Prediction comparison
Elite Women
23.06.2024
Rotterdam
NED
Race information and calculation basis
2024 NED Sprint Triathlon National Championships
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 23.06.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Prediction model used
Modell v14
Default values
Prediction quality
26/100
sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality
Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.
Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s
Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s
Gruppeneffekt 0.65
Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h
Datenabdeckung 12.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 22.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen
Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error15.6
Mean swim error48.8 s
Mean bike-speed error4.47 km/h
Correct bike groups2/26
No history24
Within the 80% range6.0 %
| Place Prediction / result |
Athlete | Swimming Prediction / result |
Bike group Prediction / result |
Run Prediction / result |
Overall prediction | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 / 3 |
NED
|
+29 s
+43 s
|
G3 / G2
|
18:30
17:50
|
52:44 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 1
80% range: 15–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 10:36
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -14.1 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.01 %,
Sicherheit 15 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Gap ahead:
4.9 s
Gap behind:
7.8 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.05 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.05 %,
Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 52:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:36
(1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
33:45
(37.3 km/h)
Run:
18:30
(3:42 / km)
Total:
52:44
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 25 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 2 / 5 |
NED
|
+24 s
+0 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
20:06
18:30
|
54:02 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 2
80% range: 16–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 10:31
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 24.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
6 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.05 %,
Sicherheit 18 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
24.0 s
Gap behind:
4.9 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.05 km/h
Running and totalRun: 20:06 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
6 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.22 %,
Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Error: +1:36 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 54:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:31
(1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
33:32
(37.6 km/h)
Run:
20:06
(4:01 / km)
Total:
54:02
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 20.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 3 / 9 |
NED
|
+37 s
+46 s
|
G4 / G3
|
18:32
18:50
|
54:21 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 3
80% range: 15–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -9.1 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.07 %,
Sicherheit 23 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.2 s
Gap behind:
0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.33 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.08 %,
Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 54:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:44
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:06
(35.9 km/h)
Run:
18:32
(3:42 / km)
Total:
54:21
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 33 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 4 / 11 |
NED
|
+43 s
+79 s
|
G4 / G3
|
18:37
19:15
|
54:26 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 4
80% range: 15–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 10:50
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: -36.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.29 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Gap ahead:
2.3 s
Gap behind:
4.8 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.87 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.58 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:38 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 54:26
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:50
(1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:06
(35.9 km/h)
Run:
18:37
(3:43 / km)
Total:
54:26
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 23.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 5 / 2 |
NED
|
+37 s
+46 s
|
G4 / G2
|
18:59
17:57
|
54:48 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 5
80% range: 15–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -9.3 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.16 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Gap ahead:
7.8 s
Gap behind:
0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.60 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.77 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Error: +1:02 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 54:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:44
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:06
(35.9 km/h)
Run:
18:59
(3:48 / km)
Total:
54:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
| 6 / 24 |
NED
|
+41 s
+70 s
|
G4 / G3
|
19:33
21:34
|
55:22 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 6
80% range: 17–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -18
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: -29.3 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.35 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.5 s
Gap behind:
2.3 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.83 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.10 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:34 (4:19 / km)
Error: −2:01 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 55:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:48
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:06
(35.9 km/h)
Run:
19:33
(3:55 / km)
Total:
55:22
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 36.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 7 / 4 |
NED
|
+39 s
+45 s
|
G4 / G2
|
19:45
18:14
|
55:34 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 7
80% range: 15–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -5.8 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.55 %,
Sicherheit 2 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.2 s
Gap behind:
1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.37 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur -2.18 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Error: +1:31 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 55:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:46
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:06
(35.9 km/h)
Run:
19:45
(3:57 / km)
Total:
55:34
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 35.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 8 / 1 |
NED
|
+37 s
+26 s
|
G4 / G1
|
19:50
18:53
|
55:39 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 8
80% range: 17–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 11.4 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.04 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.5 s
Gap behind:
1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.83 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:50 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.10 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:57 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 55:39
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
10:44
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:06
(35.9 km/h)
Run:
19:50
(3:58 / km)
Total:
55:39
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 17.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 9 / 10 |
NED
|
+104 s
+91 s
|
G5 / G3
|
18:53
19:02
|
1:02:27 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 9
80% range: 20–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +104 s
Time: 11:51
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +91 s
Fehler: 13.3 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.62 %,
Sicherheit 2 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
7.3 s
Gap behind:
2.7 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.58 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.08 %,
Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:27
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:51
(1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
18:53
(3:47 / km)
Total:
1:02:27
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 84.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 10 / 13 |
NED
|
+48 s
+59 s
|
G5 / G3
|
20:55
19:17
|
1:04:29 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 10
80% range: 22–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:55
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -11.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.10 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
4.8 s
Gap behind:
14.2 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.33 km/h
Running and totalRun: 20:55 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.13 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Error: +1:38 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 1:04:29
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:55
(1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
20:55
(4:11 / km)
Total:
1:04:29
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 43.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 11 / 14 |
NED
|
+415 s
+124 s
|
G5 / G4
|
21:07
18:42
|
1:04:41 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 11
80% range: 24–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +415 s
Time: 17:02
Pace: 2:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +124 s
Fehler: 291.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
188.0 s
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.62 km/h
Running and totalRun: 21:07 (4:13 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Error: +2:25 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 1:04:41
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
17:02
(2:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
21:07
(4:13 / km)
Total:
1:04:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
| 12 / 48 |
NED
|
+84 s
+139 s
|
G5 / G11
|
25:40
25:07
|
1:09:14 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 12
80% range: 26–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -36
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +84 s
Time: 11:31
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +139 s
Fehler: -55.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.10 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
10.8 s
Gap behind:
5.2 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.07 km/h
Running and totalRun: 25:40 (5:08 / km)
Historical basis: 5:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.13 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:07 (5:01 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 1:09:14
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
11:31
(1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
25:40
(5:08 / km)
Total:
1:09:14
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 79.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 0 / 6 |
NED
|
+39 s
+43 s
|
G4 / G2
|
18:55
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.6 s
Gap behind:
0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.39 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:46
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:06
(35.9 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 19.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 7 |
NED
|
+227 s
+89 s
|
G5 / G3
|
18:34
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 3–13
Top-10 probability: 70 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +227 s
Time: 13:54
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +89 s
Fehler: 138.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
47.0 s
Gap behind:
188.0 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.65 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
13:54
(1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 207.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 8 |
NED
|
+0 s
+52 s
|
G0 / G3
|
18:37
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 12 |
NED
|
+67 s
+63 s
|
G5 / G3
|
19:03
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 3–11
Top-10 probability: 89 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 11:14
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
5.0 s
Gap behind:
6.0 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.22 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:14
(1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 47.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 15 |
NED
|
+89 s
+83 s
|
G5 / G4
|
18:43
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +89 s
Time: 11:36
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
5.2 s
Gap behind:
8.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.69 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
11:36
(1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 69.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 16 |
NED
|
+174 s
+120 s
|
G5 / G4
|
18:44
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +174 s
Time: 13:01
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +120 s
Fehler: 54.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
27.0 s
Gap behind:
6.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.63 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:44 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
13:01
(1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 154.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 17 |
NED
|
+0 s
+95 s
|
G0 / G4
|
18:54
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +95 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 18 |
NED
|
+62 s
+72 s
|
G5 / G3
|
20:06
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 2–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 11:09
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: -10.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
14.2 s
Gap behind:
5.0 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.50 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:06 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:09
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 42.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 19 |
NED
|
+0 s
+238 s
|
G1 / G6
|
17:33
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +238 s
Fehler: -238.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
24.0 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.01 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
33:29
(37.6 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
|
|
| 0 / 20 |
NED
|
+128 s
+117 s
|
G5 / G4
|
19:34
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 6–13
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +128 s
Time: 12:15
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +117 s
Fehler: 11.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
9.0 s
Gap behind:
19.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.48 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:34 (3:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
12:15
(1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 108.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 21 |
NED
|
+0 s
+115 s
|
G0 / G7
|
18:01
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +115 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 22 |
NED
|
+0 s
+61 s
|
G0 / G3
|
20:55
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:55 (4:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 23 |
NED
|
+0 s
+51 s
|
G0 / G3
|
20:57
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 25 |
NED
|
+97 s
+150 s
|
G5 / G5
correct
|
19:28
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 4–13
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +97 s
Time: 11:44
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +150 s
Fehler: -53.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
8.0 s
Gap behind:
7.3 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.27 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:28 (3:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:44
(1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 77.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 26 |
NED
|
+0 s
+80 s
|
G0 / G4
|
21:12
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +80 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:12 (4:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 27 |
NED
|
+0 s
+134 s
|
G0 / G5
|
20:22
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +134 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:22 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 28 |
NED
|
+73 s
+82 s
|
G5 / G4
|
21:58
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 3–12
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -28
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 11:20
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -9.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
6.0 s
Gap behind:
10.8 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.83 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:58 (4:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:20
(1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 53.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 29 |
NED
|
+180 s
+67 s
|
G5 / G4
|
22:07
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 7–14
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -29
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +180 s
Time: 13:07
Pace: 1:45 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: 113.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
6.0 s
Gap behind:
47.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.65 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:07 (4:25 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
13:07
(1:45 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 160.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 30 |
NED
|
+0 s
+189 s
|
G0 / G8
|
19:59
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 34–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +189 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:59 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 31 |
NED
|
+0 s
+147 s
|
G0 / G8
|
20:07
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 35–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +147 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:07 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 32 |
NED
|
+147 s
+112 s
|
G5 / G9
|
19:51
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 7–14
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -32
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +147 s
Time: 12:34
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +112 s
Fehler: 35.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
19.0 s
Gap behind:
27.0 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.16 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
12:34
(1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 143.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 33 |
NED
|
+0 s
+49 s
|
G0 / G6
|
21:09
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 36–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:09 (4:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 34 |
NED
|
+0 s
+142 s
|
G0 / G8
|
20:18
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 37–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +142 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 35 |
NED
|
+0 s
+109 s
|
G0 / G5
|
22:00
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 38–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +109 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:00 (4:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 36 |
NED
|
+0 s
+229 s
|
G0 / G10
|
19:36
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 39–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +229 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:36 (3:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 37 |
NED
|
+0 s
+143 s
|
G0 / G5
|
22:30
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 40–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +143 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:30 (4:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 38 |
NED
|
+0 s
+122 s
|
G0 / G4
|
24:38
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 41–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +122 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:38 (4:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 39 |
NED
|
+119 s
+199 s
|
G5 / G10
|
21:41
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 7–14
Top-10 probability: 53 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -39
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +119 s
Time: 12:06
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +199 s
Fehler: -80.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
12.0 s
Gap behind:
9.0 s
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.52 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:41 (4:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
12:06
(1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 99.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 40 |
NED
|
+0 s
+235 s
|
G0 / G12
|
21:11
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 42–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +235 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 12 (4 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:11 (4:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 41 |
NED
|
+0 s
+77 s
|
G0 / G6
|
24:58
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 43–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:58 (5:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 42 |
NED
|
+0 s
+226 s
|
G0 / G12
|
22:06
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 44–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +226 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 12 (4 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:06 (4:25 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 43 |
NED
|
+0 s
+204 s
|
G0 / G12
|
22:27
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +204 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 12 (4 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:27 (4:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 44 |
NED
|
+0 s
+264 s
|
G0 / G13
|
22:42
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +264 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 13 (3 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:42 (4:32 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 45 |
NED
|
+0 s
+205 s
|
G0 / G12
|
23:17
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +205 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 12 (4 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:17 (4:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 46 |
NED
|
+0 s
+266 s
|
G0 / G13
|
23:11
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 48–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +266 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 13 (3 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:11 (4:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 47 |
NED
|
+107 s
+111 s
|
G5 / G15
|
22:18
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -47
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +107 s
Time: 11:54
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +111 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.7 s
Gap behind:
12.0 s
Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 30.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.58 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:18 (4:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
11:54
(1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
36:39
(30.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 87.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 49 |
NED
|
+0 s
+275 s
|
G0 / G13
|
24:20
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 49–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +275 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 13 (3 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:20 (4:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 50 |
NED
|
+0 s
+269 s
|
G0 / G14
|
25:14
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 50–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +269 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:14 (5:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
10:07
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|