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Predicition
Prediction comparison

Elite Men

11.07.2026 ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Duathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 11.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 43/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 35 früheren Rennen und 809 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 47.7 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 05.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 33.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 69.7 % · 35 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error17.0
Mean bike-speed error42.83 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history2
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Arnaud Dely
BEL
+0 s
G0 / G2
28:29
14:44
Show details
Prediction details: Arnaud Dely

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -45.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:29 (5:42 / km)
Historical basis: 5:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:44 (5:54 / km)
Error: +13:45 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 28:29 (5:42 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Emile Blondel Hermant
FRA
+156 s
G0 / G2
29:12
14:45
Show details
Prediction details: Emile Blondel Hermant

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +156 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 45.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -45.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:12 (5:50 / km)
Historical basis: 5:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:45 (5:54 / km)
Error: +14:27 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 29:12 (5:50 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Adrien Pilleux
FRA
+0 s
G0 / G2
14:45
Show details
Prediction details: Adrien Pilleux

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:45 (5:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Thibaut De Smet
BEL
+0 s
G0 / G2
29:12
15:07
Show details
Prediction details: Thibaut De Smet

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 46.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -46.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:12 (5:50 / km)
Historical basis: 5:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -1.36 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:07 (6:03 / km)
Error: +14:05 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 29:12 (5:50 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Benjamin Choquert
FRA
+0 s
G0 / G4
28:49
14:44
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Choquert

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:49 (5:46 / km)
Historical basis: 5:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.96 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:44 (5:54 / km)
Error: +14:05 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 28:49 (5:46 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Jarno Pousada Troitiño
ESP
+21 s
G0 / G4
16:11
14:45
Show details
Prediction details: Jarno Pousada Troitiño

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time:
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 21 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -2.00 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:45 (5:54 / km)
Error: +1:26 / −2:40 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Léo Starck
FRA
+0 s
G0 / G4
14:45
Show details
Prediction details: Léo Starck

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:45 (5:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Vincent Bierinckx
BEL
+0 s
G0 / G4
29:11
14:44
Show details
Prediction details: Vincent Bierinckx

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:11 (5:50 / km)
Historical basis: 5:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:44 (5:54 / km)
Error: +14:27 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 29:11 (5:50 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Andres Hilario Morales
ESP
+25 s
G0 / G4
15:24
14:44
Show details
Prediction details: Andres Hilario Morales

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:44 (5:54 / km)
Error: +0:40 / −2:49 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Roc Bellostas Carreras
ESP
+0 s
G0 / G4
14:44
Show details
Prediction details: Roc Bellostas Carreras

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:44 (5:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Paco Martí Ballester
ESP
+39 s
G0 / G4
14:13
14:46
Show details
Prediction details: Paco Martí Ballester

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time:
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 1.13 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:13 (2:51 / km)
Historical basis: 2:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 2.41 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:46 (5:54 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −3:04 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 14:13 (2:51 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Joanes Goitisolo Otazua
ESP
+0 s
G0 / G3
14:46
Show details
Prediction details: Joanes Goitisolo Otazua

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -44.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:46 (5:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Charlie Harding
GBR
+14 s
G0 / G4
16:07
15:06
Show details
Prediction details: Charlie Harding

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time:
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -44.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:06 (6:02 / km)
Error: +1:01 / −2:49 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Oliver Hitchcock
GBR
+106 s
G0 / G4
15:34
14:55
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Hitchcock

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +106 s
Time:
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -44.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:55 (5:58 / km)
Error: +0:39 / −2:51 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Asger Jorn Vaes
BEL
+0 s
G0 / G4
29:12
14:54
Show details
Prediction details: Asger Jorn Vaes

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -44.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:12 (5:50 / km)
Historical basis: 5:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:54 (5:58 / km)
Error: +14:18 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 29:12 (5:50 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Valere Hustin
BEL
+102 s
G0 / G4
15:06
Show details
Prediction details: Valere Hustin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +102 s
Time:
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -44.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:06 (6:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Lukas Lanzinger
ITA
+37 s
G0 / G4
14:38
14:47
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Lanzinger

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time:
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.04 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:38 (2:56 / km)
Historical basis: 2:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.90 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:47 (5:55 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −2:59 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 14:38 (2:56 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Sebastian Fuchs
AUT
+0 s
G0 / G4
14:55
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastian Fuchs

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -44.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:55 (5:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Stef Corthouts
BEL
+39 s
G0 / G4
29:16
15:07
Show details
Prediction details: Stef Corthouts

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time:
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -44.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:16 (5:51 / km)
Historical basis: 5:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:07 (6:03 / km)
Error: +14:09 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 29:16 (5:51 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Javier Martin Morales
ESP
+47 s
G0 / G4
29:00
14:44
Show details
Prediction details: Javier Martin Morales

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (15 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -43.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:00 (5:48 / km)
Historical basis: 5:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:44 (5:54 / km)
Error: +14:16 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 29:00 (5:48 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Martin Oldenhove
BEL
+134 s
G0 / G5
29:15
15:24
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Oldenhove

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +134 s
Time:
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -42.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:15 (5:51 / km)
Historical basis: 5:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:24 (6:10 / km)
Error: +13:51 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 29:15 (5:51 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Joshua Weston
GBR
+140 s
G0 / G5
17:13
15:08
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Weston

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +140 s
Time:
Pace: 1:53 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -42.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.10 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:08 (6:03 / km)
Error: +2:05 / −2:37 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Simon Schryvers
BEL
+71 s
G0 / G5
15:07
Show details
Prediction details: Simon Schryvers

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time:
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -42.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:07 (6:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Krzysztof Hadas
POL
+126 s
G0 / G6
15:06
Show details
Prediction details: Krzysztof Hadas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +126 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:06 (6:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Koen Van Dijk
NED
+0 s
G0 / G6
32:41
15:24
Show details
Prediction details: Koen Van Dijk

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:41 (6:32 / km)
Historical basis: 6:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:24 (6:10 / km)
Error: +17:17 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 32:41 (6:32 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26 Marco Versluis
NED
+0 s
G0 / G6
15:58
15:25
Show details
Prediction details: Marco Versluis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -41.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 (6:10 / km)
Error: +0:33 / −2:58 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 James Lonsdale
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G7
15:24
Show details
Prediction details: James Lonsdale

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -40.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:24 (6:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 James Hodgson
GBR
+51 s
G0 / G8
31:10
16:08
Show details
Prediction details: James Hodgson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time:
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -39.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:10 (6:14 / km)
Historical basis: 6:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:08 (6:27 / km)
Error: +15:02 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 31:10 (6:14 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 29 Albion Ymeri
KOS
+265 s
G0 / G7
30:51
15:23
Show details
Prediction details: Albion Ymeri

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +265 s
Time:
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -40.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 30:51 (6:10 / km)
Historical basis: 6:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.81 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:23 (6:09 / km)
Error: +15:28 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 30:51 (6:10 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30 Yanis Van Waetermeulen
BEL
+115 s
G0 / G8
31:04
15:39
Show details
Prediction details: Yanis Van Waetermeulen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +115 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -39.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:04 (6:13 / km)
Historical basis: 6:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:39 (6:16 / km)
Error: +15:25 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 31:04 (6:13 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 31 David Rodríguez Girón
MEX
+174 s
G0 / G9
18:30
16:36
Show details
Prediction details: David Rodríguez Girón

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +174 s
Time:
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -36.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.09 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 (6:38 / km)
Error: +1:54 / −2:56 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 32 Hugo Alarcon
ESA
+0 s
G0 / G9
16:09
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Alarcon

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:09 (6:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 33 Genc Isufi
KOS
+112 s
G0 / G10
19:10
17:18
Show details
Prediction details: Genc Isufi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +112 s
Time:
Pace: 2:03 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -35.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:10 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (6:55 / km)
Error: +1:52 / −3:05 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 19:10 (3:50 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.