardy
GBR
+970 s
G0 / G7
 41:54
27:31
Show details
Prediction details: Richard Hardy

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +970 s
Time:
Pace: 3:50 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -32.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 41:54 (8:23 / km)
Historical basis: 8:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:31 (11:00 / km)
Error: +14:23 / −2:38 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 41:54 (8:23 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Andrew Davies
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G8
28:34
Show details
Prediction details: Andrew Davies

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 28.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:34 (11:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Edward Robertson
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G8
29:39
Show details
Prediction details: Edward Robertson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 29.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -28.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:39 (11:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Adrian Dunbar
GBR
+247 s
G0 / G8
 32:43
32:50
Show details
Prediction details: Adrian Dunbar

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +247 s
Time:
Pace: 2:27 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -31.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:43 (6:33 / km)
Historical basis: 6:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:50 (13:08 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −6:35 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 32:43 (6:33 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.