Prediction comparison

65-69 Male AG Sprint

17.10.2024 Torremolinos ESP

Race information and calculation basis

2024 World Triathlon Age-Group Championships Torremolinos-Andalucia

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 17.10.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used

Modell v15 Default values

Prediction quality 27/100 sehr niedrig

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 13.8 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 48.8 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error27.2

Mean swim error101.1 s

Mean bike-speed error3.46 km/h

Correct bike groups0/70

No history10

Within the 80% range5.0 %

						Details
1 / 2	Denis Pierrat FRA	+20 s +45 s	G1 / G4	20:35 21:31	53:49	Show details Prediction details: Denis Pierrat Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 25–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 2 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +20 s Time: 11:32 Pace: 1:32 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +45 s Fehler: -25.2 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 18 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 89 % Speed: 37.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.8 s Gap behind: 9.2 s Result: Group 4 (4 people) Speed: 33.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.56 km/h Running and total Run: 20:35 (4:07 / km) Historical basis: 4:07 / km Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 87 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:31 (4:18 / km) Error: −0:56 / −0:11 / km Overall prediction: 53:49 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 11:32 (1:32 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:15 (37.4 km/h) Run: 20:35 (4:07 / km) Total: 53:49
2 / 6	Tony Sawyer GBR	+57 s +68 s	G1 / G7	21:06 21:47	54:20	Show details Prediction details: Tony Sawyer Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 26–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 6 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +57 s Time: 12:09 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +68 s Fehler: -11.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 81 % Speed: 37.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 28.0 s Gap behind: 2.7 s Result: Group 7 (1 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.71 km/h Running and total Run: 21:06 (4:13 / km) Historical basis: 4:13 / km Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 78 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:47 (4:21 / km) Error: −0:41 / −0:08 / km Overall prediction: 54:20 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 12:09 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:15 (37.4 km/h) Run: 21:06 (4:13 / km) Total: 54:20
3 / 3	Hans Porten CAN	+29 s +28 s	G1 / G4	22:12 21:52	55:26	Show details Prediction details: Hans Porten Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 31–31 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 3 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +29 s Time: 11:41 Pace: 1:33 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +28 s Fehler: 1.0 s H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 6 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 89 % Speed: 37.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 9.2 s Gap behind: 28.0 s Result: Group 4 (4 people) Speed: 33.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.02 km/h Running and total Run: 22:12 (4:26 / km) Historical basis: 4:25 / km Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 6 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:52 (4:22 / km) Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km Overall prediction: 55:26 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 11:41 (1:33 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:15 (37.4 km/h) Run: 22:12 (4:26 / km) Total: 55:26
4 / 14	Derek Thomson GBR	+80 s +125 s	G2 / G9	22:26 24:42	56:17	Show details Prediction details: Derek Thomson Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 32–37 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 14 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +80 s Time: 12:32 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +125 s Fehler: -45.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 36.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 20.3 s Gap behind: 8.0 s Result: Group 9 (4 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.20 km/h Running and total Run: 22:26 (4:29 / km) Historical basis: 4:29 / km Best comparable pace: 4:29 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 78 % Ergebnis Lauf: 24:42 (4:56 / km) Error: −2:16 / −0:27 / km Overall prediction: 56:17 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 12:32 (1:40 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:31 (36.9 km/h) Run: 22:26 (4:29 / km) Total: 56:17 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 16.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 1	Alfi Caprez SUI	+16 s +4 s	G1 / G3	23:16 21:30	56:30	Show details Prediction details: Alfi Caprez Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 32–34 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 1 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +16 s Time: 11:28 Pace: 1:32 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +4 s Fehler: 12.0 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 12 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 89 % Speed: 37.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 16.0 s Gap behind: 3.8 s Result: Group 3 (1 people) Speed: 34.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.24 km/h Running and total Run: 23:16 (4:39 / km) Historical basis: 4:39 / km Best comparable pace: 4:39 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 12 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:30 (4:18 / km) Error: +1:46 / +0:21 / km Overall prediction: 56:30 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 11:28 (1:32 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:15 (37.4 km/h) Run: 23:16 (4:39 / km) Total: 56:30
6 / 13	David Uglow CAN	+60 s +104 s	G1 / G6	23:30 25:00	56:44	Show details Prediction details: David Uglow Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 33–37 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 13 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +60 s Time: 12:12 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +104 s Fehler: -44.3 s H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 6 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 59 % Speed: 37.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.7 s Gap behind: 20.3 s Result: Group 6 (3 people) Speed: 33.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.78 km/h Running and total Run: 23:30 (4:42 / km) Historical basis: 4:40 / km Best comparable pace: 4:40 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 6 % Ergebnis Lauf: 25:00 (5:00 / km) Error: −1:30 / −0:18 / km Overall prediction: 56:44 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 12:12 (1:38 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:15 (37.4 km/h) Run: 23:30 (4:42 / km) Total: 56:44
7 / 4	Ralf Laermann GER	+138 s +145 s	G4 / G6	21:05 20:54	57:17	Show details Prediction details: Ralf Laermann Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 32–39 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 4 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +138 s Time: 13:30 Pace: 1:48 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +145 s Fehler: -6.9 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 21 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.1 s Gap behind: 20.9 s Result: Group 6 (3 people) Speed: 33.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.21 km/h Running and total Run: 21:05 (4:13 / km) Historical basis: 4:13 / km Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 90 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:54 (4:11 / km) Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km Overall prediction: 57:17 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 13:30 (1:48 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:20 (35.8 km/h) Run: 21:05 (4:13 / km) Total: 57:17 Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
8 / 17	Neal McLaughlin USA	+130 s +187 s	G3 / G10	21:37 23:59	57:23	Show details Prediction details: Neal McLaughlin Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 33–38 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 17 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +130 s Time: 13:22 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +187 s Fehler: -57.3 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 10 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 4.3 s Result: Group 10 (5 people) Speed: 32.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.71 km/h Running and total Run: 21:37 (4:19 / km) Historical basis: 4:20 / km Best comparable pace: 4:20 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 10 % Ergebnis Lauf: 23:59 (4:48 / km) Error: −2:22 / −0:28 / km Overall prediction: 57:23 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 13:22 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.6 km/h) Run: 21:37 (4:19 / km) Total: 57:23 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 66.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 27	Jean Marais RSA	+0 s +0 s	G1 / G10	24:09 26:32	57:23	Show details Prediction details: Jean Marais Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 34–38 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 27 Deviation: -18 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 0.0 s H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 13 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 89 % Speed: 37.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.0 s Gap behind: 16.0 s Result: Group 10 (5 people) Speed: 30.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.76 km/h Running and total Run: 24:09 (4:50 / km) Historical basis: 4:44 / km Best comparable pace: 4:44 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 2.13 %, Sicherheit 2 % Ergebnis Lauf: 26:32 (5:18 / km) Error: −2:23 / −0:29 / km Overall prediction: 57:23 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:15 (37.4 km/h) Run: 24:09 (4:50 / km) Total: 57:23
10 / 8	Ewan Cox GBR	+169 s +154 s	G4 / G9	21:15 22:57	57:27	Show details Prediction details: Ewan Cox Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 35–41 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 8 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +169 s Time: 14:01 Pace: 1:52 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +154 s Fehler: 14.6 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 10 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 9.6 s Gap behind: 3.8 s Result: Group 9 (4 people) Speed: 32.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.04 km/h Running and total Run: 21:15 (4:15 / km) Historical basis: 4:15 / km Best comparable pace: 4:15 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 85 % Ergebnis Lauf: 22:57 (4:35 / km) Error: −1:42 / −0:20 / km Overall prediction: 57:27 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 14:01 (1:52 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:20 (35.8 km/h) Run: 21:15 (4:15 / km) Total: 57:27 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 105 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 25	Peter Hayward GBR	+129 s +194 s	G3 / G14	22:57 24:28	58:43	Show details Prediction details: Peter Hayward Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 39–44 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 25 Deviation: -14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +129 s Time: 13:21 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +194 s Fehler: -65.1 s H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 9.9 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 14 (2 people) Speed: 31.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.08 km/h Running and total Run: 22:57 (4:35 / km) Historical basis: 4:36 / km Best comparable pace: 4:36 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 86 % Ergebnis Lauf: 24:28 (4:54 / km) Error: −1:31 / −0:18 / km Overall prediction: 58:43 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 13:21 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.6 km/h) Run: 22:57 (4:35 / km) Total: 58:43 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 65.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 42	Neil Beckingham GBR	+134 s +122 s	G3 / G18	23:16 25:59	59:02	Show details Prediction details: Neil Beckingham Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 38–42 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 42 Deviation: -30 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +134 s Time: 13:26 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +122 s Fehler: 12.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.3 s Gap behind: 4.1 s Result: Group 18 (1 people) Speed: 29.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.43 km/h Running and total Run: 23:16 (4:39 / km) Historical basis: 4:39 / km Best comparable pace: 4:39 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 78 % Ergebnis Lauf: 25:59 (5:12 / km) Error: −2:43 / −0:33 / km Overall prediction: 59:02 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 13:26 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.6 km/h) Run: 23:16 (4:39 / km) Total: 59:02 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 70.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 19	Jim Taylor USA	+182 s +217 s	G5 / G15	21:32 22:02	59:24	Show details Prediction details: Jim Taylor Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 39–44 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 19 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +182 s Time: 14:14 Pace: 1:54 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +217 s Fehler: -35.5 s H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 29 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 4.5 s Result: Group 15 (1 people) Speed: 30.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.51 km/h Running and total Run: 21:32 (4:18 / km) Historical basis: 4:19 / km Best comparable pace: 4:19 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 21 % Ergebnis Lauf: 22:02 (4:24 / km) Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km Overall prediction: 59:24 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 14:14 (1:54 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:50 (34.4 km/h) Run: 21:32 (4:18 / km) Total: 59:24 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 117.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 9	Paul Haslam GBR	+208 s +276 s	G6 / G10	20:17 21:43	59:31	Show details Prediction details: Paul Haslam Placement Prediction: 14 80% range: 37–43 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 9 Deviation: 5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +208 s Time: 14:40 Pace: 1:57 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +276 s Fehler: -67.8 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 17 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.2 s Gap behind: 1.8 s Result: Group 10 (5 people) Speed: 33.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.11 km/h Running and total Run: 20:17 (4:03 / km) Historical basis: 4:03 / km Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 94 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:43 (4:21 / km) Error: −1:26 / −0:17 / km Overall prediction: 59:31 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 14:40 (1:57 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.6 km/h) Run: 20:17 (4:03 / km) Total: 59:31 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:15 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 144.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 12	Jeffrey Schumann USA	+111 s +111 s	G3 / G9	23:48 24:01	59:34	Show details Prediction details: Jeffrey Schumann Placement Prediction: 15 80% range: 39–43 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 12 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +111 s Time: 13:03 Pace: 1:44 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +111 s Fehler: 0.0 s H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 6 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.0 s Gap behind: 2.2 s Result: Group 9 (4 people) Speed: 33.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.64 km/h Running and total Run: 23:48 (4:46 / km) Historical basis: 4:44 / km Best comparable pace: 4:44 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 6 % Ergebnis Lauf: 24:01 (4:48 / km) Error: −0:13 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 59:34 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 13:03 (1:44 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.6 km/h) Run: 23:48 (4:46 / km) Total: 59:34 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 47.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 38	Nick Care GBR	+225 s +267 s	G6 / G20	21:52 23:45	1:01:06	Show details Prediction details: Nick Care Placement Prediction: 16 80% range: 43–46 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 38 Deviation: -22 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +225 s Time: 14:57 Pace: 2:00 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +267 s Fehler: -42.0 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 10 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 15.0 s Gap behind: 4.9 s Result: Group 20 (3 people) Speed: 30.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.45 km/h Running and total Run: 21:52 (4:22 / km) Historical basis: 4:22 / km Best comparable pace: 4:22 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 86 % Ergebnis Lauf: 23:45 (4:45 / km) Error: −1:53 / −0:23 / km Overall prediction: 1:01:06 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 14:57 (2:00 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.6 km/h) Run: 21:52 (4:22 / km) Total: 1:01:06 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 161.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 35	Hinnerk Timme GER	+271 s +258 s	G7 / G19	21:44 23:49	1:01:36	Show details Prediction details: Hinnerk Timme Placement Prediction: 17 80% range: 44–49 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 35 Deviation: -18 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +271 s Time: 15:43 Pace: 2:06 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +258 s Fehler: 12.8 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.29 %, Sicherheit 5 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 21, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 27.0 s Gap behind: 1.2 s Result: Group 19 (4 people) Speed: 30.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.95 km/h Running and total Run: 21:44 (4:21 / km) Historical basis: 4:20 / km Best comparable pace: 4:20 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 7 % Ergebnis Lauf: 23:49 (4:46 / km) Error: −2:05 / −0:25 / km Overall prediction: 1:01:36 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 15:43 (2:06 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: 21:44 (4:21 / km) Total: 1:01:36 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 207.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 22	Keith Muggleton GBR	+116 s +83 s	G3 / G10	25:54 24:42	1:01:40	Show details Prediction details: Keith Muggleton Placement Prediction: 18 80% range: 44–49 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +116 s Time: 13:08 Pace: 1:45 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +83 s Fehler: 33.4 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.89 %, Sicherheit 3 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.2 s Gap behind: 2.6 s Result: Group 10 (5 people) Speed: 31.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.07 km/h Running and total Run: 25:54 (5:11 / km) Historical basis: 5:08 / km Best comparable pace: 5:08 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.97 %, Sicherheit 2 % Ergebnis Lauf: 24:42 (4:56 / km) Error: +1:12 / +0:14 / km Overall prediction: 1:01:40 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 13:08 (1:45 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.6 km/h) Run: 25:54 (5:11 / km) Total: 1:01:40 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:15 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 52.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 65	Michael Battersby GBR	+89 s +142 s	G3 / G23	26:20 30:48	1:02:06	Show details Prediction details: Michael Battersby Placement Prediction: 19 80% range: 42–51 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 65 Deviation: -46 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +89 s Time: 12:41 Pace: 1:41 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +142 s Fehler: -52.6 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 25 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 15 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.4 s Gap behind: 4.1 s Result: Group 23 (3 people) Speed: 28.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 7.67 km/h Running and total Run: 26:20 (5:16 / km) Historical basis: 5:17 / km Best comparable pace: 4:52 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 29 % Ergebnis Lauf: 30:48 (6:10 / km) Error: −4:28 / −0:54 / km Overall prediction: 1:02:06 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 12:41 (1:41 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.6 km/h) Run: 26:20 (5:16 / km) Total: 1:02:06 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:15 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 25.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 20	Alexander Graham Whyte GBR	+207 s +260 s	G6 / G12	22:59 23:25	1:02:13	Show details Prediction details: Alexander Graham Whyte Placement Prediction: 20 80% range: 45–50 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 20 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +207 s Time: 14:39 Pace: 1:57 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +260 s Fehler: -53.0 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 12 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 17.0 s Gap behind: 1.2 s Result: Group 12 (6 people) Speed: 32.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.81 km/h Running and total Run: 22:59 (4:36 / km) Historical basis: 4:36 / km Best comparable pace: 4:36 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 12 % Ergebnis Lauf: 23:25 (4:41 / km) Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km Overall prediction: 1:02:13 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 14:39 (1:57 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.6 km/h) Run: 22:59 (4:36 / km) Total: 1:02:13 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 143.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 43	Warren Slaght CAN	+241 s +452 s	G7 / G26	22:40 21:59	1:02:32	Show details Prediction details: Warren Slaght Placement Prediction: 21 80% range: 47–52 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 43 Deviation: -22 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +241 s Time: 15:13 Pace: 2:02 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +452 s Fehler: -211.3 s H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 6 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 20, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.0 s Gap behind: 3.1 s Result: Group 26 (2 people) Speed: 30.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.76 km/h Running and total Run: 22:40 (4:32 / km) Historical basis: 4:30 / km Best comparable pace: 4:30 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 6 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:59 (4:24 / km) Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 1:02:32 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 15:13 (2:02 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: 22:40 (4:32 / km) Total: 1:02:32 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 177.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 33	John Cassimatis USA	+232 s +168 s	G7 / G19	22:42 22:45	1:02:34	Show details Prediction details: John Cassimatis Placement Prediction: 22 80% range: 44–52 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 33 Deviation: -11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +232 s Time: 15:04 Pace: 2:01 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +168 s Fehler: 63.8 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 20 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 6.2 s Result: Group 19 (4 people) Speed: 29.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.61 km/h Running and total Run: 22:42 (4:32 / km) Historical basis: 4:36 / km Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km Trend: −0:05 / km Comparable races: 4 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 14 % Ergebnis Lauf: 22:45 (4:33 / km) Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km Overall prediction: 1:02:34 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 15:04 (2:01 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: 22:42 (4:32 / km) Total: 1:02:34 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 168.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 64	Patrick Rombout BEL	+113 s +156 s	G3 / G28	27:34 28:59	1:03:20	Show details Prediction details: Patrick Rombout Placement Prediction: 23 80% range: 48–53 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 64 Deviation: -41 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +113 s Time: 13:05 Pace: 1:45 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +156 s Fehler: -42.8 s Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.2 s Gap behind: 3.2 s Result: Group 28 (1 people) Speed: 27.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 8.30 km/h Running and total Run: 27:34 (5:31 / km) Historical basis: 5:31 / km Best comparable pace: 5:31 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Ergebnis Lauf: 28:59 (5:48 / km) Error: −1:25 / −0:17 / km Overall prediction: 1:03:20 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 13:05 (1:45 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.6 km/h) Run: 27:34 (5:31 / km) Total: 1:03:20 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 37.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 26	Keith Hunt GBR	+187 s +282 s	G6 / G16	24:47 23:46	1:04:01	Show details Prediction details: Keith Hunt Placement Prediction: 24 80% range: 49–53 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +187 s Time: 14:19 Pace: 1:55 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +282 s Fehler: -95.2 s Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 16 (1 people) Speed: 32.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.43 km/h Running and total Run: 24:47 (4:57 / km) Historical basis: 4:57 / km Best comparable pace: 4:57 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:46 (4:45 / km) Error: +1:01 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 1:04:01 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 14:19 (1:55 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.6 km/h) Run: 24:47 (4:57 / km) Total: 1:04:01 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 123.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 52	Phil King GBR	+318 s +512 s	G8 / G32	22:25 23:20	1:04:24	Show details Prediction details: Phil King Placement Prediction: 25 80% range: 53–54 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 52 Deviation: -27 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +318 s Time: 16:30 Pace: 2:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +512 s Fehler: -193.6 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 10 % Cycling Prediction: Group 8 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 25, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 15.4 s Gap behind: 6.6 s Result: Group 32 (2 people) Speed: 29.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.32 km/h Running and total Run: 22:25 (4:29 / km) Historical basis: 4:29 / km Best comparable pace: 4:29 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 78 % Ergebnis Lauf: 23:20 (4:40 / km) Error: −0:55 / −0:11 / km Overall prediction: 1:04:24 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 16:30 (2:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 36:17 (33.0 km/h) Run: 22:25 (4:29 / km) Total: 1:04:24 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:15 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 254.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 60	Steven Wade USA	+187 s +348 s	G6 / G25	25:38 27:40	1:04:52	Show details Prediction details: Steven Wade Placement Prediction: 26 80% range: 50–54 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 60 Deviation: -34 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +187 s Time: 14:19 Pace: 1:55 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +348 s Fehler: -160.8 s H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 29 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 2.8 s Result: Group 25 (1 people) Speed: 29.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.87 km/h Running and total Run: 25:38 (5:08 / km) Historical basis: 5:06 / km Best comparable pace: 5:06 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 19 % Ergebnis Lauf: 27:40 (5:32 / km) Error: −2:02 / −0:24 / km Overall prediction: 1:04:52 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 14:19 (1:55 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.6 km/h) Run: 25:38 (5:08 / km) Total: 1:04:52 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:15 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 123.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 71	Walter Decombes BEL	+414 s +617 s	G9 / G29	23:43 25:26	1:07:52	Show details Prediction details: Walter Decombes Placement Prediction: 27 80% range: 55–57 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 71 Deviation: -44 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +414 s Time: 18:06 Pace: 2:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +617 s Fehler: -203.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 9 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 32.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 30, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 30.4 s Gap behind: 16.0 s Result: Group 29 (2 people) Speed: 32.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.02 km/h Running and total Run: 23:43 (4:45 / km) Historical basis: 4:45 / km Best comparable pace: 4:45 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 78 % Ergebnis Lauf: 25:26 (5:05 / km) Error: −1:43 / −0:21 / km Overall prediction: 1:07:52 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:06 (2:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 36:59 (32.2 km/h) Run: 23:43 (4:45 / km) Total: 1:07:52 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 350.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 48	Eli Tepperberg USA	+373 s +380 s	G9 / G24	23:44 24:20	1:07:53	Show details Prediction details: Eli Tepperberg Placement Prediction: 28 80% range: 55–57 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 48 Deviation: -20 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +373 s Time: 17:25 Pace: 2:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +380 s Fehler: -6.8 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 12 % Cycling Prediction: Group 9 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 32.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 28, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.9 s Gap behind: 7.8 s Result: Group 24 (4 people) Speed: 30.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.04 km/h Running and total Run: 23:44 (4:45 / km) Historical basis: 4:44 / km Best comparable pace: 4:44 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 12 % Ergebnis Lauf: 24:20 (4:52 / km) Error: −0:36 / −0:07 / km Overall prediction: 1:07:53 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 17:25 (2:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 36:59 (32.2 km/h) Run: 23:44 (4:45 / km) Total: 1:07:53 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:15 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 309.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 18	Mark Drangsholt USA	+244 s +337 s	G7 / G12	28:29 23:22	1:08:21	Show details Prediction details: Mark Drangsholt Placement Prediction: 29 80% range: 55–57 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 18 Deviation: 11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +244 s Time: 15:16 Pace: 2:02 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +337 s Fehler: -93.2 s H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 26 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 20, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.1 s Gap behind: 27.0 s Result: Group 12 (6 people) Speed: 34.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.16 km/h Running and total Run: 28:29 (5:42 / km) Historical basis: 5:50 / km Best comparable pace: 4:32 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 26 % Ergebnis Lauf: 23:22 (4:40 / km) Error: +5:07 / +1:01 / km Overall prediction: 1:08:21 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 15:16 (2:02 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: 28:29 (5:42 / km) Total: 1:08:21 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 180.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 72	Martin Epkenhans GER	+273 s +306 s	G7 / G37	29:19 30:03	1:09:11	Show details Prediction details: Martin Epkenhans Placement Prediction: 30 80% range: 58–61 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 72 Deviation: -42 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +273 s Time: 15:45 Pace: 2:06 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +306 s Fehler: -33.4 s H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 25 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 21, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.6 s Gap behind: 8.4 s Result: Group 37 (1 people) Speed: 25.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 8.77 km/h Running and total Run: 29:19 (5:52 / km) Historical basis: 5:51 / km Best comparable pace: 5:33 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 98 % Ergebnis Lauf: 30:03 (6:01 / km) Error: −0:44 / −0:09 / km Overall prediction: 1:09:11 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 15:45 (2:06 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: 29:19 (5:52 / km) Total: 1:09:11 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 209 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 57	David Tolson GBR	+370 s +432 s	G9 / G31	25:10 24:49	1:09:19	Show details Prediction details: David Tolson Placement Prediction: 31 80% range: 58–60 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 57 Deviation: -26 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +370 s Time: 17:22 Pace: 2:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +432 s Fehler: -61.7 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 17 % Cycling Prediction: Group 9 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 32.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 28, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 28.1 s Gap behind: 2.9 s Result: Group 31 (3 people) Speed: 30.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.19 km/h Running and total Run: 25:10 (5:02 / km) Historical basis: 5:02 / km Best comparable pace: 4:46 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 12 % Ergebnis Lauf: 24:49 (4:58 / km) Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km Overall prediction: 1:09:19 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:22 (2:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 36:59 (32.2 km/h) Run: 25:10 (5:02 / km) Total: 1:09:19 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:15 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 306.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 54	Carl May RSA	+342 s +267 s	G8 / G23	27:43 27:37	1:09:42	Show details Prediction details: Carl May Placement Prediction: 32 80% range: 58–60 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 54 Deviation: -22 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +342 s Time: 16:54 Pace: 2:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +267 s Fehler: 75.2 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 10 % Cycling Prediction: Group 8 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 27, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 16.7 s Gap behind: 28.1 s Result: Group 23 (3 people) Speed: 29.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.12 km/h Running and total Run: 27:43 (5:33 / km) Historical basis: 5:33 / km Best comparable pace: 5:33 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 10 % Ergebnis Lauf: 27:37 (5:31 / km) Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km Overall prediction: 1:09:42 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 16:54 (2:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 36:17 (33.0 km/h) Run: 27:43 (5:33 / km) Total: 1:09:42 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:15 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 278.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 46	Phillip Hermitage AUS	+452 s +225 s	G10 / G22	24:33 25:24	1:11:56	Show details Prediction details: Phillip Hermitage Placement Prediction: 33 80% range: 60–62 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 46 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +452 s Time: 18:44 Pace: 2:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +225 s Fehler: 226.5 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 9 % Cycling Prediction: Group 10 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 30.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 32, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 21.5 s Gap behind: 2.6 s Result: Group 22 (3 people) Speed: 29.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.58 km/h Running and total Run: 24:33 (4:55 / km) Historical basis: 4:47 / km Best comparable pace: 4:47 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 11 % Ergebnis Lauf: 25:24 (5:05 / km) Error: −0:51 / −0:10 / km Overall prediction: 1:11:56 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:44 (2:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 39:49 (30.1 km/h) Run: 24:33 (4:55 / km) Total: 1:11:56 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 387.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 55	Fernando Falomir Viciano ESP	+172 s +280 s	G4 / G20	37:20 29:19	1:13:32	Show details Prediction details: Fernando Falomir Viciano Placement Prediction: 34 80% range: 62–67 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 55 Deviation: -21 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +172 s Time: 14:04 Pace: 1:53 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +280 s Fehler: -107.6 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.8 s Gap behind: 8.6 s Result: Group 20 (3 people) Speed: 31.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.36 km/h Running and total Run: 37:20 (7:28 / km) Historical basis: 7:28 / km Best comparable pace: 7:28 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 29:19 (5:52 / km) Error: +8:01 / +1:36 / km Overall prediction: 1:13:32 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 14:04 (1:53 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:20 (35.8 km/h) Run: 37:20 (7:28 / km) Total: 1:13:32 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 96.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 76	Dwayne Gibbs CAN	+326 s +412 s	G8 / G34	31:50 33:21	1:13:49	Show details Prediction details: Dwayne Gibbs Placement Prediction: 35 80% range: 62–64 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 76 Deviation: -41 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +326 s Time: 16:38 Pace: 2:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +412 s Fehler: -86.5 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 8 % Cycling Prediction: Group 8 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 26, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 16.7 s Result: Group 34 (1 people) Speed: 28.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.02 km/h Running and total Run: 31:50 (6:22 / km) Historical basis: 6:20 / km Best comparable pace: 6:20 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 6 % Ergebnis Lauf: 33:21 (6:40 / km) Error: −1:31 / −0:18 / km Overall prediction: 1:13:49 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 16:38 (2:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 36:17 (33.0 km/h) Run: 31:50 (6:22 / km) Total: 1:13:49 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 261.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 77	John Hutchings CAN	+230 s +333 s	G7 / G41	35:05 29:47	1:14:57	Show details Prediction details: John Hutchings Placement Prediction: 36 80% range: 62–64 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 77 Deviation: -41 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +230 s Time: 15:02 Pace: 2:00 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +333 s Fehler: -103.1 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 10 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.9 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 41 (1 people) Speed: 24.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 9.62 km/h Running and total Run: 35:05 (7:01 / km) Historical basis: 7:02 / km Best comparable pace: 7:02 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 10 % Ergebnis Lauf: 29:47 (5:57 / km) Error: +5:18 / +1:04 / km Overall prediction: 1:14:57 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 15:02 (2:00 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: 35:05 (7:01 / km) Total: 1:14:57 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 166.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 66	Mark Pattinson GBR	+778 s +683 s	G11 / G38	22:08 23:05	1:16:08	Show details Prediction details: Mark Pattinson Placement Prediction: 37 80% range: 64–67 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 66 Deviation: -29 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +778 s Time: 24:10 Pace: 3:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +683 s Fehler: 94.7 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 10 % Cycling Prediction: Group 11 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 29.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 38, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 71.7 s Gap behind: 6.3 s Result: Group 38 (1 people) Speed: 28.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.57 km/h Running and total Run: 22:08 (4:26 / km) Historical basis: 4:26 / km Best comparable pace: 4:26 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 9 % Ergebnis Lauf: 23:05 (4:37 / km) Error: −0:57 / −0:11 / km Overall prediction: 1:16:08 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 24:10 (3:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 40:56 (29.2 km/h) Run: 22:08 (4:26 / km) Total: 1:16:08 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 714.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 45	Jan D'hoedt BEL	+682 s +554 s	G11 / G27	22:17 22:30	1:16:17	Show details Prediction details: Jan D'hoedt Placement Prediction: 38 80% range: 65–67 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 45 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +682 s Time: 22:34 Pace: 3:01 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +554 s Fehler: 128.1 s Cycling Prediction: Group 11 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 29.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 36, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.1 s Gap behind: 23.9 s Result: Group 27 (1 people) Speed: 31.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.60 km/h Running and total Run: 22:17 (4:27 / km) Historical basis: 4:27 / km Best comparable pace: 4:27 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 22:30 (4:30 / km) Error: −0:13 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 1:16:17 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 22:34 (3:01 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 40:56 (29.2 km/h) Run: 22:17 (4:27 / km) Total: 1:16:17 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 618.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 56	Fred Koenders NZL	+240 s +256 s	G7 / G22	36:26 28:19	1:16:18	Show details Prediction details: Fred Koenders Placement Prediction: 39 80% range: 65–67 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 56 Deviation: -17 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +240 s Time: 15:12 Pace: 2:02 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +256 s Fehler: -16.3 s H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 1 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 20, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.7 s Gap behind: 1.0 s Result: Group 22 (3 people) Speed: 30.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.03 km/h Running and total Run: 36:26 (7:17 / km) Historical basis: 7:27 / km Best comparable pace: 7:27 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -2.20 %, Sicherheit 1 % Ergebnis Lauf: 28:19 (5:40 / km) Error: +8:07 / +1:37 / km Overall prediction: 1:16:18 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 15:12 (2:02 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: 36:26 (7:17 / km) Total: 1:16:18 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 176.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 73	David Green GBR	+454 s +480 s	G10 / G36	37:34 31:14	1:24:57	Show details Prediction details: David Green Placement Prediction: 40 80% range: 68–68 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 73 Deviation: -33 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +454 s Time: 18:46 Pace: 2:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +480 s Fehler: -25.9 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 5 % Cycling Prediction: Group 10 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 30.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 32, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.6 s Gap behind: 31.5 s Result: Group 36 (1 people) Speed: 27.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.40 km/h Running and total Run: 37:34 (7:31 / km) Historical basis: 7:42 / km Best comparable pace: 7:42 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 5 % Ergebnis Lauf: 31:14 (6:15 / km) Error: +6:20 / +1:16 / km Overall prediction: 1:24:57 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 18:46 (2:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 39:49 (30.1 km/h) Run: 37:34 (7:31 / km) Total: 1:24:57 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 390.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 69	Pedro Vizcaya-Guarin COL	+494 s +795 s	G11 / G39	31:50 23:33	1:25:50	Show details Prediction details: Pedro Vizcaya-Guarin Placement Prediction: 41 80% range: 69–69 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 69 Deviation: -28 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +494 s Time: 19:26 Pace: 2:35 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +795 s Fehler: -300.8 s H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 18 % Cycling Prediction: Group 11 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 29.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 34, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 8.6 s Gap behind: 180.8 s Result: Group 39 (1 people) Speed: 29.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.12 km/h Running and total Run: 31:50 (6:22 / km) Historical basis: 6:20 / km Best comparable pace: 6:20 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 18 % Ergebnis Lauf: 23:33 (4:43 / km) Error: +8:17 / +1:39 / km Overall prediction: 1:25:50 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 19:26 (2:35 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 40:56 (29.2 km/h) Run: 31:50 (6:22 / km) Total: 1:25:50 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:15 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 430.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 44	Willy Hatlevoll NOR	+430 s +616 s	G9 / G26	47:08 22:19	1:31:17	Show details Prediction details: Willy Hatlevoll Placement Prediction: 42 80% range: 70–70 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 44 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +430 s Time: 18:22 Pace: 2:27 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +616 s Fehler: -186.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 9 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 32.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 31, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 16.0 s Gap behind: 21.5 s Result: Group 26 (2 people) Speed: 32.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.28 km/h Running and total Run: 47:08 (9:26 / km) Historical basis: 9:40 / km Best comparable pace: 9:40 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 1 % Ergebnis Lauf: 22:19 (4:28 / km) Error: +24:49 / +4:58 / km Overall prediction: 1:31:17 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 18:22 (2:27 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 36:59 (32.2 km/h) Run: 47:08 (9:26 / km) Total: 1:31:17 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 354.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 5	Jens Krohn GER	+108 s +34 s	G3 / G5	21:57		Show details Prediction details: Jens Krohn Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 3–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 5 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +108 s Time: 13:00 Pace: 1:44 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +34 s Fehler: 74.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.0 s Gap behind: 3.0 s Result: Group 5 (1 people) Speed: 33.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.89 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 21:57 (4:23 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 13:00 (1:44 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.6 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 32.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 7	Carlos Matas José ESP	+0 s +66 s	G0 / G6	22:21		Show details Prediction details: Carlos Matas José Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 71–71 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 7 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +66 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 6 (3 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 22:21 (4:28 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10	Rob Thomas USA	+281 s +32 s	G7 / G8	23:08		Show details Prediction details: Rob Thomas Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 11–20 Top-10 probability: 9 % Result: 10 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +281 s Time: 15:53 Pace: 2:07 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +32 s Fehler: 249.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 22, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 8.4 s Gap behind: 3.0 s Result: Group 8 (1 people) Speed: 32.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.88 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:08 (4:38 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 15:53 (2:07 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 205.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 11	John Anhold USA	+0 s +328 s	G0 / G12	21:57		Show details Prediction details: John Anhold Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 72–72 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 11 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +328 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 12 (6 people) Speed: 33.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 21:57 (4:23 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15	Jose Manuel Piñeiro Becerra ESP	+101 s +253 s	G3 / G12	23:10		Show details Prediction details: Jose Manuel Piñeiro Becerra Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 3–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 15 Deviation: -15 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +101 s Time: 12:53 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +253 s Fehler: -152.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.5 s Gap behind: 7.0 s Result: Group 12 (6 people) Speed: 33.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.36 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:10 (4:38 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 12:53 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.6 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 25.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16	Michael Thoring Flagstad DEN	+381 s +300 s	G9 / G12	23:06		Show details Prediction details: Michael Thoring Flagstad Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 23–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 16 Deviation: -16 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +381 s Time: 17:33 Pace: 2:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +300 s Fehler: 81.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 9 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 32.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 29, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.8 s Gap behind: 2.6 s Result: Group 12 (6 people) Speed: 34.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.74 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:06 (4:37 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 17:33 (2:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 36:59 (32.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 305.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 21	Juraj Brna SVK	+88 s +161 s	G3 / G11	24:41		Show details Prediction details: Juraj Brna Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 3–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 21 Deviation: -21 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +88 s Time: 12:40 Pace: 1:41 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +161 s Fehler: -73.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 8.0 s Gap behind: 1.4 s Result: Group 11 (2 people) Speed: 32.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.88 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 24:41 (4:56 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 12:40 (1:41 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.6 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 12.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 23	Kari Aho SWE	+0 s +146 s	G1 / G9	25:36		Show details Prediction details: Kari Aho Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–2 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 23 Deviation: -23 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +146 s Fehler: -146.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 99 % Speed: 37.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 0.0 s Result: Group 9 (4 people) Speed: 33.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.43 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 25:36 (5:07 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:15 (37.4 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable
0 / 24	Eric Furfine USA	+291 s +169 s	G7 / G14	23:25		Show details Prediction details: Eric Furfine Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 14–21 Top-10 probability: 4 % Result: 24 Deviation: -24 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +291 s Time: 16:03 Pace: 2:08 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +169 s Fehler: 122.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 23, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.0 s Gap behind: 12.0 s Result: Group 14 (2 people) Speed: 31.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.19 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:25 (4:41 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 16:03 (2:08 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 215.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 28	Robert Licciardo AUS	+210 s +189 s	G6 / G10	27:00		Show details Prediction details: Robert Licciardo Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 9–15 Top-10 probability: 36 % Result: 28 Deviation: -28 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +210 s Time: 14:42 Pace: 1:58 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +189 s Fehler: 21.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.8 s Gap behind: 15.0 s Result: Group 10 (5 people) Speed: 32.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.82 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 27:00 (5:24 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 14:42 (1:58 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.6 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 134.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 29	Christoph Steffen AUT	+272 s +219 s	G7 / G17	23:28		Show details Prediction details: Christoph Steffen Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 12–20 Top-10 probability: 6 % Result: 29 Deviation: -29 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +272 s Time: 15:44 Pace: 2:06 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +219 s Fehler: 53.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 21, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.0 s Gap behind: 0.6 s Result: Group 17 (4 people) Speed: 31.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.73 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:28 (4:42 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 15:44 (2:06 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 196.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 30	Terry Loftus USA	+94 s +79 s	G3 / G13	25:37		Show details Prediction details: Terry Loftus Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 4–8 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 30 Deviation: -30 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +94 s Time: 12:46 Pace: 1:42 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +79 s Fehler: 14.5 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 1 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.1 s Gap behind: 7.5 s Result: Group 13 (1 people) Speed: 30.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.16 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 25:37 (5:07 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 12:46 (1:42 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.6 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 29.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 31	Jeffrey Gilmer USA	+186 s +216 s	G6 / G11	26:41		Show details Prediction details: Jeffrey Gilmer Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 8–15 Top-10 probability: 56 % Result: 31 Deviation: -31 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +186 s Time: 14:18 Pace: 1:54 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +216 s Fehler: -30.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.5 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 11 (2 people) Speed: 32.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.72 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 26:41 (5:20 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 14:18 (1:54 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.6 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 110.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 32	Alois Breitenfellner AUT	+190 s +163 s	G6 / G17	24:30		Show details Prediction details: Alois Breitenfellner Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 9–15 Top-10 probability: 31 % Result: 32 Deviation: -32 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +190 s Time: 14:22 Pace: 1:55 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +163 s Fehler: 27.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.8 s Gap behind: 17.0 s Result: Group 17 (4 people) Speed: 30.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.32 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 24:30 (4:54 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 14:22 (1:55 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.6 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 114.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 34	Ronald Lemm GER	+272 s +291 s	G7 / G20	22:30		Show details Prediction details: Ronald Lemm Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 12–20 Top-10 probability: 4 % Result: 34 Deviation: -34 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +272 s Time: 15:44 Pace: 2:06 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +291 s Fehler: -19.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 21, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.2 s Gap behind: 0.0 s Result: Group 20 (3 people) Speed: 30.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.48 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 22:30 (4:30 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 15:44 (2:06 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 196.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 36	Miguel Angel Marin Garcia ESP	+0 s +151 s	G0 / G17	24:28		Show details Prediction details: Miguel Angel Marin Garcia Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 73–73 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 36 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +151 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 17 (4 people) Speed: 30.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 24:28 (4:54 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 37	Bernhard Schröppl GER	+119 s +72 s	G3 / G12	26:32		Show details Prediction details: Bernhard Schröppl Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 5–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 37 Deviation: -37 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +119 s Time: 13:11 Pace: 1:45 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +72 s Fehler: 47.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.6 s Gap behind: 9.9 s Result: Group 12 (6 people) Speed: 30.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.13 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 26:32 (5:18 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 13:11 (1:45 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.6 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 43.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 39	Michael Barnfield GBR	+159 s +220 s	G4 / G17	25:30		Show details Prediction details: Michael Barnfield Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 6–9 Top-10 probability: 98 % Result: 39 Deviation: -39 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +159 s Time: 13:51 Pace: 1:51 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +220 s Fehler: -61.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 20.9 s Gap behind: 9.6 s Result: Group 17 (4 people) Speed: 31.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.76 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 25:30 (5:06 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 13:51 (1:51 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:20 (35.8 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 83.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 40	Heinrich Wilmink GER	+706 s +525 s	G11 / G21	23:25		Show details Prediction details: Heinrich Wilmink Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 25–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 40 Deviation: -40 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +706 s Time: 22:58 Pace: 3:04 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +525 s Fehler: 181.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 11 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 29.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 37, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 23.9 s Gap behind: 71.7 s Result: Group 21 (1 people) Speed: 33.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -4.23 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:25 (4:41 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 22:58 (3:04 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 40:56 (29.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:17 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 641 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +65 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 41	John Martin USA	+230 s +363 s	G7 / G19	24:07		Show details Prediction details: John Martin Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 11–16 Top-10 probability: 8 % Result: 41 Deviation: -41 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +230 s Time: 15:02 Pace: 2:00 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +363 s Fehler: -133.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 1.0 s Result: Group 19 (4 people) Speed: 32.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.96 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 24:07 (4:49 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 15:02 (2:00 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 154.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 47	Colin Fell GBR	+0 s +238 s	G0 / G22	24:55		Show details Prediction details: Colin Fell Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 74–74 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 47 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +238 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 22 (3 people) Speed: 29.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 24:55 (4:59 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 49	Jose Luis Silvestre Sanchez Deniz ESP	+0 s +197 s	G0 / G19	27:24		Show details Prediction details: Jose Luis Silvestre Sanchez Deniz Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 75–75 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 49 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +197 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 19 (4 people) Speed: 29.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 27:24 (5:29 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 50	Steve Bunce GBR	+284 s +369 s	G7 / G24	26:07		Show details Prediction details: Steve Bunce Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 14–20 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 50 Deviation: -50 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +284 s Time: 15:56 Pace: 2:07 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +369 s Fehler: -85.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 22, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.0 s Gap behind: 7.0 s Result: Group 24 (4 people) Speed: 30.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.25 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 26:07 (5:13 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 15:56 (2:07 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 220.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 51	German Cortes Gutierrez MEX	+784 s +377 s	G11 / G30	23:40		Show details Prediction details: German Cortes Gutierrez Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 25–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 51 Deviation: -51 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +784 s Time: 24:16 Pace: 3:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +377 s Fehler: 407.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 11 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 29.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 39, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 6.3 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 30 (1 people) Speed: 29.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.38 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:40 (4:44 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 24:16 (3:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 40:56 (29.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 708.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 53	Kent Richardson BER	+181 s +382 s	G5 / G23	27:22		Show details Prediction details: Kent Richardson Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 9–17 Top-10 probability: 43 % Result: 53 Deviation: -53 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +181 s Time: 14:13 Pace: 1:54 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +382 s Fehler: -201.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 8.6 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 23 (3 people) Speed: 31.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.80 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 27:22 (5:28 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 14:13 (1:54 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:50 (34.4 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 105.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 58	Walter Gilmore CAN	+0 s +287 s	G0 / G24	26:52		Show details Prediction details: Walter Gilmore Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 76–76 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 58 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +287 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 24 (4 people) Speed: 29.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 26:52 (5:22 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 59	Raúl Ramírez Salazar MEX	+303 s +427 s	G7 / G31	25:17		Show details Prediction details: Raúl Ramírez Salazar Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 17–21 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 59 Deviation: -59 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +303 s Time: 16:15 Pace: 2:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +427 s Fehler: -124.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 24, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 12.0 s Gap behind: 15.4 s Result: Group 31 (3 people) Speed: 28.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.33 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 25:17 (5:03 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 16:15 (2:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 227.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 61	Mauricio Aguilar COL	+0 s +375 s	G0 / G29	25:49		Show details Prediction details: Mauricio Aguilar Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 77–77 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 61 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +375 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 29 (2 people) Speed: 30.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 25:49 (5:10 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 62	Rob De Wit NED	+384 s +273 s	G9 / G24	29:03		Show details Prediction details: Rob De Wit Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 23–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 62 Deviation: -62 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +384 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 2:21 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +273 s Fehler: 110.6 s Cycling Prediction: Group 9 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 32.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 29, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.6 s Gap behind: 30.4 s Result: Group 24 (4 people) Speed: 30.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.15 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 29:03 (5:49 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 17:36 (2:21 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 36:59 (32.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 320 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 63	Pierre M Lacoste CAN	+325 s +572 s	G8 / G35	24:24		Show details Prediction details: Pierre M Lacoste Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 21–22 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 63 Deviation: -63 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +325 s Time: 16:37 Pace: 2:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +572 s Fehler: -247.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 8 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 26, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 6.6 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 35 (2 people) Speed: 29.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.95 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 24:24 (4:53 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 16:37 (2:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 36:17 (33.0 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 249.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 67	Peter Mclaughlin IRL	+231 s +393 s	G7 / G35	25:59		Show details Prediction details: Peter Mclaughlin Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 12–18 Top-10 probability: 6 % Result: 67 Deviation: -67 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +231 s Time: 15:03 Pace: 2:00 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +393 s Fehler: -162.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.0 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 35 (2 people) Speed: 27.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 7.21 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 25:59 (5:12 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 15:03 (2:00 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 155.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 68	Thierry Holoffe BEL	+0 s +503 s	G0 / G33	28:01		Show details Prediction details: Thierry Holoffe Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 78–78 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 68 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +503 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 33 (1 people) Speed: 29.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 28:01 (5:36 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 70	Jose Manuel Peña Martinez ESP	+0 s +619 s	G1 / G40	25:52		Show details Prediction details: Jose Manuel Peña Martinez Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–2 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 70 Deviation: -70 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +619 s Fehler: -619.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 96 % Speed: 37.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.0 s Gap behind: 0.0 s Result: Group 40 (1 people) Speed: 27.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 10.22 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 25:52 (5:10 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:15 (37.4 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable
0 / 74	José Luis Rojas Benítez MEX	+486 s +699 s	G11 / G42	27:17		Show details Prediction details: José Luis Rojas Benítez Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 26–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 74 Deviation: -74 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +486 s Time: 19:18 Pace: 2:34 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +699 s Fehler: -213.4 s Cycling Prediction: Group 11 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 29.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 33, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 31.5 s Gap behind: 8.6 s Result: Group 42 (1 people) Speed: 26.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.36 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 27:17 (5:27 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 19:18 (2:34 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 40:56 (29.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 422 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 75	Julio Alejandro Diaz Alegre PER	+0 s +697 s	G0 / G44	24:33		Show details Prediction details: Julio Alejandro Diaz Alegre Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 79–79 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 75 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +697 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 44 (1 people) Speed: 26.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 24:33 (4:55 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 78	Enrique Ramírez MEX	+0 s +670 s	G0 / G43	28:56		Show details Prediction details: Enrique Ramírez Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 80–80 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 78 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 11:12 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +670 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 43 (1 people) Speed: 26.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 28:56 (5:47 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 79	David Carleton CAN	+238 s +360 s	G7 / G32	35:36		Show details Prediction details: David Carleton Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 13–20 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 79 Deviation: -79 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +238 s Time: 15:10 Pace: 2:01 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +360 s Fehler: -122.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (16 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 20, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 6.2 s Gap behind: 1.7 s Result: Group 32 (2 people) Speed: 29.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.01 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 35:36 (7:07 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 15:10 (2:01 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:49 (34.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:28 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m About 162.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +75.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 80	Rudolf Langer AUT	+675 s +869 s	G11 / G45	29:40		Show details Prediction details: Rudolf Langer Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 26–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 80 Deviation: -80 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +675 s Time: 22:27 Pace: 3:00 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +869 s Fehler: -194.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 11 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 29.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 35, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 180.8 s Gap behind: 7.1 s Result: Group 45 (1 people) Speed: 26.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.92 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 29:40 (5:56 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 22:27 (3:00 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 40:56 (29.2 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 12:16 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m About 611.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.

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